Carrarese vs Palermo: match statistics
Palermo currently sits 4th in the table and is displaying significantly better form than Carrarese (11th place). This is confirmed by the points per match average over the last 5 fixtures: 2.0 for the visitors versus a mere 0.4 for the hosts. Carrarese has failed to win any of their last five matches, conceding as many as 8 goals in that span, while Palermo has scored 12 goals in the same period, securing 3 wins. The hosts have failed to score in 50% of their home games, highlighting offensive issues, whereas the visitors boast a superior shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%) and a lower percentage of away matches without a goal scored (23%). Although Carrarese has a positive goal difference at home (+6), their poor current form and Palermo's superior squad quality and results point towards an away win, though a draw is also a realistic scenario given both teams' high percentage of drawn matches.
Carrarese vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrarese played Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 8 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Carrarese: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Palermo: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrarese scores 1.25 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Palermo scores 1.71 and concedes 0.79. League average: 2.52 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrarese 50%, Palermo 43%. Over 2.5: Carrarese 50%, Palermo 50%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Palermo has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.44. Carrarese: 13.2 shots per match, Palermo: 14.0.
Match halves
Carrarese: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.82. Palermo: half-time lead 54%, second-half goals 0.96.
Goals by minute
Carrarese: 61-75 (9 goals). Palermo: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palermo currently sits 4th in the table and is displaying significantly better form than Carrarese (11th place). This is confirmed by the points per match average over the last 5 fixtures: 2.0 for the visitors versus a mere 0.4 for the hosts. Carrarese has failed to win any of their last five matches, conceding as many as 8 goals in that span, while Palermo has scored 12 goals in the same period, securing 3 wins. The hosts have failed to score in 50% of their home games, highlighting offensive issues, whereas the visitors boast a superior shot conversion rate (11% vs 9%) and a lower percentage of away matches without a goal scored (23%). Although Carrarese has a positive goal difference at home (+6), their poor current form and Palermo's superior squad quality and results point towards an away win, though a draw is also a realistic scenario given both teams' high percentage of drawn matches.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrarese | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palermo is 400% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Carrarese · 2 pts / match - Palermo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 37% better for: goals scored per match.
1.25 goals / match - Carrarese · 1.71 goals / match - Palermo
Palermo is 81% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Carrarese · 0.79 goals / match - Palermo
Carrarese scores in 64% of matches (18 of 28 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 46% (13 of 28 matches).
Palermo scores in 79% of matches (22 of 28 matches), while Carrarese keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrarese
Over / Under - Palermo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 94% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.96 pts / match - Carrarese · 1.86 pts / match - Palermo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrarese - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 54% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +7 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrarese
Palermo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Carrarese | Liga | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.68 | 2.52 | • 2.50 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 55% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▲ 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 27% | ▲ 46% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 71% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 79% | 75% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Carrarese 0 - 0 - 1 Palermo. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrarese vs Palermo?
The Serie B match finished Carrarese 0:1 Palermo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrarese vs Palermo?
Carrarese score 1.25 goals per game on average and Palermo 1.71. The Serie B average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Carrarese's matches and 43% of Palermo's.
What form are Carrarese and Palermo in?
Over the last 5 games Carrarese have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Palermo 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrarese vs Palermo?
The statistical background for Carrarese vs Palermo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.