Italy - Serie C Group CStadio Comunale Simonetta LambertiData current as of 16 October 2026

Cavese vs Casertana: match statistics

Cavese crest
Cavese
2 : 0half-time 1:0
Casertana crest
Casertana

Cavese vs Casertana: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cavese played Casertana in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 3 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Cavese: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Casertana: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cavese scores 1.71 and concedes 2.00 goals per match. Casertana scores 1.71 and concedes 1.43. League average: 2.87 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cavese 71%, Casertana 71%. Over 2.5: Cavese 71%, Casertana 71%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Casertana has higher xG: 1.56 vs 1.47. Cavese: 11.7 shots per match, Casertana: 13.1.

Match halves

Cavese: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 1.43. Casertana: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Cavese: 46-60 (4 goals). Casertana: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.87 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Cavese hold a slight edge thanks to their attacking output at home, averaging 3 goals per match, while Casertana score 1.67 goals away from home. The hosts also create marginally better chances, with an average xG of 1.63 compared to 1.45 for the visitors. However, Casertana have the more solid defence: they concede an average of 1 goal away from home, while Cavese concede 2 at home. The visitors have also been in better form over their last five matches, recording 2 wins and 1 defeat, compared to the hosts’ 1 win and 2 defeats. Cavese are therefore only marginally more likely to win, and their weaker defence gives Casertana a genuine chance of taking points.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

BTTS has occurred in 75% of Cavese matches and 67% of Casertana matches, both above the league average of 55%. Cavese score an average of 1.75 goals, while Casertana average 1.67; their attacking potential is backed up by xG figures of 1.65 and 1.45, respectively. The hosts’ defence is particularly encouraging for an away goal, conceding an average of 1.75 goals per match and 2.0 across their last five. A risk for this bet is that Casertana have failed to score in 33% of their matches and concede an average of only 1.0 goal, although Cavese have scored in every match. The teams’ attacking records and the frequency of matches in which both sides score support the BTTS - Yes selection.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Cavese score an average of 1.75 goals and concede 1.75, while Casertana score 1.67 goals per match, pointing to the potential for at least two goals in total. Both teams went Over 1.5 goals in 75% and 67% of their matches, respectively. Their attacking xG averages are 1.65 and 1.45, and Cavese have failed to score in none of the matches included. Therefore, Over 1.5 is the strongest pick; Over 2.5 is also justified but requires a third goal, while Casertana concede only 1.0 goal on average.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Casertana led at the break in 2 of their 3 matches so far, while Cavese were trailing after 45 minutes in 2 of 4, pointing to an early advantage for the visitors. Before half-time, Casertana average 1.00 goal compared with Cavese’s 0.50, while conceding just 0.33 goals against the hosts’ 0.75. Casertana’s average of 2.33 points per match and unbeaten record also support them maintaining their lead, whereas Cavese average 1.25 points and concede 1.75 goals per match. The risk of a turnaround is nevertheless significant: Cavese average 1.25 goals after the break, while Casertana score 0.67 in that half. Even so, the visitors’ advantage in both half-time results and overall results makes them leading at the break and winning at full-time the most likely single scenario in the HT/FT market.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

1 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

43Possession (%)57
CaveseCasertana
23Shots11
CaveseCasertana
11Shots on target4
CaveseCasertana
2.91xG1.55
CaveseCasertana
8Corners6
CaveseCasertana
97Dangerous attacks79
CaveseCasertana
13Fouls5
CaveseCasertana
2Cards0
CaveseCasertana

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.71Goals scored / match1.71
CaveseCasertana
2Goals conceded / match1.43
CaveseCasertana
51%Average possession52%
CaveseCasertana
4Shots on target / match4.71
CaveseCasertana

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.71Shots per match13.14
CaveseCasertana
4Shots on target4.71
CaveseCasertana
14.6%Shot conversion13%
CaveseCasertana
51%Possession52%
CaveseCasertana
1.47xG for1.56
CaveseCasertana
1.33xG against1.4
CaveseCasertana

Shooting quality

Cavese: Efficient finishingCasertana: Efficient finishing
CaveseCasertana
Accuracy (shots on target)34%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Casertana is 60% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Cavese · 1.6 pts / match - Casertana

Cavese
DDLLW
Season result split
29% W29% D43% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-3
1.14 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-1
Last 5 at home
2-0-1
WLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.33BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Casertana
DWWDL
Season result split
43% W43% D14% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-3-1
1.71 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-0
Last 5 away
2-1-0
WWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.35BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Casertana is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.

2 goals / match - Cavese · 1.43 goals / match - Casertana

Cavese scoring profile: strong

Cavese scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Casertana keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).

Casertana scoring profile: very strong

Casertana scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Cavese keeps a clean sheet in 14% (1 of 7 matches).

12Goals scored (season)12
CaveseCasertana
14Goals conceded (season)10
CaveseCasertana
3.71Average goals in match3.14
CaveseCasertana
9Goals scored (last 5)7
CaveseCasertana
10Goals conceded (last 5)6
CaveseCasertana

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal86%
CaveseCasertana
57%2 goals57%
CaveseCasertana
29%3 goals29%
CaveseCasertana
14%4 goals0%
CaveseCasertana

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal71%
CaveseCasertana
57%2 goals57%
CaveseCasertana
43%3 goals14%
CaveseCasertana
14%4 goals0%
CaveseCasertana

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time29%
CaveseCasertana
0%BTTS in both halves14%
CaveseCasertana
29%Scored in both halves29%
CaveseCasertana

BTTS and goal count

57%Min. 3 goals and BTTS71%
CaveseCasertana
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CaveseCasertana
80%BTTS - last 560%
CaveseCasertana

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

86%Min. 1 goal before half-time71%
CaveseCasertana
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time29%
CaveseCasertana
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time29%
CaveseCasertana

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time71%
CaveseCasertana
71%Min. 2 goals after half-time57%
CaveseCasertana
57%Min. 3 goals after half-time43%
CaveseCasertana

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Casertana is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1 pts / match - Cavese · 1.57 pts / match - Casertana

Cavese - half-time state
29% leading14% draw57% trailing
Casertana - half-time state
43% leading29% draw29% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1Points per match (1st half)1.57
CaveseCasertana
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.71
CaveseCasertana
0.86Goals conceded (1st half)0.57
CaveseCasertana
1.14Average goals (1st half)1.29
CaveseCasertana
43%Clean sheet before half-time43%
CaveseCasertana
71%No goal before half-time57%
CaveseCasertana

After half-time (2nd half)

2Points per match (2nd half)1.43
CaveseCasertana
1.43Goals scored (2nd half)1
CaveseCasertana
1.14Goals conceded (2nd half)0.86
CaveseCasertana
2.57Average goals (2nd half)1.86
CaveseCasertana
29%Clean sheet after half-time43%
CaveseCasertana
29%No goal after half-time29%
CaveseCasertana

Cavese - second-half results

57% W29% D14% L
7
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
14
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Casertana - second-half results

29% W57% D14% L
11
Half-time points
5
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.57
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cavese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.21.6
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.22.6
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-4+3
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1
Casertana - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.80
Goals scored / match0.21.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.8
Average goals in match0.62.0
1 goal60%80%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%40%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cavese
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
1
2
16-30
1
4
31-45
4
1
46-60
4
3
61-75
2
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Casertana
ScoredConceded
2
2
0-15
1
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.42
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 1.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
119%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
71%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-27%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
61%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
4%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 25 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cavese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.14
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.43
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.24
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.67
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
104%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
163%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.14
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.1
Late goals
17% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
17%

Casertana

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.15
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
139%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
87%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

CaveseLigaCasertana
Average goals in match▲ 3.712.87▲ 3.14
Both teams scored▲ 71%55%▲ 71%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 71%52%▲ 71%
Clean sheets▼ 14%27%▲ 29%
Goal before half-time▲ 86%74%▼ 71%
Goal after half-time▲ 86%74%▼ 71%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.87
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.64
Home goals / match
1.23
Away goals / match
+33%
Home attack advantage
+25%
Home defence advantage
+18%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
48%
2 goals
28%
3 goals
13%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. CaveseSubstitutionOn: Pietro AsiaticoOff: Alessandro Fiordaliso
  2. CasertanaSubstitutionOn: Francesco Di TacchioOff: Salvatore Pezzella
  3. CasertanaSubstitutionOn: Giulio FavaleOff: Shady Oukhadda
  4. CasertanaSubstitutionOn: Enrico PiovanelloOff: Franco Orlando Vezzoni
  5. CaveseSubstitutionOn: Giuseppe FellaOff: Elios Minaj
  6. CaveseSubstitutionOn: Samuele SavaOff: Mattia Macchi
  7. CaveseYellow cardManuel Peretti

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Cavese 0 - 0 - 2 Casertana. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

What was the result of Cavese vs Casertana?

The Serie C Group C match finished Cavese 2:0 Casertana. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cavese and Casertana?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cavese won 0, Casertana won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cavese vs Casertana?

Cavese score 1.71 goals per game on average and Casertana 1.71. The Serie C Group C average is 2.87 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Cavese's matches and 71% of Casertana's.

What form are Cavese and Casertana in?

Over the last 5 games Cavese have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Casertana 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cavese vs Casertana?

The statistical background for Cavese vs Casertana — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.