Catania vs Potenza Calcio: match statistics
Catania vs Potenza Calcio: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Catania play Potenza Calcio in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 19 April 2026 at 20:30. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Catania: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Potenza Calcio: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Catania scores 1.42 and concedes 0.66 goals per match. Potenza Calcio scores 1.42 and concedes 1.47. League average: 2.49 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Catania 37%, Potenza Calcio 53%. Over 2.5: Catania 29%, Potenza Calcio 61%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Catania has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.41. Catania: 12.3 shots per match, Potenza Calcio: 12.2.
Match halves
Catania: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.79. Potenza Calcio: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
Catania: 76-90+ (14 goals). Potenza Calcio: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie C Group C: 2.49 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
Catania holds a clear advantage in home metrics: they are 2nd in the table, win 72% of home matches, score 1.83 goals and concede only 0.17 goals per home game, with 89% clean sheets. Potenza win just 17% of away fixtures, have a negative away goal difference (-18) and concede 2.00 goals per away match on average, with only 11% clean sheets. In chance quality Catania register 5.22 shots on target and 13.17 shots overall at home with xG 1.61 and a conversion rate of 14%, whereas Potenza average 3.17 shots on target, 11 shots overall, xG 1.30 and 9% conversion away, indicating higher efficiency from the hosts in creating and converting chances. The last 5 matches show Potenza scored 10 goals versus 5 by Catania, but the visitors conceded 7 goals compared to 6 for the hosts and have a lower points-per-game in the last 5 (1.2 vs 1.4). Considering Catania’s defensive edge and superior chance quality alongside Potenza’s poor away numbers, I forecast a home win; probabilities estimated at 70% for Catania, 18% for a draw and 12% for Potenza.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Catania | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Potenza Calcio is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Catania · 1.6 pts / match - Potenza Calcio
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catania is 123% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.66 goals / match - Catania · 1.47 goals / match - Potenza Calcio
Catania scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Potenza Calcio keeps a clean sheet in 29% (11 of 38 matches).
Potenza Calcio scores in 74% of matches (28 of 38 matches), while Catania keeps a clean sheet in 58% (22 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Catania
Over / Under — Potenza Calcio
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Catania is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Catania · 1.39 pts / match - Potenza Calcio
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Catania - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Potenza Calcio - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 32%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Catania
Potenza Calcio
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).
Teams vs league
| Catania | Liga | Potenza Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.08 | 2.49 | ▲ 2.89 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 37% | 51% | ▲ 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 46% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 58% | 28% | • 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 63% | 67% | ▲ 74% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 79% | ▲ 84% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Catania 0 - 1 - 0 Potenza Calcio. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Catania vs Potenza Calcio?
The Serie C Group C match finished Catania 1:1 Potenza Calcio. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Catania vs Potenza Calcio?
Catania score 1.42 goals per game on average and Potenza Calcio 1.42. The Serie C Group C average is 2.49 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 37% of Catania's matches and 53% of Potenza Calcio's.
What form are Catania and Potenza Calcio in?
Over the last 5 games Catania have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Potenza Calcio 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Catania vs Potenza Calcio?
The statistical background for Catania vs Potenza Calcio — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.