Ecuador - Primera Categoría Serie BData current as of 23 October 2026

CD El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC: match statistics

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CD El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CD El Nacional play Gualaceo SC in Primera Categoría Serie B (Ecuador). The match date is 28 October 2026.

Current form

CD El Nacional: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Gualaceo SC: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

CD El Nacional scores 0.88 and concedes 1.59 goals per match. Gualaceo SC scores 1.03 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.08 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CD El Nacional 53%, Gualaceo SC 29%. Over 2.5: CD El Nacional 50%, Gualaceo SC 26%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

xG, shots and style

CD El Nacional has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.28. CD El Nacional: 10.6 shots per match, Gualaceo SC: 8.3.

Match halves

CD El Nacional: half-time lead 16%, second-half goals 0.56. Gualaceo SC: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.52.

Goals by minute

CD El Nacional: 46-60 (8 goals). Gualaceo SC: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera Categoría Serie B: 2.08 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 35%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 1.67, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
0.88Goals scored / match1.03
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
1.59Goals conceded / match0.71
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
47%Average possession45%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
4.16Shots on target / match3.42
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

10.59Shots per match8.32
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
4.16Shots on target3.42
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
8.3%Shot conversion12.4%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
47%Possession45%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
1.36xG for1.28
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
1.51xG against1.12
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

Shooting quality

CD El Nacional: BalancedGualaceo SC: Counter-attacking
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
Accuracy (shots on target)39%41%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.15
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.210.30

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Gualaceo SC is 167% better for: last-5 form.

0.6 pts / match - CD El Nacional · 1.6 pts / match - Gualaceo SC

CD El Nacional
LLWLL
Season result split
13% W22% D66% L
Season (W-D-L)
4-7-21
0.59 pts / match · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-9
Last 5 at home
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.8Goals conceded: 2.4xG: 1.34Opponent xG: 1.21BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 100%
Gualaceo SC
DWWDL
Season result split
39% W32% D29% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-10-9
1.48 pts / match · goal difference +10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-5-6
Last 5 away
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.19Opponent xG: 1.13BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Gualaceo SC is 17% better for: goals scored per match.

0.88 goals / match - CD El Nacional · 1.03 goals / match - Gualaceo SC

Gualaceo SC is 124% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.59 goals / match - CD El Nacional · 0.71 goals / match - Gualaceo SC

CD El Nacional scoring profile: mixed

CD El Nacional scores in 59% of matches (19 of 32 matches), while Gualaceo SC keeps a clean sheet in 52% (16 of 31 matches).

Gualaceo SC scoring profile: very strong

Gualaceo SC scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while CD El Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 13% (4 of 32 matches).

28Goals scored (season)32
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
51Goals conceded (season)22
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
2.47Average goals in match1.74
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
9Goals scored (last 5)6
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
12Goals conceded (last 5)4
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

How often they score at least...

59%1 goal61%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
13%2 goals26%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
9%3 goals13%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
3%4 goals3%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal48%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
50%2 goals19%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
19%3 goals3%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
3%4 goals0%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time13%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
6%BTTS in both halves6%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
13%Scored in both halves16%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

BTTS and goal count

38%Min. 3 goals and BTTS16%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
80%BTTS - last 540%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

78%Min. 1 goal before half-time55%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
28%Min. 2 goals before half-time23%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
13%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

2nd half

81%Min. 1 goal after half-time45%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
34%Min. 2 goals after half-time26%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time6%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Gualaceo SC is 79% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.72 pts / match - CD El Nacional · 1.29 pts / match - Gualaceo SC

CD El Nacional - half-time state
16% leading25% draw59% trailing
Gualaceo SC - half-time state
26% leading52% draw23% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.72Points per match (1st half)1.29
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
0.31Goals scored (1st half)0.42
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
0.91Goals conceded (1st half)0.42
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
1.22Average goals (1st half)0.84
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
34%Clean sheet before half-time68%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
72%No goal before half-time65%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

After half-time (2nd half)

1.13Points per match (2nd half)1.42
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
0.56Goals scored (2nd half)0.52
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
0.69Goals conceded (2nd half)0.26
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
1.25Average goals (2nd half)0.77
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
38%Clean sheet after half-time77%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC
56%No goal after half-time61%
CD El NacionalGualaceo SC

CD El Nacional - second-half results

25% W38% D38% L
23
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-19
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.72
PPG before half-time
Lead holding81%

Leads at half-time in 16% of matches and wins 13%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Gualaceo SC - second-half results

26% W65% D10% L
40
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
44
Second-half points
+8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.29
PPG before half-time
Lead holding150%

Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

CD El Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.61.2
Goals conceded / match1.41.0
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals60%80%
3 goals40%20%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal60%20%
Goal difference-4+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3
Gualaceo SC - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.80
Goals scored / match0.60.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%40%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference0+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CD El Nacional
ScoredConceded
3
10
0-15
2
8
16-30
5
11
31-45
8
11
46-60
4
4
61-75
6
7
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Gualaceo SC
ScoredConceded
6
4
0-15
5
5
16-30
5
5
31-45
3
2
46-60
6
2
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.10
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.8 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
101%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
41%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-21%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CD El Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.15
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.56
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.48
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
72%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
185%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.01
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

Gualaceo SC

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.16
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-17.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.25
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.41
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
120%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
58%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 19% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera Categoría Serie B).

Teams vs league

CD El NacionalLigaGualaceo SC
Average goals in match▲ 2.472.08▼ 1.74
Both teams scored▲ 53%38%▼ 29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 50%35%▼ 26%
Clean sheets▼ 13%39%▲ 52%
Goal before half-time▲ 78%59%▼ 55%
Goal after half-time▲ 81%60%▼ 45%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.08
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
1.22
Home goals / match
0.86
Away goals / match
+42%
Home attack advantage
+30%
Home defence advantage
+22%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
59%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
12%
3 goals
3%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (3): CD El Nacional 0 - 1 - 2 Gualaceo SC. Average goals 1.67, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do CD El Nacional and Gualaceo SC play?

CD El Nacional face Gualaceo SC on 28 October 2026 in Primera Categoría Serie B. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between CD El Nacional and Gualaceo SC?

In the last 3 head-to-head matches CD El Nacional won 0, Gualaceo SC won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before CD El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?

CD El Nacional score 0.88 goals per game on average and Gualaceo SC 1.03. The Primera Categoría Serie B average is 2.08 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 35% of games. Both teams score in 53% of CD El Nacional's matches and 29% of Gualaceo SC's.

What form are CD El Nacional and Gualaceo SC in?

Over the last 5 games CD El Nacional have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Gualaceo SC 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD El Nacional vs Gualaceo SC?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.