Cavalry FC vs Vancouver FC: match statistics

Cavalry FC are in excellent form: they have scored 13 goals in their last five matches, winning four and remaining unbeaten, while Vancouver FC have managed just 5 goals during that period and lost two games. The hosts win 78% of their home matches, average 2.44 goals per game and have not suffered a single defeat on home soil, whereas Vancouver lose 56% of their away fixtures. Cavalry’s superiority is also evident in chance creation: their average home xG stands at 1.93 compared with Vancouver’s 1.31 away from home, while shots on target average 6.11 to 4.11 per match. The hosts concede just 0.67 goals per home game, whereas the visitors allow opponents 1.44 goals and fail to score in 44% of away matches. This combination of data clearly points to a high probability of a Cavalry FC victory.

The BTTS signal is moderately positive, as Cavalry score an average of 1.40 goals, while Vancouver concede 1.44 goals per match. The home side are also in very good attacking form: they have scored 13 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 2.6 per game, with an xG of 1.72. Vancouver average 4.11 shots on target and have a season xG of 1.31, while Cavalry’s defence allows opponents an xG of 1.28, giving the visitors a realistic chance of scoring. The pick is also supported by Cavalry recording BTTS in 80% of their last five matches, as well as Vancouver’s low 11% rate of clean sheets. The risk to the Yes scenario comes from the hosts’ solid defence, which concedes only 0.90 goals on average; however, Cavalry’s superior attacking form and Vancouver’s defensive weaknesses marginally favour goals from both teams.

Cavalry score an average of 1.40 goals per match, while Vancouver concede 1.44, with the hosts having scored as many as 13 goals in their last five fixtures. However, the visitors’ attacking potential is limited by Cavalry’s solid defensive record, as they allow just 0.90 goals per game over the season and have conceded 4 goals in their last five matches. Projected xG points to a home advantage: 1.48 across the season and 1.72 over their last five appearances, while Vancouver have recently created chances worth only 1.05 xG. Despite Cavalry’s good form, only 20% of their matches went Over 3.5 goals, and the average expected goals total for this fixture stands at 2.60. Therefore, Under 3.5 goals has a clear edge, as a scenario involving four or more goals would require a total significantly above the hosts’ defensive profile.

Cavalry FC are in clearly superior current form, having won 4 of their last 5 matches while averaging 2.6 goals scored and just 0.8 conceded, whereas Vancouver FC have lost 2 of their 5 matches and averaged only 1.0 goal scored. The hosts are particularly strong before the break, conceding just 0.2 goals per match in the first half; they have also scored 5 goals in the opening 15 minutes without conceding any. Vancouver have often struggled to get into matches during their latest run, trailing at half-time in 3 of their 5 appearances, with only a 40% rate of leading at the break. Cavalry's advantage should continue after the interval: in their last five matches, the hosts have averaged 1.8 goals in the second half, while their opponents have managed just 0.2. In addition, Cavalry have won 50% of their matches this season compared with Vancouver's 33%, while the visitors concede an average of 1.44 goals per match. This further supports the HT/FT scenario of Cavalry leading at the break and securing the final victory, namely 1/1.