Catanzaro vs Calcio Padova: match statistics
Catanzaro vs Calcio Padova: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Catanzaro played Calcio Padova in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Catanzaro: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match. Calcio Padova: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Catanzaro scores 1.11 and concedes 2.33 goals per match. Calcio Padova scores 1.00 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.67 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Catanzaro 78%, Calcio Padova 44%. Over 2.5: Catanzaro 67%, Calcio Padova 33%. League level: BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 51%.
xG, shots and style
Catanzaro has higher xG: 1.43 vs 1.16. Catanzaro: 13.0 shots per match, Calcio Padova: 10.9.
Match halves
Catanzaro: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.56. Calcio Padova: half-time lead 44%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Catanzaro: 16-30 (3 goals). Calcio Padova: 16-30 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.67 goals per match, BTTS 61%, Over 2.5 51%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Calcio Padova have a stronger chance of winning, primarily thanks to their more solid defence: they concede an average of 1.25 goals away from home, while Catanzaro concede as many as 3 at home. The hosts have lost 6 of their 8 matches this season and conceded 13 goals in their last five, pointing to persistent defensive problems. Padova have won 2 of 4 away matches and 2 of their last 5 games overall, compared with just one win for Catanzaro over the same period. The hosts’ potential advantage lies in the quality of the chances they create: their average home xG is 1.75, compared with Padova’s 1.33 away from home. However, the visitors allow opponents chances worth an average xG of 2.11, so despite the lean towards Padova, the forecasted edge remains moderate.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
This season, both teams have scored in 50% of their matches, but Catanzaro's last 5 games have pushed that rate up to 80%. Padova have scored in every match so far, while Catanzaro have conceded an average of 2.6 goals recently, significantly increasing the likelihood of an away goal. The hosts score just 0.75 goals per match, but their opponents allow chances worth an average of 2.11 xG, giving Catanzaro a realistic chance of finding the net as well. Padova's 50% clean-sheet rate warrants some caution, but their defensive xG and the hosts' recent average of 1.2 goals scored give a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score (BTTS - Yes / Goal/Goal).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this total was recorded in every Catanzaro home match to date and in 75% of Padova's away games. The hosts average 0.75 goals at home, while the visitors average 1.00 on the road, so neither side stands out for its scoring output in these conditions. Caution is warranted, however, as Catanzaro have conceded an average of 2.6 goals across their last five matches, and 80% of their games have gone Over 2.5 goals. In addition, Padova's away xG against stands at 2.11, increasing the likelihood of the hosts scoring. The forecast of 2.55 total goals accounts for these risks but still supports Under 3.5 goals more strongly than the other selections.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is Calcio Padova leading at the break and maintaining their advantage until the end of the match. In their last five matches, the visitors led at half-time in 40% of cases, while Catanzaro were trailing at the break just as often; during this period, the hosts conceded an average of 1.4 goals before half-time, compared with 0.4 for the visitors. Padova create more chances, recording an average xG of 1.33 compared with Catanzaro’s 0.95, and have won 50% of their matches this season, compared with 25% for the hosts. After half-time, Catanzaro conceded an average of 1.0 goals, while Padova conceded 0.5, which supports the likelihood that the visitors would hold on to any lead. The forecast is not definitive, however: in their matches so far this season, Catanzaro led at the break in 50% of games, so outcomes involving the hosts leading or the score being level at half-time remain significant possibilities.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Catanzaro | Calcio Padova | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Calcio Padova is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.4 pts / match - Catanzaro · 1.2 pts / match - Calcio Padova
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Catanzaro is 11% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Catanzaro · 1 goals / match - Calcio Padova
Calcio Padova is 110% better for: goals conceded per match.
2.33 goals / match - Catanzaro · 1.11 goals / match - Calcio Padova
Catanzaro scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Calcio Padova keeps a clean sheet in 44% (4 of 9 matches).
Calcio Padova scores in 89% of matches (8 of 9 matches), while Catanzaro keeps a clean sheet in 11% (1 of 9 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Catanzaro
Over / Under - Calcio Padova
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Calcio Padova is 88% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.89 pts / match - Catanzaro · 1.67 pts / match - Calcio Padova
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Catanzaro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 11%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Calcio Padova - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 44% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Catanzaro
Calcio Padova
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Catanzaro | Liga | Calcio Padova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.44 | 2.67 | ▼ 2.11 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 78% | 61% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 51% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 11% | 21% | ▲ 44% |
| Goal before half-time | • 67% | 67% | ▲ 78% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 85% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Catanzaro 1 - 0 - 1 Calcio Padova. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Catanzaro vs Calcio Padova?
The Serie B match finished Catanzaro 1:1 Calcio Padova. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Catanzaro and Calcio Padova?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Catanzaro won 1, Calcio Padova won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Catanzaro vs Calcio Padova?
Catanzaro score 1.11 goals per game on average and Calcio Padova 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.67 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 51% of games. Both teams score in 78% of Catanzaro's matches and 44% of Calcio Padova's.
What form are Catanzaro and Calcio Padova in?
Over the last 5 games Catanzaro have a 0-2-3 record (0.40 points per game) and Calcio Padova 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Catanzaro vs Calcio Padova?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.