England - National LeagueData current as of 08 September 2026

Carlisle United vs Southend United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Carlisle United vs Southend United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Carlisle United play Southend United in National League (England). The match date is 12 September 2026.

Current form

Carlisle United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Southend United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Carlisle United scores 2.17 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Southend United scores 2.00 and concedes 1.33. League average: 3.06 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Carlisle United 100%, Southend United 83%. Over 2.5: Carlisle United 67%, Southend United 67%. League level: BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 61%.

xG, shots and style

Carlisle United has higher xG: 2.17 vs 1.87. Carlisle United: 18.0 shots per match, Southend United: 13.5.

Match halves

Carlisle United: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.17. Southend United: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Carlisle United: 31-45+ (4 goals). Southend United: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

National League: 3.06 goals per match, BTTS 65%, Over 2.5 61%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.50, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.20)
(3.40)
(2.70)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
2.17Goals scored / match2
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
1.67Goals conceded / match1.33
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
56%Average possession64%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
7Shots on target / match6.33
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

18Shots per match13.5
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
7Shots on target6.33
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
12%Shot conversion14.8%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
56%Possession64%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
2.17xG for1.87
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
1.45xG against1.16
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United

Shooting quality

Carlisle United: DominantSouthend United: Efficient finishing
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
Accuracy (shots on target)39%47%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.32

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Southend United is 25% better for: last-5 form.

1.6 pts / match - Carlisle United · 2 pts / match - Southend United

Carlisle United
DWDWL
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
LWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.06Opponent xG: 1.58BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 60%
Southend United
WWLDW
Season result split
67% W17% R17% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-1
2.17 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.84Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carlisle United is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

2.17 goals / match - Carlisle United · 2 goals / match - Southend United

Southend United is 26% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.67 goals / match - Carlisle United · 1.33 goals / match - Southend United

Carlisle United scoring profile: very strong

Carlisle United scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Southend United keeps a clean sheet in 17% (1 of 6 matches).

Southend United scoring profile: very strong

Southend United scores in 100% of matches (6 of 6 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).

13Goals scored (season)12
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
10Goals conceded (season)8
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
3.83Average goals in match3.33
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
11Goals scored (last 5)9
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
7Goals conceded (last 5)7
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United

How often they score at least...

100%1 goal100%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
50%2 goals50%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
33%3 goals50%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
33%4 goals0%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal83%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
50%2 goals33%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
17%3 goals17%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
0%4 goals0%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

65%
League average

Goal patterns

17%BTTS at half-time33%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
17%BTTS in both halves0%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
50%Scored in both halves33%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS67%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
100%BTTS - last 580%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

83%Min. 1 goal before half-time100%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
17%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
17%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time83%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
50%Min. 3 goals after half-time33%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carlisle United - half-time state
67% leading17% draw17% trailing
Southend United - half-time state
67% leading17% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.17Points per match (1st half)2.17
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
1Goals scored (1st half)1
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
1.33Average goals (1st half)1.5
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
67%Clean sheet before half-time50%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
33%No goal before half-time17%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.17Points per match (2nd half)1.67
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
1.17Goals scored (2nd half)1
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
1.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.83
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
2.5Average goals (2nd half)1.83
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
17%Clean sheet after half-time50%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United
17%No goal after half-time50%
Carlisle UnitedSouthend United

Carlisle United - second-half results

33% W17% R50% P
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+4
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding49%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Southend United - second-half results

50% W17% R33% P
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carlisle United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.40
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.42.2
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+3+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5
Southend United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.401.40
Goals scored / match1.00.8
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.41.8
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-1
Half-time: 80% leading - 0% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 20% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Carlisle United
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
4
0
31-45
2
1
46-60
3
1
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Southend United
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
2
1
16-30
3
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
1
2
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.58
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
117%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
92%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
100%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
0%
0:0 risk
practically zero
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Carlisle United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.72
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.22
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
0.00
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.22
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
135%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.27
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Southend United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
83%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.17
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
33% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 8% come in the first quarter-hour.
33%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).

Teams vs league

Carlisle UnitedLigaSouthend United
Average goals in match 3.833.06 3.33
Both teams scored 100%65% 83%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%61% 67%
Clean sheets 0%17% 17%
Goal before half-time 83%71% 100%
Goal after half-time 100%89% 83%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

3.06
Average goals per match
65%
Both teams scored
61%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
17%
Clean sheets
1.61
Home goals / match
1.44
Away goals / match
+12%
Home attack advantage
+11%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
89%
1 goal
57%
2 goals
29%
3 goals
15%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Carlisle United 1 - 1 - 0 Southend United. Average goals 3.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.

Carlisle United FC
2 : 2
Southend United FC
Southend United FC
1 : 2
Carlisle United FC

FAQ

When do Carlisle United and Southend United play?

Carlisle United face Southend United on 12 September 2026 in National League. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Carlisle United and Southend United?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Carlisle United won 1, Southend United won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Southend United?

Carlisle United score 2.17 goals per game on average and Southend United 2.00. The National League average is 3.06 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Carlisle United's matches and 83% of Southend United's.

What form are Carlisle United and Southend United in?

Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Southend United 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Southend United?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.