Northern Ireland - NIFL PremiershipBelfast Loughshore Hotel ArenaData current as of 21 October 2026

Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Carrick Rangers play Limavady United in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match date is 24 October 2026. Venue: Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena.

Current form

Carrick Rangers: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Limavady United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Carrick Rangers scores 1.75 and concedes 1.58 goals per match. Limavady United scores 1.09 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Carrick Rangers 50%, Limavady United 45%. Over 2.5: Carrick Rangers 58%, Limavady United 45%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.53 vs 0.91. Carrick Rangers: 11.9 shots per match, Limavady United: 7.4.

Match halves

Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83. Limavady United: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.45.

Goals by minute

Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (5 goals). Limavady United: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NIFL Premiership: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.49)
(4.30)
(4.94)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Carrick RangersLimavady United
1.75Goals scored / match1.09
Carrick RangersLimavady United
1.58Goals conceded / match1.45
Carrick RangersLimavady United
43%Average possession39%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
4.92Shots on target / match2.82
Carrick RangersLimavady United

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.92Shots per match7.36
Carrick RangersLimavady United
4.92Shots on target2.82
Carrick RangersLimavady United
14.7%Shot conversion14.8%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
43%Possession39%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
1.53xG for0.91
Carrick RangersLimavady United
1.59xG against1.62
Carrick RangersLimavady United

Shooting quality

Carrick Rangers: Counter-attackingLimavady United: Counter-attacking
Carrick RangersLimavady United
Accuracy (shots on target)41%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.39

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Carrick Rangers
LLWWD
Season result split
42% W17% D42% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-2-5
1.42 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-3
Last 5 at home
1-1-3
LLLWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.88BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Limavady United
LWDWL
Season result split
36% W9% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-1-6
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-3
Last 5 away
1-1-3
LWLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 0.79Opponent xG: 1.75BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Carrick Rangers is 61% better for: goals scored per match.

1.75 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.09 goals / match - Limavady United

Limavady United is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.58 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.45 goals / match - Limavady United

Carrick Rangers scoring profile: very strong

Carrick Rangers scores in 75% of matches (9 of 12 matches), while Limavady United keeps a clean sheet in 9% (1 of 11 matches).

Limavady United scoring profile: strong

Limavady United scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).

21Goals scored (season)12
Carrick RangersLimavady United
19Goals conceded (season)16
Carrick RangersLimavady United
3.33Average goals in match2.55
Carrick RangersLimavady United
12Goals scored (last 5)6
Carrick RangersLimavady United
11Goals conceded (last 5)6
Carrick RangersLimavady United

How often they score at least...

75%1 goal55%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
50%2 goals36%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
25%3 goals18%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
25%4 goals0%
Carrick RangersLimavady United

How often they concede at least...

75%1 goal91%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
50%2 goals55%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
17%3 goals0%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
8%4 goals0%
Carrick RangersLimavady United

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

49%
League average

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time18%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
8%BTTS in both halves9%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
33%Scored in both halves27%
Carrick RangersLimavady United

BTTS and goal count

42%Min. 3 goals and BTTS45%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
17%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
60%BTTS - last 540%
Carrick RangersLimavady United

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
50%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
33%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Carrick RangersLimavady United

2nd half

92%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
50%Min. 2 goals after half-time36%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
17%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
Carrick RangersLimavady United

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Carrick Rangers is 22% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.33 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.09 pts / match - Limavady United

Carrick Rangers - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing
Limavady United - half-time state
27% leading27% draw45% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.33Points per match (1st half)1.09
Carrick RangersLimavady United
0.92Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Carrick RangersLimavady United
0.83Goals conceded (1st half)0.73
Carrick RangersLimavady United
1.75Average goals (1st half)1.36
Carrick RangersLimavady United
58%Clean sheet before half-time45%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
42%No goal before half-time55%
Carrick RangersLimavady United

After half-time (2nd half)

1.25Points per match (2nd half)0.91
Carrick RangersLimavady United
0.83Goals scored (2nd half)0.45
Carrick RangersLimavady United
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.73
Carrick RangersLimavady United
1.58Average goals (2nd half)1.18
Carrick RangersLimavady United
42%Clean sheet after half-time36%
Carrick RangersLimavady United
50%No goal after half-time64%
Carrick RangersLimavady United

Carrick Rangers - second-half results

33% W25% D42% L
16
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding127%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Limavady United - second-half results

18% W36% D45% L
12
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Carrick Rangers - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.60
Goals scored / match1.41.0
Goals conceded / match1.60.6
Average goals in match3.01.6
1 goal100%80%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals60%20%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 40% leading - 0% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 7
Limavady United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.4
Average goals in match1.41.0
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Carrick Rangers
ScoredConceded
4
4
0-15
2
3
16-30
5
3
31-45
3
4
46-60
5
1
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Limavady United
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
4
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
4
0
46-60
0
7
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.94
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
108%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+2%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
41%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
11%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 9 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Carrick Rangers

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.23
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.01
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
115%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
10% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
10%

Limavady United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.71
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.35
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
80%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.22
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
8% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
8%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).

Teams vs league

Carrick RangersLigaLimavady United
Average goals in match▲ 3.332.71▼ 2.55
Both teams scored• 50%49%▼ 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 58%53%▼ 45%
Clean sheets▼ 25%28%▼ 9%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%69%▲ 82%
Goal after half-time▲ 92%84%▼ 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
49%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.34
Home goals / match
1.37
Away goals / match
+-2%
Home attack advantage
+-2%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
84%
1 goal
50%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Carrick Rangers 1 - 0 - 0 Limavady United. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Carrick Rangers and Limavady United play?

Carrick Rangers face Limavady United on 24 October 2026 in NIFL Premiership at Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United?

Carrick Rangers score 1.75 goals per game on average and Limavady United 1.09. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 45% of Limavady United's.

What form are Carrick Rangers and Limavady United in?

Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Limavady United 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Carrick Rangers vs Limavady United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.