Italy - Serie C Group CStadio Comunale Simonetta LambertiData current as of 01 November 2026

Cavese vs Picerno: match statistics

Cavese crest
Cavese
1 : 2half-time 0:2
Picerno crest
Picerno

Cavese vs Picerno: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cavese played Picerno in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale Simonetta Lamberti. Final score: 1:2.

Current form

Cavese: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Picerno: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cavese scores 1.82 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Picerno scores 1.82 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.80 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cavese 64%, Picerno 64%. Over 2.5: Cavese 55%, Picerno 73%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.

xG, shots and style

Cavese has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.43. Cavese: 12.0 shots per match, Picerno: 11.3.

Match halves

Cavese: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 1.27. Picerno: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Cavese: 61-75 (6 goals). Picerno: 31-45+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.80 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 52%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.

Archived pre-match analysis

This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.

General match analysis

Cavese have won 4 of their last 5 home matches, while Picerno have lost 4 of their last 5 away games. Current form also favours the hosts: they have scored 12 goals and recorded 3 wins in their last five matches, while the visitors have scored 6 goals and won just once. At home, Cavese average 3.2 goals per match and 7 shots on target, whereas Picerno average 1 goal and 3 shots on target away from home. The hosts’ advantage in chance quality is reflected in their home xG of 1.90, compared with Picerno’s away xG of 1.34. However, Cavese concede an average of 1.6 goals at home, so despite their clear attacking edge, a clean-sheet victory is far from certain.

View the statistical overview
BTTS - will both teams score?

Cavese have seen both teams score in 100% of their home matches, although the figure for Picerno away from home is only 40%. The hosts average 2.4 goals at home, while the visitors concede 1.6 on the road, making a Cavese goal look likely. Picerno’s chances of scoring are supported by the fact that Cavese have not kept a clean sheet at home and concede an average of 2.0 goals there, while the visitors average 1.0 goal away from home. In their last five matches, the rate of games in which both teams scored was 60% for Cavese and 80% for Picerno, strengthening the case for BTTS - Yes. The main risk remains the visitors’ attack: they have failed to score in 40% of away matches and average 3 shots on target, compared with 5 for the hosts.

View BTTS statistics
Over/Under - goals analysis

Cavese score an average of 2.4 goals at home and concede 2.0, meaning every home match included in the analysis has featured at least 2 goals. Picerno concede an average of 1.6 goals away from home and have shipped 10 goals across their last 5 matches, strengthening the case for the hosts to score. At the same time, the visitors average only 1.0 goal away from home, so their contribution to a high-scoring game is less certain. The total goal projection of 3.03 supports Over 1.5 goals, while the 2.5 and 3.5 lines carry more risk, particularly as only 40% of Picerno’s away matches have gone Over 2.5 goals.

View Over/Under statistics
HT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario

Cavese have a clear edge across their last five matches, averaging 2.4 goals and winning three, while Picerno have conceded an average of 2.0 goals and lost four times. The home side led at the break in two of their five home matches, while the visitors were behind at half-time in two of their five away games, supporting the scenario of Cavese taking an early lead. The 1/1 selection is also backed by Cavese averaging 1.2 first-half goals at home, compared with Picerno’s 0.4 goals away. Cavese also won the second half in three of their five home matches, while Picerno lost it in three of their five away games, making the home side more likely to hold their lead than suffer a turnaround. A half-time draw remains a notable alternative, as both teams were level at the break in two of their five respective home and away matches.

View first-half and second-half statistics

Half-by-half

0 : 2
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

65Possession (%)35
CavesePicerno
17Shots6
CavesePicerno
3Shots on target3
CavesePicerno
2.23xG1.01
CavesePicerno
5Corners0
CavesePicerno
130Dangerous attacks56
CavesePicerno
12Fouls15
CavesePicerno
2Cards2
CavesePicerno

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.82Goals scored / match1.82
CavesePicerno
1.64Goals conceded / match1.64
CavesePicerno
50%Average possession50%
CavesePicerno
4.55Shots on target / match4.18
CavesePicerno

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

12Shots per match11.27
CavesePicerno
4.55Shots on target4.18
CavesePicerno
15.2%Shot conversion16.1%
CavesePicerno
50%Possession50%
CavesePicerno
1.53xG for1.43
CavesePicerno
1.35xG against1.66
CavesePicerno

Shooting quality

Cavese: Efficient finishingPicerno: Efficient finishing
CavesePicerno
Accuracy (shots on target)38%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.400.44

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cavese is 67% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Cavese · 1.2 pts / match - Picerno

Cavese
WWDWL
Season result split
36% W27% D36% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-3-4
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-0-1
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WLWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.36BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Picerno
WLLLW
Season result split
45% W0% D55% L
Season (W-D-L)
5-0-6
1.36 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-0-4
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.29Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Cavese scoring profile: very strong

Cavese scores in 73% of matches (8 of 11 matches), while Picerno keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

Picerno scoring profile: very strong

Picerno scores in 82% of matches (9 of 11 matches), while Cavese keeps a clean sheet in 18% (2 of 11 matches).

20Goals scored (season)20
CavesePicerno
18Goals conceded (season)18
CavesePicerno
3.45Average goals in match3.45
CavesePicerno
12Goals scored (last 5)8
CavesePicerno
6Goals conceded (last 5)8
CavesePicerno

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal82%
CavesePicerno
55%2 goals64%
CavesePicerno
27%3 goals27%
CavesePicerno
18%4 goals9%
CavesePicerno

How often they concede at least...

82%1 goal82%
CavesePicerno
45%2 goals45%
CavesePicerno
27%3 goals18%
CavesePicerno
9%4 goals18%
CavesePicerno

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

18%BTTS at half-time27%
CavesePicerno
0%BTTS in both halves18%
CavesePicerno
36%Scored in both halves45%
CavesePicerno

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS64%
CavesePicerno
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
CavesePicerno
60%BTTS - last 560%
CavesePicerno

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
CavesePicerno
36%Min. 2 goals before half-time55%
CavesePicerno
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
CavesePicerno

2nd half

82%Min. 1 goal after half-time91%
CavesePicerno
55%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
CavesePicerno
45%Min. 3 goals after half-time45%
CavesePicerno

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Picerno is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.18 pts / match - Cavese · 1.45 pts / match - Picerno

Cavese - half-time state
27% leading36% draw36% trailing
Picerno - half-time state
36% leading36% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.18Points per match (1st half)1.45
CavesePicerno
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.82
CavesePicerno
0.82Goals conceded (1st half)0.73
CavesePicerno
1.36Average goals (1st half)1.55
CavesePicerno
45%Clean sheet before half-time55%
CavesePicerno
55%No goal before half-time36%
CavesePicerno

After half-time (2nd half)

1.91Points per match (2nd half)1.45
CavesePicerno
1.27Goals scored (2nd half)1
CavesePicerno
0.82Goals conceded (2nd half)0.91
CavesePicerno
2.09Average goals (2nd half)1.91
CavesePicerno
45%Clean sheet after half-time27%
CavesePicerno
36%No goal after half-time36%
CavesePicerno

Cavese - second-half results

55% W27% D18% L
13
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.18
PPG before half-time
Lead holding133%

Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 36%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Picerno - second-half results

45% W9% D45% L
16
Half-time points
9
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
16
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.45
PPG before half-time
Lead holding125%

Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cavese - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match1.01.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.62.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal20%40%
Goal difference+2+4
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5
Picerno - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.600.60
Goals scored / match1.00.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.0
Average goals in match1.61.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cavese
ScoredConceded
0
0
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
7
31-45
5
1
46-60
6
3
61-75
3
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Picerno
ScoredConceded
1
2
0-15
3
1
16-30
5
5
31-45
4
4
46-60
2
4
61-75
5
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.46
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.7 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
124%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-13%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
60%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cavese

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.18
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.29
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.29
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
112%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Picerno

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.39
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
154%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.16
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

CaveseLigaPicerno
Average goals in match▲ 3.452.80▲ 3.45
Both teams scored▲ 64%54%▲ 64%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 55%52%▲ 73%
Clean sheets▼ 18%28%▼ 18%
Goal before half-time▲ 82%72%▲ 82%
Goal after half-time▲ 82%75%▲ 91%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.80
Average goals per match
54%
Both teams scored
52%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.62
Home goals / match
1.18
Away goals / match
+37%
Home attack advantage
+27%
Home defence advantage
+23%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
34%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
23%
3 goals
9%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. PicernoGoalLeo Abreu
  2. PicernoYellow cardSergio Maselli
  3. PicernoSubstitutionOn: Dario Del FabroOff: Alessandro Bassoli
  4. CaveseSubstitutionOn: Giuseppe FellaOff: Gerardo Fusco
  5. CaveseYellow cardSamuele Sava
  6. PicernoYellow cardEmmanuele Esposito
  7. CaveseSubstitutionOn: Ivan PonziglioneOff: Francesco Orlando
  8. CaveseSubstitutionOn: Giammaria FiorinOff: Gianluca Esposito
  9. CaveseYellow cardGiammaria Fiorin

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Cavese 1 - 1 - 0 Picerno. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Cavese
2 : 0
Picerno
Picerno
2 : 2
Cavese

FAQ

What was the result of Cavese vs Picerno?

The Serie C Group C match finished Cavese 1:2 Picerno. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cavese and Picerno?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cavese won 1, Picerno won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cavese vs Picerno?

Cavese score 1.82 goals per game on average and Picerno 1.82. The Serie C Group C average is 2.80 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 64% of Cavese's matches and 64% of Picerno's.

What form are Cavese and Picerno in?

Over the last 5 games Cavese have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Picerno 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cavese vs Picerno?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cavese vs Picerno: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.