Mexico - Ascenso MXData current as of 03 November 2026

Cancún vs Piratas: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cancún vs Piratas: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cancún play Piratas in Ascenso MX (Mexico). The match date is 4 November 2026.

Current form

Cancún: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Piratas: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cancún scores 1.87 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Piratas scores 1.80 and concedes 1.00. League average: 3.21 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cancún 47%, Piratas 40%. Over 2.5: Cancún 53%, Piratas 53%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.

xG, shots and style

Piratas has higher xG: 2.01 vs 1.65. Cancún: 13.7 shots per match, Piratas: 18.1.

Match halves

Cancún: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.13. Piratas: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 1.20.

Goals by minute

Cancún: 76-90+ (9 goals). Piratas: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ascenso MX: 3.21 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 63%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.65)
(3.30)
(2.39)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.87Goals scored / match1.8
CancúnPiratas
1.2Goals conceded / match1
CancúnPiratas
43%Average possession58%
CancúnPiratas
5.47Shots on target / match6.73
CancúnPiratas

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.67Shots per match18.13
CancúnPiratas
5.47Shots on target6.73
CancúnPiratas
13.7%Shot conversion9.9%
CancúnPiratas
43%Possession58%
CancúnPiratas
1.65xG for2.01
CancúnPiratas
1.51xG against0.96
CancúnPiratas

Shooting quality

Cancún: Counter-attackingPiratas: Dominant
CancúnPiratas
Accuracy (shots on target)40%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.340.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cancún is 10% better for: last-5 form.

2.2 pts / match - Cancún · 2 pts / match - Piratas

Cancún
WDDWW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
47% W27% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-4
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-1-2
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWWDW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.68Opponent xG: 1.37BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Piratas
WLWWD
Season result split
47% W27% D27% L
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-4
1.67 pts / match · goal difference +12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-3-3
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DDLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 3.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 2.50Opponent xG: 1.10BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Piratas is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.2 goals / match - Cancún · 1 goals / match - Piratas

Cancún scoring profile: very strong

Cancún scores in 93% of matches (14 of 15 matches), while Piratas keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).

Piratas scoring profile: strong

Piratas scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Cancún keeps a clean sheet in 47% (7 of 15 matches).

28Goals scored (season)27
CancúnPiratas
18Goals conceded (season)15
CancúnPiratas
3.07Average goals in match2.8
CancúnPiratas
10Goals scored (last 5)15
CancúnPiratas
3Goals conceded (last 5)5
CancúnPiratas

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal73%
CancúnPiratas
47%2 goals47%
CancúnPiratas
20%3 goals33%
CancúnPiratas
13%4 goals20%
CancúnPiratas

How often they concede at least...

53%1 goal60%
CancúnPiratas
40%2 goals20%
CancúnPiratas
13%3 goals13%
CancúnPiratas
13%4 goals7%
CancúnPiratas

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
CancúnPiratas
7%BTTS in both halves0%
CancúnPiratas
20%Scored in both halves33%
CancúnPiratas

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
CancúnPiratas
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
CancúnPiratas
40%BTTS - last 540%
CancúnPiratas

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

80%Min. 1 goal before half-time73%
CancúnPiratas
60%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
CancúnPiratas
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time7%
CancúnPiratas

2nd half

80%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
CancúnPiratas
53%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
CancúnPiratas
27%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
CancúnPiratas

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Piratas is 14% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Cancún · 1.6 pts / match - Piratas

Cancún - half-time state
33% leading40% draw27% trailing
Piratas - half-time state
40% leading40% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)1.6
CancúnPiratas
0.73Goals scored (1st half)0.6
CancúnPiratas
0.67Goals conceded (1st half)0.53
CancúnPiratas
1.4Average goals (1st half)1.13
CancúnPiratas
53%Clean sheet before half-time60%
CancúnPiratas
47%No goal before half-time47%
CancúnPiratas

After half-time (2nd half)

1.87Points per match (2nd half)1.67
CancúnPiratas
1.13Goals scored (2nd half)1.2
CancúnPiratas
0.53Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
CancúnPiratas
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.67
CancúnPiratas
73%Clean sheet after half-time67%
CancúnPiratas
40%No goal after half-time47%
CancúnPiratas

Cancún - second-half results

53% W27% D20% L
21
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
+9
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding142%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Piratas - second-half results

40% W47% D13% L
24
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
25
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.60
PPG before half-time
Lead holding118%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 47%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cancún - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.602.40
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match1.01.6
1 goal60%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference+1+6
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 3
Piratas - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.602.00
Goals scored / match1.02.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.22.8
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%100%
3 goals20%60%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+4+6
Half-time: 80% leading - 20% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cancún
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
4
31-45
2
1
46-60
6
1
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Piratas
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
6
4
31-45
1
4
46-60
5
1
61-75
12
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +10 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-66%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
68%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
2%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 50 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cancún

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.53
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
98%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
92%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.53
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
32% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
32%

Piratas

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-9.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.04
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
138%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.33
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.6
Late goals
44% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
44%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ascenso MX).

Teams vs league

CancúnLigaPiratas
Average goals in match▼ 3.073.21▼ 2.80
Both teams scored▼ 47%58%▼ 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 53%63%▼ 53%
Clean sheets▲ 47%23%▲ 40%
Goal before half-time▲ 80%76%▼ 73%
Goal after half-time▼ 80%83%▼ 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.21
Average goals per match
58%
Both teams scored
63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
23%
Clean sheets
1.91
Home goals / match
1.30
Away goals / match
+47%
Home attack advantage
+32%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
58%
2 goals
31%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Cancún 1 - 0 - 0 Piratas. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Cancún and Piratas play?

Cancún face Piratas on 4 November 2026 in Ascenso MX. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cancún vs Piratas?

Cancún score 1.87 goals per game on average and Piratas 1.80. The Ascenso MX average is 3.21 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Cancún's matches and 40% of Piratas's.

What form are Cancún and Piratas in?

Over the last 5 games Cancún have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Piratas 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cancún vs Piratas?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.