Italy - Serie C Group CData current as of 23 July 2026

Catania vs Picerno: match statistics

Catania crest
Catania
1 : 2half-time 1:2
Picerno crest
Picerno

Catania vs Picerno: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Catania play Picerno in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 14:30. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Catania: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Picerno: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Catania scores 1.42 and concedes 0.66 goals per match. Picerno scores 1.13 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.49 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Catania 37%, Picerno 63%. Over 2.5: Catania 29%, Picerno 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Catania has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.17. Catania: 12.3 shots per match, Picerno: 9.1.

Match halves

Catania: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.79. Picerno: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.42.

Goals by minute

Catania: 76-90+ (14 goals). Picerno: 16-30 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.

Match description

I back the home win ('1'). Catania has 19 wins and 51 goals this season, sits 2nd in the table, wins 76% of matches at home and keeps a clean sheet in 94% of home games. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 5 goals and average 1.6 points per game, while Picerno have only 3 goals in their last five, 0 wins and average 0.6 points. Catania creates significantly more chances: at home they average 13 shots and 5.18 shots on target with xG 1.59, whereas Picerno away average 7.47 shots, 2.59 on target and xG 0.99. Defensively the gap is clear — Catania concedes 0.06 goals on average at home with xG against 0.88, while Picerno concede 1.82 goals away with xG against 1.86, hence probability assessment 75%/15%/10%.

Half-by-half

1 : 2
1st half
0 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

57Possession (%)43
CataniaPicerno
16Shots11
CataniaPicerno
6Shots on target5
CataniaPicerno
1.93xG1.33
CataniaPicerno
4Corners4
CataniaPicerno
70Dangerous attacks39
CataniaPicerno
16Fouls13
CataniaPicerno
3Cards2
CataniaPicerno

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.42Goals scored / match1.13
CataniaPicerno
0.66Goals conceded / match1.45
CataniaPicerno
49%Average possession49%
CataniaPicerno
4.55Shots on target / match3.03
CataniaPicerno

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12.29Shots per match9.13
CataniaPicerno
4.55Shots on target3.03
CataniaPicerno
11.6%Shot conversion12.4%
CataniaPicerno
49%Possession49%
CataniaPicerno
1.53xG for1.17
CataniaPicerno
1.02xG against1.6
CataniaPicerno

Shooting quality

Catania: BalancedPicerno: Balanced
CataniaPicerno
Accuracy (shots on target)37%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.310.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Picerno is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Catania · 1.6 pts / match - Picerno

Catania
WLLDD
Season result split
50% W34% R16% P
Season (W-D-L)
19-13-6
1.84 pts / match · goal difference +29
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-5-1
Last 5 at home
1-3-1
WDDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.53Opponent xG: 1.14BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 20%
Picerno
DWWLD
Season result split
24% W34% R42% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-13-16
1.05 pts / match · goal difference -12
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-11
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLLWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.31BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Catania is 26% better for: goals scored per match.

1.42 goals / match - Catania · 1.13 goals / match - Picerno

Catania is 120% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.66 goals / match - Catania · 1.45 goals / match - Picerno

Catania scoring profile: very strong

Catania scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).

Picerno scoring profile: mixed

Picerno scores in 71% of matches (27 of 38 matches), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 58% (22 of 38 matches).

54Goals scored (season)43
CataniaPicerno
25Goals conceded (season)55
CataniaPicerno
2.08Average goals in match2.58
CataniaPicerno
4Goals scored (last 5)6
CataniaPicerno
6Goals conceded (last 5)4
CataniaPicerno

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal71%
CataniaPicerno
37%2 goals37%
CataniaPicerno
11%3 goals5%
CataniaPicerno
8%4 goals0%
CataniaPicerno

How often they concede at least...

42%1 goal82%
CataniaPicerno
16%2 goals47%
CataniaPicerno
5%3 goals8%
CataniaPicerno
3%4 goals3%
CataniaPicerno

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

13%BTTS at half-time24%
CataniaPicerno
3%BTTS in both halves0%
CataniaPicerno
29%Scored in both halves18%
CataniaPicerno

BTTS and goal count

18%Min. 3 goals and BTTS53%
CataniaPicerno
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS3%
CataniaPicerno
60%BTTS - last 560%
CataniaPicerno

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

63%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
CataniaPicerno
21%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
CataniaPicerno
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time16%
CataniaPicerno

2nd half

71%Min. 1 goal after half-time74%
CataniaPicerno
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time37%
CataniaPicerno
8%Min. 3 goals after half-time8%
CataniaPicerno

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Catania is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.55 pts / match - Catania · 1.47 pts / match - Picerno

Catania - half-time state
37% leading45% draw18% trailing
Picerno - half-time state
37% leading37% draw26% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.55Points per match (1st half)1.47
CataniaPicerno
0.63Goals scored (1st half)0.71
CataniaPicerno
0.32Goals conceded (1st half)0.66
CataniaPicerno
0.95Average goals (1st half)1.37
CataniaPicerno
74%Clean sheet before half-time53%
CataniaPicerno
50%No goal before half-time47%
CataniaPicerno

After half-time (2nd half)

1.76Points per match (2nd half)1.03
CataniaPicerno
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.42
CataniaPicerno
0.34Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
CataniaPicerno
1.13Average goals (2nd half)1.21
CataniaPicerno
71%Clean sheet after half-time45%
CataniaPicerno
39%No goal after half-time63%
CataniaPicerno

Catania - second-half results

45% W42% R13% P
59
Half-time points
24
Half-time goals
+12
Goal difference (1st half)
67
Second-half points
+17
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.55
PPG before half-time
Lead holding135%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Picerno - second-half results

21% W39% R39% P
56
Half-time points
27
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
39
Second-half points
-14
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.47
PPG before half-time
Lead holding65%

Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 24%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Catania - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.202.00
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match1.00.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Picerno - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal40%40%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference+1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Catania
ScoredConceded
9
3
0-15
6
4
16-30
9
5
31-45
4
6
46-60
12
1
61-75
14
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.

Picerno
ScoredConceded
8
10
0-15
12
8
16-30
7
7
31-45
4
9
46-60
5
6
61-75
7
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
94%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-57%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Catania

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.51
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.25
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-23.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.11
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.36
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
97%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
64%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.84
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Picerno

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.43
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.11
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
110%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.55
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.3
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

CataniaLigaPicerno
Average goals in match 2.082.49 2.58
Both teams scored 37%51% 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%46% 55%
Clean sheets 58%28% 18%
Goal before half-time 63%67% 76%
Goal after half-time 71%79% 74%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.49
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / match
1.03
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+29%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
11%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Catania 1 - 0 - 0 Picerno. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Catania vs Picerno?

The Serie C Group C match finished Catania 1:2 Picerno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Catania vs Picerno?

Catania score 1.42 goals per game on average and Picerno 1.13. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Catania's matches and 63% of Picerno's.

What form are Catania and Picerno in?

Over the last 5 games Catania have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Picerno 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Catania vs Picerno?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.