Casa Pia vs Rio Ave FC: match statistics
Casa Pia vs Rio Ave FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Casa Pia play Rio Ave FC in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 16 May 2026 at 19:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Casa Pia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Rio Ave FC: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Casa Pia scores 0.91 and concedes 1.68 goals per match. Rio Ave FC scores 1.03 and concedes 1.68. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Casa Pia 47%, Rio Ave FC 53%. Over 2.5: Casa Pia 44%, Rio Ave FC 59%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Rio Ave FC has higher xG: 1.17 vs 1.00. Casa Pia: 8.8 shots per match, Rio Ave FC: 10.4.
Match halves
Casa Pia: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.44. Rio Ave FC: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
Casa Pia: 31-45+ (8 goals). Rio Ave FC: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I predict an away win (Rio Ave) because their offensive metrics on the road are superior: on average 3.63 shots on target and 8.63 shots per match versus Casa Pia’s 2.56 shots on target and 7.56 shots per match at home. Rio Ave also has higher away expected goals (xG) at 1.02 versus the home side’s 0.91 xG and a lower share of goalless matches (38% vs 44%), giving them an efficiency edge. Both teams are defensively vulnerable — each has conceded 56 goals this season, with average goals conceded of 1.56 (Casa Pia at home) versus 1.69 (Rio Ave away), so the game could be open. Additionally, Casa Pia record as many as 50% draws at home and only 13% wins, while Rio Ave win 31% of their away matches; in the last 5 fixtures the visitors scored 5 goals (1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses, 1.0 pts/match), and the hosts scored 2 goals (1-1-3, 0.8 pts/match). Considering these indicators, I assign Rio Ave the highest chances: roughly 45% for an away win, 35% for a draw and 20% for a Casa Pia win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Casa Pia | Rio Ave FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Casa Pia is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Casa Pia · 0.6 pts / match - Rio Ave FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rio Ave FC is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.91 goals / match - Casa Pia · 1.03 goals / match - Rio Ave FC
Casa Pia scores in 56% of matches (19 of 34 matches), while Rio Ave FC keeps a clean sheet in 18% (6 of 34 matches).
Rio Ave FC scores in 62% of matches (21 of 34 matches), while Casa Pia keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Casa Pia
Over / Under — Rio Ave FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Casa Pia is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.18 pts / match - Casa Pia · 0.91 pts / match - Rio Ave FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Casa Pia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rio Ave FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Casa Pia
Rio Ave FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| Casa Pia | Liga | Rio Ave FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.68 | • 2.71 |
| Both teams scored | • 47% | 48% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 54% | ▲ 59% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 29% | ▼ 18% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | • 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Casa Pia 0 - 0 - 1 Rio Ave FC. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Casa Pia vs Rio Ave FC?
The Liga NOS match finished Casa Pia 1:1 Rio Ave FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Casa Pia vs Rio Ave FC?
Casa Pia score 0.91 goals per game on average and Rio Ave FC 1.03. The Liga NOS average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Casa Pia's matches and 53% of Rio Ave FC's.
What form are Casa Pia and Rio Ave FC in?
Over the last 5 games Casa Pia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Rio Ave FC 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Casa Pia vs Rio Ave FC?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Casa Pia vs Rio Ave FC: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.