Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipBelfast Loughshore Hotel ArenaData current as of 10 November 2026

Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Carrick Rangers play Crusaders in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 13 November 2026. Venue: Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena.

Current form

Carrick Rangers: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Crusaders: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Carrick Rangers scores 1.53 and concedes 1.80 goals per match. Crusaders scores 1.33 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.78 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Carrick Rangers 53%, Crusaders 60%. Over 2.5: Carrick Rangers 53%, Crusaders 87%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.50 vs 0.93. Carrick Rangers: 11.7 shots per match, Crusaders: 6.9.

Match halves

Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.67. Crusaders: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.87.

Goals by minute

Carrick Rangers: 0-15 (5 goals). Crusaders: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.78 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 80%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.61)
(4.10)
(4.40)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Carrick RangersCrusaders
1.53Goals scored / match1.33
Carrick RangersCrusaders
1.8Goals conceded / match2
Carrick RangersCrusaders
42%Average possession43%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
4.8Shots on target / match2.6
Carrick RangersCrusaders

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.67Shots per match6.87
Carrick RangersCrusaders
4.8Shots on target2.6
Carrick RangersCrusaders
13.1%Shot conversion19.4%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
42%Possession43%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
1.5xG for0.93
Carrick RangersCrusaders
1.47xG against1.52
Carrick RangersCrusaders

Shooting quality

Carrick Rangers: Counter-attackingCrusaders: Counter-attacking
Carrick RangersCrusaders
Accuracy (shots on target)41%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.320.51

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Carrick Rangers is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 0.6 pts / match - Crusaders

Carrick Rangers
WDDLD
Season result split
33% W27% D40% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-4-6
1.27 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-3-3
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
LWDDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.56Opponent xG: 1.51BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Crusaders
LLLWL
Season result split
40% W0% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-0-9
1.20 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-0-6
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 0.80Opponent xG: 1.73BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrick Rangers is 15% better for: goals scored per match.

1.53 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.33 goals / match - Crusaders

Carrick Rangers is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.8 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 2 goals / match - Crusaders

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: very strong

Carrick Rangers scores in 73% of matches (11 of 15 matches), while Crusaders keeps a clean sheet in 7% (1 of 15 matches).

Crusaders scoring profile: strong

Crusaders scores in 67% of matches (10 of 15 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 27% (4 of 15 matches).

23Goals scored (season)20
Carrick RangersCrusaders
27Goals conceded (season)30
Carrick RangersCrusaders
3.33Average goals in match3.33
Carrick RangersCrusaders
8Goals scored (last 5)5
Carrick RangersCrusaders
12Goals conceded (last 5)12
Carrick RangersCrusaders

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal67%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
40%2 goals40%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
20%3 goals20%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
20%4 goals7%
Carrick RangersCrusaders

How often they concede at least...

73%1 goal93%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
47%2 goals53%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
20%3 goals27%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
13%4 goals20%
Carrick RangersCrusaders

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

53%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time13%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
7%BTTS in both halves0%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
27%Scored in both halves20%
Carrick RangersCrusaders

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS60%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS27%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
80%BTTS - last 540%
Carrick RangersCrusaders

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time80%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
47%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time20%
Carrick RangersCrusaders

2nd half

87%Min. 1 goal after half-time87%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time73%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Carrick RangersCrusaders

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carrick Rangers is 24% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.07 pts / match - Crusaders

Carrick Rangers - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Crusaders - half-time state
27% leading27% draw47% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.07
Carrick RangersCrusaders
0.87Goals scored (1st half)0.47
Carrick RangersCrusaders
0.93Goals conceded (1st half)0.87
Carrick RangersCrusaders
1.8Average goals (1st half)1.33
Carrick RangersCrusaders
60%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
40%No goal before half-time67%
Carrick RangersCrusaders

After half-time (2nd half)

1.07Points per match (2nd half)0.87
Carrick RangersCrusaders
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.87
Carrick RangersCrusaders
0.87Goals conceded (2nd half)1.13
Carrick RangersCrusaders
1.53Average goals (2nd half)2
Carrick RangersCrusaders
40%Clean sheet after half-time20%
Carrick RangersCrusaders
60%No goal after half-time47%
Carrick RangersCrusaders

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

27% W27% D47% L
20
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Crusaders - second-half results

13% W47% D40% L
16
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
13
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.07
PPG before half-time
Lead holding148%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Carrick Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.00
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match1.41.0
Average goals in match2.61.4
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference-1-3
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6
Crusaders - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.80
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.21.2
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet20%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-5-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
5
5
0-15
3
4
16-30
5
5
31-45
3
5
46-60
5
2
61-75
2
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Crusaders
ScoredConceded
2
8
0-15
2
2
16-30
3
3
31-45
2
9
46-60
2
4
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.6
Estimated goal split
home : away
120%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+50%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
49%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
9%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 11 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.03
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.30
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
128%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
9% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
9%

Crusaders

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.59
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.08
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.48
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
146%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.60
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
45% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
45%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

Carrick RangersLigaCrusaders
Average goals in match▲ 3.332.78▲ 3.33
Both teams scored• 53%53%▲ 60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)• 53%53%▲ 87%
Clean sheets• 27%26%▼ 7%
Goal before half-time• 67%68%▲ 80%
Goal after half-time▲ 87%85%▲ 87%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.78
Average goals per match
53%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.37
Home goals / match
1.41
Away goals / match
+-3%
Home attack advantage
+-3%
Home defence advantage
+1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
68%
1 goal
31%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
85%
1 goal
52%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (5): Carrick Rangers 3 - 1 - 1 Crusaders. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 80% matches.

Carrick Rangers
4 : 0
Crusaders
Carrick Rangers FC
6 : 1
Crusaders FC
Crusaders FC
2 : 2
Carrick Rangers FC
Carrick Rangers FC
1 : 2
Crusaders FC
Crusaders FC
3 : 4
Carrick Rangers FC

FAQ

When do Carrick Rangers and Crusaders play?

Carrick Rangers face Crusaders on 13 November 2026 in NIFL Premiership at Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Carrick Rangers and Crusaders?

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Carrick Rangers won 3, Crusaders won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 80% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders?

Carrick Rangers score 1.53 goals per game on average and Crusaders 1.33. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 60% of Crusaders's.

What form are Carrick Rangers and Crusaders in?

Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Crusaders 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carrick Rangers vs Crusaders: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.