Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers: match statistics
Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carlisle United played Forest Green Rovers in National League (England). The match was played on 15 September 2026. Venue: Brunton Park. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Carlisle United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Forest Green Rovers: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carlisle United scores 2.14 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Forest Green Rovers scores 1.57 and concedes 1.43. League average: 3.13 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carlisle United 100%, Forest Green Rovers 43%. Over 2.5: Carlisle United 71%, Forest Green Rovers 71%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
Carlisle United has higher xG: 2.21 vs 1.76. Carlisle United: 18.0 shots per match, Forest Green Rovers: 14.9.
Match halves
Carlisle United: half-time lead 71%, second-half goals 1.14. Forest Green Rovers: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.29.
Goals by minute
Carlisle United: 31-45+ (4 goals). Forest Green Rovers: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 3.13 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carlisle United have a clearly greater attacking potential at home: they average 3.33 goals per match with an xG of 2.81, while Forest Green Rovers score just 1.00 goal away from home with an xG of 1.60. The hosts average 25.67 shots and 10.33 shots on target, significantly more than the visitors’ 13 and 4 respectively. Carlisle have won 2 of their last 5 matches and scored 11 goals in that period, while Forest Green have managed just 4 goals and lost 3 matches over the same stretch. The hosts’ main weakness is their defence, as they concede an average of 2.00 goals at home and are yet to keep a clean sheet, giving the visitors a realistic chance of scoring. Although both teams have won 67% of their matches played in their respective conditions, Carlisle’s edge in chance creation, possession (59% compared with 43%) and current finishing form points to a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Carlisle have recorded BTTS in 67% of their matches this season and in 100% of their last five, scoring an average of 2.2 goals and conceding 1.4 during that period. The hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in any match this season, while Forest Green create chances at an average level of 1.60 xG and register 4.0 shots on target per game. However, Forest Green score only 1.0 goal per game this season and just 0.8 across their last five appearances, which significantly limits confidence in the visitors finding the net. On the other hand, their defence allows an average of 1.54 xG, while Carlisle generate 1.74 xG across the season and 2.02 xG in their last five matches. The signal for both teams to score is moderately stronger, mainly due to Carlisle's poor ability to keep a clean sheet and the hosts' strong recent attacking efficiency.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Carlisle have averaged 2.2 goals scored over their last 5 matches, with an xG of 2.02, while Forest Green have conceded 1.6 goals per game during this period. The hosts have failed to keep a clean sheet in any home match and concede an average of 2.33 goals at home, giving the visitors a realistic route to scoring despite their average of just 0.8 goals across their last 5 appearances. At least 2 goals were scored in 100% of Carlisle’s home matches and in 67% of Forest Green’s away fixtures, while the league-wide average is a high 3.06 goals. The Over 1.5 line is therefore strongly supported by both Carlisle’s defensive profile and the hosts’ current attacking output.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Carlisle leading at the break and the hosts securing the win, as they have won the first half in 60% of their last five matches, compared with just 20% for Forest Green. During this period, Carlisle averaged 1.0 goals scored and 0.4 conceded before half-time, while the visitors scored just 0.2 and conceded 0.6. The hosts are also in better current form: they have averaged 1.6 points per match, scored 2.2 goals, and lost only 20% of their last five fixtures, compared with a 60% defeat rate for Forest Green. After the interval, Carlisle still hold the attacking edge, averaging 1.2 goals in the second half across their last five appearances, while their opponents concede an average of 1.0 goal during this period. Forest Green’s seasonal away results are solid, but Carlisle’s current first-half advantage and the visitors’ markedly weaker form support the 1/1 HT/FT selection.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carlisle United is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Carlisle United · 1.2 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 36% better for: goals scored per match.
2.14 goals / match - Carlisle United · 1.57 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Forest Green Rovers is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Carlisle United · 1.43 goals / match - Forest Green Rovers
Carlisle United scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Forest Green Rovers keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
Forest Green Rovers scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carlisle United
Over / Under - Forest Green Rovers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 101% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.29 pts / match - Carlisle United · 1.14 pts / match - Forest Green Rovers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 71% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Forest Green Rovers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 57%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carlisle United
Forest Green Rovers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | Forest Green Rovers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.86 | 3.13 | ▼ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 65% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 71% | 63% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 17% | ▲ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 86% | 74% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 90% | ▼ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Carlisle United 2 - 0 - 0 Forest Green Rovers. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 1:1 Forest Green Rovers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carlisle United and Forest Green Rovers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Carlisle United won 2, Forest Green Rovers won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers?
Carlisle United score 2.14 goals per game on average and Forest Green Rovers 1.57. The National League average is 3.13 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Carlisle United's matches and 43% of Forest Green Rovers's.
What form are Carlisle United and Forest Green Rovers in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Forest Green Rovers 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Forest Green Rovers?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.