Carlisle United vs York City: match statistics
The match promises to be an incredibly tight clash between two top teams in the competition. York City, as league leaders, present impressive away form with 67% wins and remain unbeaten on the road this season (0% losses). Carlisle United sits in 3rd place and holds the home advantage, where they win 64% of matches and achieve a high goal difference (+16). A key factor is York City's advantage in possession (65% vs 54%) and better form in the last 5 matches (2.2 PPG vs 2.0 PPG). Similar xG indicators (2.23 for Carlisle at home vs 2.09 for York away) and identical shot conversion (12%) suggest a very balanced contest. Considering the strength of both teams and the fact that York City often draws away (33% of matches), the most probable scenario appears to be a sharing of points, although both a win for the hosts utilizing their home advantage and a victory for the leaders are equally possible.
Carlisle United vs York City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carlisle United played York City in National League (England). The match was played on 21 January 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Carlisle United: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. York City: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carlisle United scores 1.81 and concedes 1.11 goals per match. York City scores 2.54 and concedes 1.08. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carlisle United 48%, York City 69%. Over 2.5: Carlisle United 52%, York City 73%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
York City has higher xG: 2.11 vs 1.95. Carlisle United: 15.8 shots per match, York City: 17.3.
Match halves
Carlisle United: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 1.07. York City: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 1.54.
Goals by minute
Carlisle United: 76-90+ (12 goals). York City: 76-90+ (22 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
National League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be an incredibly tight clash between two top teams in the competition. York City, as league leaders, present impressive away form with 67% wins and remain unbeaten on the road this season (0% losses). Carlisle United sits in 3rd place and holds the home advantage, where they win 64% of matches and achieve a high goal difference (+16). A key factor is York City's advantage in possession (65% vs 54%) and better form in the last 5 matches (2.2 PPG vs 2.0 PPG). Similar xG indicators (2.23 for Carlisle at home vs 2.09 for York away) and identical shot conversion (12%) suggest a very balanced contest. Considering the strength of both teams and the fact that York City often draws away (33% of matches), the most probable scenario appears to be a sharing of points, although both a win for the hosts utilizing their home advantage and a victory for the leaders are equally possible.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carlisle United | York City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
York City is 10% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Carlisle United · 2.2 pts / match - York City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
York City is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
1.81 goals / match - Carlisle United · 2.54 goals / match - York City
Carlisle United scores in 89% of matches (24 of 27 matches), while York City keeps a clean sheet in 27% (7 of 26 matches).
York City scores in 92% of matches (24 of 26 matches), while Carlisle United keeps a clean sheet in 41% (11 of 27 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carlisle United
Over / Under - York City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carlisle United is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.63 pts / match - Carlisle United · 1.38 pts / match - York City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carlisle United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
York City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 62%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (22 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +14 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carlisle United
York City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (National League).
Teams vs league
| Carlisle United | Liga | York City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.93 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 55% | ▲ 69% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 52% | 54% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 41% | 25% | ▲ 27% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 71% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 78% | 80% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carlisle United 0 - 0 - 1 York City. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carlisle United vs York City?
The National League match finished Carlisle United 0:3 York City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carlisle United vs York City?
Carlisle United score 1.81 goals per game on average and York City 2.54. The National League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Carlisle United's matches and 69% of York City's.
What form are Carlisle United and York City in?
Over the last 5 games Carlisle United have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and York City 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carlisle United vs York City?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carlisle United vs York City: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.