Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC: match statistics
Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cavalry FC played Pacific FC in Canadian Premier League (Canada). The match was played on 24 May 2026. Venue: Spruce Meadows. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Cavalry FC: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Pacific FC: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cavalry FC scores 1.50 and concedes 0.50 goals per match. Pacific FC scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.31 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cavalry FC 50%, Pacific FC 67%. Over 2.5: Cavalry FC 33%, Pacific FC 67%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Cavalry FC has higher xG: 1.55 vs 1.28. Cavalry FC: 12.8 shots per match, Pacific FC: 10.5.
Match halves
Cavalry FC: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.83. Pacific FC: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Cavalry FC: 16-30 (2 goals). Pacific FC: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Canadian Premier League: 2.31 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I forecast a home win because Cavalry FC holds a clear advantage in form and home metrics. At home Cavalry has a record of 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses, scoring 2.0 goals and conceding 1.0 on average per match with an average xG of 1.81 versus 1.20. In the last 5 matches the hosts have scored 7 goals and recorded 3 wins (form ddwww, averaging 2.2 points per game), while Pacific scored 4 and conceded 10 in that period (form dllll, averaging 0.2 points per game). Additionally, Cavalry averages 16 shots and 6 on target per home game, whereas Pacific away averages only 7 shots and 3 on target and concedes 2.0 goals per away match. Although Pacific’s conversion rate is high (~29% versus Cavalry’s 13%), the low shot volume and high goals conceded in recent games favor a home victory.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I select BTTS - Yes (80% vs 20%) — the key signal is Pacific FC’s season BTTS 100% and 100% of matches over 2.5 goals, with Pacific averaging 2.0 scored and 2.0 conceded per game (6 scored, 12 conceded). Cavalry FC has a season BTTS 60% and BTTS 40% in the last 5; seasonally they score 0.8 goals per game (9 goals), but in the last five matches they average 1.4 goals and xG 1.6, indicating the home side’s attack has improved. Pacific in the last 5 matches has xG 0.78 but a very high conversion rate of 29% with an average of 7 shots and 3 shots on target per game, while Cavalry has a 7% conversion with 11.2 shots and also 3 shots on target, which increases the away side’s chance to score. Defensively Cavalry concede only 0.4 goals on average in the last 5 (2 conceded), and Pacific concede 2.0 per game in the same run (10 conceded), showing the guests’ vulnerability and favoring goal exchange. Overall, considering Pacific’s 100% BTTS, Cavalry’s 60% BTTS, recent xG and form (home: ddwww, away: dllll), the both teams to score scenario is stronger, hence the pick: Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG from the last 5 matches, Cavalry has xG_for 1.6 and Pacific xG_for 0.78; xG against are 1.64 (against Pacific) and 1.21 (against Cavalry) respectively, yielding expected 1.62 goals for Cavalry and 1.00 for Pacific, totaling 2.62. From a Poisson distribution this sum translates to approximately a 74% chance of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5), ~49% for at least 3 goals (Over 2.5) and ~27% for at least 4 goals (Over 3.5). In the last 5 matches Cavalry scored 7 goals (avg 1.4) and conceded 2 (0.4), while Pacific scored 4 goals (0.8) and conceded 10 (2.0), which confirms the visitors’ tendency toward higher-scoring games. Seasonal metrics show Cavalry at home have Over 2.5 in 60% of matches, Pacific have Over 2.5 in 100% and BTTS 60% and 100% respectively; additionally Pacific have a 29% conversion rate on an average of 7 shots, and Cavalry 11.2 shots with a 7% conversion. On this basis the strongest and clearest signal is a bet on Over 1.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest signal indicates an away lead at Half-Time: leadingAtHTPercentage_away = 100% and scoredAVGHT_away = 1.0 versus scoredAVGHT_home = 0.0, meaning the away side averages 1 goal before the break while the home side scores none. For Full-Time I lean towards an away win because seasonScoredAVG_away = 2.0 vs seasonScoredAVG_home = 0.8 and the away side’s shot conversion is 29% compared to 7% for the home side, despite the home team taking more shots (11.2 vs 7.0). Although xG suggests the home team creates more chances (xg_for_avg_home = 1.28 vs xg_for_avg_away = 0.0), the home team’s low conversion and the away team’s higher efficiency increase the likelihood that the away lead will hold until the end. A warning is form: form_l5_home = "ddwww" and last5_winPercentage_overall_home = 60% versus form_l5_away = "dllll" and last5_winPercentage_overall_away = 0%, which gives some comeback potential for the home side, hence moderate chances of a draw or a home turnaround.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cavalry FC | Pacific FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cavalry FC is 1000% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Cavalry FC · 0.2 pts / match - Pacific FC
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cavalry FC is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Cavalry FC · 1 goals / match - Pacific FC
Cavalry FC is 300% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.5 goals / match - Cavalry FC · 2 goals / match - Pacific FC
Cavalry FC scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Pacific FC keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 6 matches).
Pacific FC scores in 67% of matches (4 of 6 matches), while Cavalry FC keeps a clean sheet in 50% (3 of 6 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cavalry FC
Over / Under - Pacific FC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cavalry FC is 101% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Cavalry FC · 0.83 pts / match - Pacific FC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cavalry FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Pacific FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 0% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cavalry FC
Pacific FC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Canadian Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Cavalry FC | Liga | Pacific FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.31 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 38% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 50% | 25% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | • 50% | 50% | ▲ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 67% | 81% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Cavalry FC 3 - 1 - 1 Pacific FC. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC?
The Canadian Premier League match finished Cavalry FC 3:0 Pacific FC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cavalry FC and Pacific FC?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Cavalry FC won 3, Pacific FC won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC?
Cavalry FC score 1.50 goals per game on average and Pacific FC 1.00. The Canadian Premier League average is 2.31 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cavalry FC's matches and 67% of Pacific FC's.
What form are Cavalry FC and Pacific FC in?
Over the last 5 games Cavalry FC have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Pacific FC 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cavalry FC vs Pacific FC?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.