Carlisle United vs Yeovil Town: match statistics
Carlisle United are displaying significantly better form and statistics, sitting in 3rd place in the table with an impressive tally of 20 wins this season. The hosts boast excellent efficiency at their home ground - winning 65% of their home matches, averaging 2.12 goals per game, and maintaining a positive goal difference of +16. Yeovil Town occupy a distant 17th place and have serious problems in away matches, losing as many as 60% of their games, scoring on average only 1 goal per match, and failing to score in 47% of instances. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (2.08 vs 1.26), confirming their superiority in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Taking all these factors into account, a Carlisle United victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
Carlisle United vs Yeovil Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carlisle United played Yeovil Town in National League (England). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Carlisle United: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Yeovil Town: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carlisle United scores 1.81 and concedes 1.19 goals per match. Yeovil Town scores 1.03 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carlisle United 50%, Yeovil Town 45%. Over 2.5: Carlisle United 56%, Yeovil Town 42%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Carlisle United has higher xG: 1.83 vs 1.22. Carlisle United: 14.7 shots per match, Yeovil Town: 9.7.
Match halves
Carlisle United: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.97. Yeovil Town: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.52.
Goals by minute
Carlisle United: 16-30 (13 goals). Yeovil Town: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carlisle United are displaying significantly better form and statistics, sitting in 3rd place in the table with an impressive tally of 20 wins this season. The hosts boast excellent efficiency at their home ground - winning 65% of their home matches, averaging 2.12 goals per game, and maintaining a positive goal difference of +16. Yeovil Town occupy a distant 17th place and have serious problems in away matches, losing as many as 60% of their games, scoring on average only 1 goal per match, and failing to score in 47% of instances. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (2.08 vs 1.26), confirming their superiority in creating goal-scoring opportunities. Taking all these factors into account, a Carlisle United victory is the most likely scenario for this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | Yeovil Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carlisle United is 125% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Carlisle United · 0.8 pts / match - Yeovil Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carlisle United is 76% better for: goals scored per match.
1.81 goals / match - Carlisle United · 1.03 goals / match - Yeovil Town
Carlisle United is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.19 goals / match - Carlisle United · 1.35 goals / match - Yeovil Town
Carlisle United scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Yeovil Town keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 31 matches).
Yeovil Town scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carlisle United
Over / Under - Yeovil Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.59 pts / match - Carlisle United · 1.19 pts / match - Yeovil Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Yeovil Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carlisle United
Yeovil Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | Yeovil Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.00 | 2.85 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 56% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 56% | 55% | ▼ 42% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 24% | • 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 72% | ▼ 61% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carlisle United 0 - 1 - 0 Yeovil Town. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs Yeovil Town?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 3:0 Yeovil Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs Yeovil Town?
Carlisle United score 1.81 goals per game on average and Yeovil Town 1.03. The National League average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Carlisle United's matches and 45% of Yeovil Town's.
What form are Carlisle United and Yeovil Town in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Yeovil Town 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs Yeovil Town?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carlisle United vs Yeovil Town: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.