Cardiff MU vs Bala Town: match statistics
Cardiff MU occupies a higher league position (7th) than Bala Town (10th), however both teams are in very similar and concerning form - each has earned only 1 point per game over their last 5 matches. The hosts have poor home efficiency (21% wins, 43% losses) and a high average of goals conceded (1.86), which does not give them a decisive advantage. Bala Town performs poorly away from home (29% wins, 64% losses), but Cardiff also fails to impress with their home form, carrying a 'ddlll' streak in their recent home fixtures. An identical goal difference for both teams (-10) along with similar xG metrics suggest a closely contested match. Considering Cardiff's high number of draws this season (13) and the recent form of both sides, a share of the points appears to be the most probable outcome, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to playing at home.
Cardiff MU vs Bala Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cardiff MU played Bala Town in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 28 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Cardiff MU: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Bala Town: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cardiff MU scores 1.31 and concedes 1.55 goals per match. Bala Town scores 0.90 and concedes 1.41. League average: 2.91 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cardiff MU 66%, Bala Town 38%. Over 2.5: Cardiff MU 52%, Bala Town 38%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff MU has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.09. Cardiff MU: 10.7 shots per match, Bala Town: 8.0.
Match halves
Cardiff MU: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.79. Bala Town: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Cardiff MU: 46-60 (11 goals). Bala Town: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.91 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-0. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cardiff MU occupies a higher league position (7th) than Bala Town (10th), however both teams are in very similar and concerning form - each has earned only 1 point per game over their last 5 matches. The hosts have poor home efficiency (21% wins, 43% losses) and a high average of goals conceded (1.86), which does not give them a decisive advantage. Bala Town performs poorly away from home (29% wins, 64% losses), but Cardiff also fails to impress with their home form, carrying a 'ddlll' streak in their recent home fixtures. An identical goal difference for both teams (-10) along with similar xG metrics suggest a closely contested match. Considering Cardiff's high number of draws this season (13) and the recent form of both sides, a share of the points appears to be the most probable outcome, although the hosts hold a slight advantage due to playing at home.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators are low (Cardiff MU 40%, Bala Town 36%) and significantly below the league average (51%), favoring a no-goal scenario for one team. Both sides also have high percentages of matches without scoring (FTS: 40% and 43%) and low average goals scored (0.87 and 0.93), limiting the chances of both teams scoring. Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet relatively often (40%), and Bala Town, despite a weaker defense (1.64 conceded/2.0 xGA), generates only moderate offense themselves (1.06 xG) and has averaged 0.6 goals scored in their last 5 matches. The trend from the last 5 games (BTTS: 60% vs 40%) is not sufficiently consistent, and the total goals from recent runs (4 and 3) confirm finishing issues. The most probable outcome is a match where at least one team fails to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal comes from the 3.5 line: Cardiff MU have 73% of matches Under 3.5, and Bala Town 79%, with simultaneously very low Over 4.5 (7% and 0%). The goal profiles of both teams are rather 'low' (average goals scored: 0.87 and 0.93), and in the last 5 matches, they scored only 1.4 goals per match combined (0.8 and 0.6). The xG model suggests a moderate number of chances, but without excessive 'surplus' for goals (xG_for 1.11/1.06 against xG_against 1.57/1.97), which gives approximately 2.55 expected goals in the match. Additionally, low BTTS (40% and 36%) and a high percentage of matches with at most 3 goals support a scenario without a scoreline like 3:2 or 4:0. Therefore, the best choice is Under 3.5 as the most probable and market-stable variant.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal points to a draw at half-time, as both teams often reach HT with an X result (Cardiff 33%, Bala 43%), and in Cardiff's last 5 matches, as many as 60% of them were level at the break with a very low average goals per first half (0.4). Bala also has a high first-half clean sheet percentage (79%) and 64% of clean sheets at HT, favoring a 0-0 or 1-1 scenario at half-time. After the break, Cardiff's advantage grows, as Bala has a weak defense this season (1.64 goals conceded per match, xGA 1.97) and a very high overall loss rate (64%). Additionally, Bala loses more often in second halves (56%) and concedes an average of 1.07 goals, increasing the chances that if the score is level at half-time, the home side will 'push on' to secure a win. Overall, the match profile suggests a cautious start and a higher probability of the balance tipping in Cardiff's favor late on.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cardiff MU | Bala Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff MU is 46% better for: goals scored per match.
1.31 goals / match - Cardiff MU · 0.9 goals / match - Bala Town
Bala Town is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.55 goals / match - Cardiff MU · 1.41 goals / match - Bala Town
Cardiff MU scores in 72% of matches (21 of 29 matches), while Bala Town keeps a clean sheet in 31% (9 of 29 matches).
Bala Town scores in 59% of matches (17 of 29 matches), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 14% (4 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cardiff MU
Over / Under - Bala Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cardiff MU - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 24%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Bala Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cardiff MU
Bala Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Cardiff MU | Liga | Bala Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.86 | 2.91 | ▼ 2.31 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 55% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 14% | 29% | ▲ 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▼ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 83% | 76% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Cardiff MU 1 - 2 - 0 Bala Town. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cardiff MU vs Bala Town?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Cardiff MU 2:1 Bala Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cardiff MU and Bala Town?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cardiff MU won 1, Bala Town won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cardiff MU vs Bala Town?
Cardiff MU score 1.31 goals per game on average and Bala Town 0.90. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.91 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Cardiff MU's matches and 38% of Bala Town's.
What form are Cardiff MU and Bala Town in?
Over the last 5 games Cardiff MU have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Bala Town 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cardiff MU vs Bala Town?
The statistical background for Cardiff MU vs Bala Town — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.