Carrick Rangers vs Linfield: match statistics
Linfield demonstrates significantly better form and statistics than Carrick Rangers. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 18 wins and just 6 defeats, while the hosts are in 7th position with a negative goal difference (-5) in home matches. In their last 5 matches, Linfield has earned 6 points (2 PPG), winning 3 games, whereas Carrick has only 3 points (1 PPG) with one victory. The visitors' advantage in expected goals (xG 1.52 vs 1.31) and a significantly better defense are crucial—Linfield concedes on average only 0.94 goals per away match with 44% clean sheets, while the hosts concede on average 1.69 goals in home matches. Linfield's positive away goal difference (+3) and 38% of matches ending in a draw suggest that the visitors are favorites, although a draw cannot be ruled out.
Carrick Rangers vs Linfield: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Carrick Rangers played Linfield in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 20 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Carrick Rangers: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Linfield: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Carrick Rangers scores 1.47 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Linfield scores 1.75 and concedes 0.69. League average: 2.87 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Carrick Rangers 66%, Linfield 38%. Over 2.5: Carrick Rangers 59%, Linfield 47%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Linfield has higher xG: 1.59 vs 1.31. Carrick Rangers: 9.7 shots per match, Linfield: 12.3.
Match halves
Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.50. Linfield: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 1.13.
Goals by minute
Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (18 goals). Linfield: 61-75 (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Linfield demonstrates significantly better form and statistics than Carrick Rangers. The visitors occupy 4th place in the table with a record of 18 wins and just 6 defeats, while the hosts are in 7th position with a negative goal difference (-5) in home matches. In their last 5 matches, Linfield has earned 6 points (2 PPG), winning 3 games, whereas Carrick has only 3 points (1 PPG) with one victory. The visitors' advantage in expected goals (xG 1.52 vs 1.31) and a significantly better defense are crucial—Linfield concedes on average only 0.94 goals per away match with 44% clean sheets, while the hosts concede on average 1.69 goals in home matches. Linfield's positive away goal difference (+3) and 38% of matches ending in a draw suggest that the visitors are favorites, although a draw cannot be ruled out.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Carrick Rangers | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Linfield is 100% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 2 pts / match - Linfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Linfield is 19% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.75 goals / match - Linfield
Linfield is 130% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.59 goals / match - Carrick Rangers · 0.69 goals / match - Linfield
Carrick Rangers scores in 81% of matches (26 of 32 matches), while Linfield keeps a clean sheet in 50% (16 of 32 matches).
Linfield scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
Over / Under - Linfield
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Linfield is 17% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.44 pts / match - Carrick Rangers · 1.69 pts / match - Linfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Linfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (14 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Carrick Rangers
Linfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Carrick Rangers | Liga | Linfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.06 | 2.87 | ▼ 2.44 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 66% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 59% | 55% | ▼ 47% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 75% | ▼ 59% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 72% | 79% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Carrick Rangers 0 - 1 - 1 Linfield. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Carrick Rangers 2:0 Linfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Carrick Rangers and Linfield?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Carrick Rangers won 0, Linfield won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
Carrick Rangers score 1.47 goals per game on average and Linfield 1.75. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 66% of Carrick Rangers's matches and 38% of Linfield's.
What form are Carrick Rangers and Linfield in?
Over the last 5 games Carrick Rangers have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Linfield 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Carrick Rangers vs Linfield?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.