Cardiff City vs Lincoln City: match statistics
Cardiff City displays impressive home form with 82% wins at home and an average of 2.47 goals per match, making them one of the most effective hosts in the league. Their advantage in possession (62%) and high shooting efficiency (6.53 shots on target per match) give them a solid basis to control this encounter. Lincoln City, despite good overall form (2.6 points per match in the last 5 games), has significantly weaker away statistics—just 50% away wins and an average of 1.44 goals scored. The difference in xG (1.94 for Cardiff vs 1.14 for Lincoln in respective matches) and goal difference (24 vs 7) clearly favor the hosts. Although Lincoln has shown defensive solidity recently (only 2 goals conceded in the last 5 matches), Cardiff has sufficient offensive quality to break down their defense, especially playing before their own crowd.
Cardiff City vs Lincoln City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cardiff City played Lincoln City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Cardiff City: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Lincoln City: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cardiff City scores 2.00 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Lincoln City scores 1.85 and concedes 0.91. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cardiff City 56%, Lincoln City 50%. Over 2.5: Cardiff City 62%, Lincoln City 53%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.69 vs 1.41. Cardiff City: 14.6 shots per match, Lincoln City: 12.1.
Match halves
Cardiff City: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.24. Lincoln City: half-time lead 68%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Cardiff City: 46-60 (16 goals). Lincoln City: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cardiff City displays impressive home form with 82% wins at home and an average of 2.47 goals per match, making them one of the most effective hosts in the league. Their advantage in possession (62%) and high shooting efficiency (6.53 shots on target per match) give them a solid basis to control this encounter. Lincoln City, despite good overall form (2.6 points per match in the last 5 games), has significantly weaker away statistics—just 50% away wins and an average of 1.44 goals scored. The difference in xG (1.94 for Cardiff vs 1.14 for Lincoln in respective matches) and goal difference (24 vs 7) clearly favor the hosts. Although Lincoln has shown defensive solidity recently (only 2 goals conceded in the last 5 matches), Cardiff has sufficient offensive quality to break down their defense, especially playing before their own crowd.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cardiff City | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.38 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Lincoln City is 8% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Cardiff City · 2.6 pts / match - Lincoln City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff City is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1.85 goals / match - Lincoln City
Lincoln City is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.06 goals / match - Cardiff City · 0.91 goals / match - Lincoln City
Cardiff City scores in 91% of matches (31 of 34 matches), while Lincoln City keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
Lincoln City scores in 85% of matches (29 of 34 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cardiff City
Over / Under - Lincoln City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Lincoln City is 51% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Cardiff City · 2.26 pts / match - Lincoln City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cardiff City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 65%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Lincoln City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 68% of matches and wins 62%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 0% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +9 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cardiff City
Lincoln City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Cardiff City | Liga | Lincoln City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.06 | 2.61 | ▲ 2.76 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 52% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 62% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 27% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 69% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | • 82% | 81% | • 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cardiff City 0 - 0 - 1 Lincoln City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cardiff City vs Lincoln City?
The EFL League One match finished Cardiff City 0:2 Lincoln City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff City vs Lincoln City?
Cardiff City score 2.00 goals per game on average and Lincoln City 1.85. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 56% of Cardiff City's matches and 50% of Lincoln City's.
What form are Cardiff City and Lincoln City in?
Over the last 5 games Cardiff City have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Lincoln City 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff City vs Lincoln City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cardiff City vs Lincoln City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.