Cardiff City vs Stevenage: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cardiff City played Stevenage in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 29 December 2025. Final score: 2:1.

Current form

Cardiff City: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Stevenage: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cardiff City scores 1.81 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Stevenage scores 1.20 and concedes 0.75. League average: 2.55 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cardiff City 48%, Stevenage 40%. Over 2.5: Cardiff City 57%, Stevenage 30%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.

xG, shots and style

Cardiff City has higher xG: 1.66 vs 1.08. Cardiff City: 14.3 shots per match, Stevenage: 9.0.

Match halves

Cardiff City: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.33. Stevenage: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Cardiff City: 46-60 (11 goals). Stevenage: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

League One: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 49%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 1
2nd half

Match statistics

70Possession (%)30
Cardiff CityStevenage
22Shots6
Cardiff CityStevenage
4Shots on target1
Cardiff CityStevenage
2.11xG0.72
Cardiff CityStevenage
6Corners4
Cardiff CityStevenage
61Dangerous attacks36
Cardiff CityStevenage
11Fouls10
Cardiff CityStevenage
1Cards2
Cardiff CityStevenage

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cardiff CityStevenage
1.81Goals scored / match1.2
Cardiff CityStevenage
1.05Goals conceded / match0.75
Cardiff CityStevenage
61%Average possession44%
Cardiff CityStevenage
5.14Shots on target / match3.2
Cardiff CityStevenage

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

14.29Shots per match9
Cardiff CityStevenage
5.14Shots on target3.2
Cardiff CityStevenage
12.7%Shot conversion13.3%
Cardiff CityStevenage
61%Possession44%
Cardiff CityStevenage
1.66xG for1.08
Cardiff CityStevenage
1.42xG against1.14
Cardiff CityStevenage

Shooting quality

Cardiff City: DominantStevenage: Counter-attacking
Cardiff CityStevenage
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cardiff City is 100% better for: last-5 form.

2.4 pts / match - Cardiff City · 1.2 pts / match - Stevenage

Cardiff City
WWWLW
Season result split
67% W10% D24% L
Season (W-D-L)
14-2-5
2.10 pts / match · goal difference +16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
9-0-2
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.22BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%
Stevenage
DLWDD
Season result split
50% W30% D20% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-6-4
1.80 pts / match · goal difference +9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 away
2-2-1
LWDWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 0.96Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cardiff City is 51% better for: goals scored per match.

1.81 goals / match - Cardiff City · 1.2 goals / match - Stevenage

Stevenage is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.05 goals / match - Cardiff City · 0.75 goals / match - Stevenage

Cardiff City scoring profile: very strong

Cardiff City scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 40% (8 of 20 matches).

Stevenage scoring profile: mixed

Stevenage scores in 65% of matches (13 of 20 matches), while Cardiff City keeps a clean sheet in 43% (9 of 21 matches).

38Goals scored (season)24
Cardiff CityStevenage
22Goals conceded (season)15
Cardiff CityStevenage
2.86Average goals in match1.95
Cardiff CityStevenage
10Goals scored (last 5)5
Cardiff CityStevenage
7Goals conceded (last 5)4
Cardiff CityStevenage

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal65%
Cardiff CityStevenage
48%2 goals40%
Cardiff CityStevenage
33%3 goals15%
Cardiff CityStevenage
14%4 goals0%
Cardiff CityStevenage

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal60%
Cardiff CityStevenage
29%2 goals15%
Cardiff CityStevenage
19%3 goals0%
Cardiff CityStevenage
0%4 goals0%
Cardiff CityStevenage

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

10%BTTS at half-time20%
Cardiff CityStevenage
10%BTTS in both halves10%
Cardiff CityStevenage
38%Scored in both halves20%
Cardiff CityStevenage

BTTS and goal count

43%Min. 3 goals and BTTS30%
Cardiff CityStevenage
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Cardiff CityStevenage
60%BTTS - last 540%
Cardiff CityStevenage

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

62%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
Cardiff CityStevenage
19%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
Cardiff CityStevenage
5%Min. 3 goals before half-time5%
Cardiff CityStevenage

2nd half

95%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Cardiff CityStevenage
57%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
Cardiff CityStevenage
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time15%
Cardiff CityStevenage

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cardiff City - half-time state
29% leading48% draw24% trailing
Stevenage - half-time state
25% leading60% draw15% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.35
Cardiff CityStevenage
0.48Goals scored (1st half)0.45
Cardiff CityStevenage
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.35
Cardiff CityStevenage
0.9Average goals (1st half)0.8
Cardiff CityStevenage
67%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Cardiff CityStevenage
62%No goal before half-time60%
Cardiff CityStevenage

After half-time (2nd half)

2.19Points per match (2nd half)1.55
Cardiff CityStevenage
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Cardiff CityStevenage
0.62Goals conceded (2nd half)0.4
Cardiff CityStevenage
1.95Average goals (2nd half)1.15
Cardiff CityStevenage
57%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Cardiff CityStevenage
14%No goal after half-time55%
Cardiff CityStevenage

Cardiff City - second-half results

67% W19% D14% L
28
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+15
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding231%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Stevenage - second-half results

35% W50% D15% L
27
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
31
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.35
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cardiff City - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.20
Goals scored / match0.61.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal60%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%0%
Goal difference0+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Stevenage - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match0.20.6
Average goals in match0.41.4
1 goal40%60%
2 goals0%40%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cardiff City
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
3
3
16-30
5
5
31-45
11
5
46-60
6
4
61-75
11
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.

Stevenage
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
5
3
16-30
3
1
31-45
5
0
46-60
6
6
61-75
4
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.41
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.3 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-58%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cardiff City

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.52
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
125%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
96%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.9
Late goals
29% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
29%

Stevenage

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.51
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.12
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.39
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 4% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).

Teams vs league

Cardiff CityLigaStevenage
Average goals in match 2.862.55 1.95
Both teams scored 48%51% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 57%49% 30%
Clean sheets 43%27% 40%
Goal before half-time 62%69% 55%
Goal after half-time 95%82% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.55
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
49%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.45
Home goals / match
1.09
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
82%
1 goal
45%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. StevenageYellow cardHarvey David White
  2. Cardiff CityGoalCallum Robinson
  3. StevenageSubstitutionOn: Chem CampbellOff: Phoenix Patterson
  4. StevenageSubstitutionOn: Jasper PattendenOff: Jordan Houghton
  5. Cardiff CityGoalYousef SalechAssist: Chris Willock
  6. StevenageSubstitutionOn: Jake YoungOff: Jamie Tyrrell Reid
  7. Cardiff CitySubstitutionOn: Joel ColwillOff: Callum Robinson
  8. StevenageYellow cardLouis Thompson
  9. Cardiff CityYellow cardJoel Colwill

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Charles BreakspearMatches officiated: 12
3.67Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 250%Home wins17%Draws33%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Cardiff City 1 - 0 - 0 Stevenage. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Cardiff City vs Stevenage?

The EFL League One match finished Cardiff City 2:1 Stevenage. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff City vs Stevenage?

Cardiff City score 1.81 goals per game on average and Stevenage 1.20. The EFL League One average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 49% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Cardiff City's matches and 40% of Stevenage's.

What form are Cardiff City and Stevenage in?

Over the last 5 games Cardiff City have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Stevenage 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff City vs Stevenage?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cardiff City vs Stevenage: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.