Caracas vs Estudiantes Mérida: match statistics
Caracas vs Estudiantes Mérida: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Caracas played Estudiantes Mérida in Primera División (Venezuela). The match was played on 3 August 2026. Venue: Estadio Olímpico de la UCV. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Caracas: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Estudiantes Mérida: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Caracas scores 1.15 and concedes 1.31 goals per match. Estudiantes Mérida scores 1.21 and concedes 1.37. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Caracas 69%, Estudiantes Mérida 47%. Over 2.5: Caracas 38%, Estudiantes Mérida 47%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Caracas has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.21. Caracas: 14.8 shots per match, Estudiantes Mérida: 10.8.
Match halves
Caracas: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.77. Estudiantes Mérida: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.53.
Goals by minute
Caracas: 76-90+ (7 goals). Estudiantes Mérida: 31-45+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 33%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Caracas have a clear offensive edge at home: they average 1.67 xG and score 1.43 goals per match, while Estudiantes Mérida manage just 1.02 xG and 1.00 goals away from home. The hosts also produce significantly more shots, averaging 15.14 compared with 8.60, and register 5.29 shots on target versus 3.20 for their opponents. A key argument against the visitors is their disastrous current run of five consecutive defeats, during which they have failed to score a single goal. Estudiantes lose 60% of their away matches and fail to find the net in half of them, although Caracas also come into this fixture on a poor run of 0 wins in five appearances. The hosts concede 1.43 goals per home game, so a draw remains a realistic outcome, but the advantage in the quality of chances created and home-field advantage point towards a Caracas win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest argument against BTTS - Yes is Estudiantes Mérida’s current attacking form: the team has failed to score in each of its last 5 matches, averaging 0.0 goals and recording 0% of matches with both teams scoring. The visitors have also failed to score in 50% of their matches this season, while their season BTTS rate stands at just 30%, well below the league average of 53%. Caracas have a weak defense, having kept no clean sheets all season and conceding an average of 2.2 goals across their last five league matches, but the opponents’ lack of attacking output significantly limits the chances of a breakthrough. The hosts should create more chances, averaging 13.22 shots compared with Estudiantes’ 8.6, while the visitors’ defense allows an average of 1.72 xG. Therefore, a result featuring goals from only one team is more likely.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estudiantes Mérida have recorded matches with fewer than 3.5 goals in 90% of their games this season, while Caracas have stayed below this line in 67% of matches. However, the visitors are in very poor attacking form: they have failed to score in their last five games, despite averaging 1.41 xG over that period. Caracas have conceded an average of 2.2 goals across their last five appearances, giving the visitors a chance to end their scoring drought, but the hosts themselves have scored just 0.8 goals per game during this stretch. The hosts’ attacking potential is higher, as their season xG stands at 1.43, while their opponents allow an average xG of 1.72. Nevertheless, the data does not point towards a scenario involving four or more goals. The Under 3.5 goals line therefore has a clear edge, supported by both Estudiantes’ profile and the poor finishing of both teams in their current form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome, as Caracas were level after 45 minutes in 56% of their matches, compared with 60% for Estudiantes Mérida; in their last five games, the visitors recorded this result in as many as 80% of cases. First halves are generally low-scoring, with Caracas averaging 0.67 goals and Mérida 0.70, while the visitors have failed to score before the break in each of their last five appearances. After the interval, the advantage should shift towards the hosts, who average 0.78 goals in the second half compared with Mérida’s mere 0.30. Caracas also create significantly more chances, averaging 13.22 shots per match against their opponents’ 8.6, while their xG stands at 1.43 compared with 1.02. Despite Caracas’ poor run of form, Mérida have lost all five of their last matches and failed to score in any of them, which is why the X/1 scenario has the strongest statistical support.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Caracas | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.10 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Estudiantes Mérida is 5% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Caracas · 1.21 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Caracas is 5% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.31 goals / match - Caracas · 1.37 goals / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Caracas scores in 77% of matches (10 of 13 matches), while Estudiantes Mérida keeps a clean sheet in 11% (2 of 19 matches).
Estudiantes Mérida scores in 58% of matches (11 of 19 matches), while Caracas keeps a clean sheet in 15% (2 of 13 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Caracas
Over / Under — Estudiantes Mérida
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Estudiantes Mérida is 75% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.69 pts / match - Caracas · 1.21 pts / match - Estudiantes Mérida
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Caracas - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Estudiantes Mérida - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (6 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Caracas
Estudiantes Mérida
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Caracas | Liga | Estudiantes Mérida | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.46 | 2.49 | • 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 53% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 44% | ▲ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 15% | 28% | ▼ 11% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 77% | 66% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 75% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Caracas 0 - 2 - 1 Estudiantes Mérida. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Caracas vs Estudiantes Mérida?
The Primera División match finished Caracas 2:2 Estudiantes Mérida. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Caracas and Estudiantes Mérida?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Caracas won 0, Estudiantes Mérida won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Caracas vs Estudiantes Mérida?
Caracas score 1.15 goals per game on average and Estudiantes Mérida 1.21. The Primera División average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Caracas's matches and 47% of Estudiantes Mérida's.
What form are Caracas and Estudiantes Mérida in?
Over the last 5 games Caracas have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Estudiantes Mérida 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Caracas vs Estudiantes Mérida?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.