Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida: match statistics
Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carabobo play Estudiantes Mérida in Primera División (Venezuela). The match date is 14 May 2026 at 01:00. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Carabobo: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Estudiantes Mérida: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carabobo scores 1.75 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Estudiantes Mérida scores 1.21 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carabobo 60%, Estudiantes Mérida 47%. Over 2.5: Carabobo 40%, Estudiantes Mérida 47%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Carabobo has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.21. Carabobo: 15.7 shots per match, Estudiantes Mérida: 10.8.
Match halves
Carabobo: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 1.20. Estudiantes Mérida: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Carabobo: 46-60 (12 goals). Estudiantes Mérida: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
4 H2H matches: 3-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Match description
Carabobo holds a clear home advantage in key metrics: at home they average 2.13 goals per game with xG 1.82, while Estudiantes on the road average 1.25 goals and xG 0.91. The hosts generate significantly more chances (16.75 shots and 6 on target per game) versus 7.25 shots and 3 on target for the visitors, and their possession is 60% compared to the opponent’s 51%. Carabobo’s home defense is more effective — conceding 0.75 goals on average and keeping a clean sheet in 63% of matches, whereas Estudiantes concede 1.25 goals away and have only 25% clean sheets. The only limitation for the hosts is weaker recent form over the last 5 matches: Carabobo has 0.8 points per game, 1 win and a goal difference of 5:7, while Estudiantes has 1.8 points per game, 3 wins and a goal difference of 7:7. Considering the double xG advantage (1.82 vs 0.91), the higher chance volume and the hosts’ unbeaten home record, I predict a home win — 60% probability for the hosts, 20% for a draw and 20% for the away side.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carabobo | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carabobo is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.75 goals / match - Carabobo · 1.21 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Carabobo is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Carabobo · 1.37 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Carabobo scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Estudiantes Mérida keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
Estudiantes Mérida scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Carabobo keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Carabobo
Over / Under — Estudiantes Mérida
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carabobo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Estudiantes Mérida - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carabobo
Estudiantes Mérida
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Carabobo | Liga | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.49 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 43% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 28% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 50% | 65% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | • 75% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Carabobo 3 - 0 - 1 Estudiantes Mérida. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida?
The Primera División match finished Carabobo 1:0 Estudiantes Mérida. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carabobo and Estudiantes Mérida?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Carabobo won 3, Estudiantes Mérida won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida?
Carabobo score 1.75 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Mérida 1.21. The Primera División average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Carabobo's matches and 47% of Estudiantes Mérida's.
What form are Carabobo and Estudiantes Mérida in?
Over the last 5 games Carabobo have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Estudiantes Mérida 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carabobo vs Estudiantes Mérida?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.