CD Mafra vs CD Trofense: match statistics
CD Mafra vs CD Trofense: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Mafra play CD Trofense in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 25 April 2026 at 21:30. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
CD Mafra: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. CD Trofense: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Mafra scores 1.41 and concedes 1.34 goals per match. CD Trofense scores 0.94 and concedes 0.97. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Mafra 63%, CD Trofense 47%. Over 2.5: CD Mafra 47%, CD Trofense 31%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
CD Mafra has higher xG: 1.41 vs 1.14. CD Mafra: 10.3 shots per match, CD Trofense: 7.7.
Match halves
CD Mafra: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.81. CD Trofense: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
CD Mafra: 76-90+ (11 goals). CD Trofense: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
I back a home win (1) because CD Mafra averages 1.5 goals per home match with 10.5 shots and 4.5 shots on target, whereas CD Trofense away averages only 1.08 goals with 7.38 shots and 3.38 shots on target. Mafra has a higher home xG: 1.39 versus Trofense’s 1.07 away xG, and a higher clean sheet rate 43% vs 38%, indicating superiority in chance quality and defensive stability. The visitors, however, defend effectively on the road — conceding only 0.77 goals per away match compared to the 1.14 conceded by Mafra at home — but have a high share of matches without scoring (38% vs 7% for the hosts). In the short term both teams show similar form: 1.2 points per match in the last 5 games and 2 wins in that period. Considering Mafra’s advantage in chance creation and conversion (10.5 vs 7.38 shots and 1.39 vs 1.07 xG) and the low percentage of goalless matches by the hosts, I estimate a 55% probability of a Mafra win, 25% for a draw and 20% for an away win.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Mafra | CD Trofense | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 44% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CD Mafra is 250% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - CD Mafra · 0.4 pts / match - CD Trofense
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Mafra is 50% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - CD Mafra · 0.94 goals / match - CD Trofense
CD Trofense is 38% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.34 goals / match - CD Mafra · 0.97 goals / match - CD Trofense
CD Mafra scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while CD Trofense keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
CD Trofense scores in 56% of matches (18 of 32 matches), while CD Mafra keeps a clean sheet in 31% (10 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CD Mafra
Over / Under — CD Trofense
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CD Mafra is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.38 pts / match - CD Mafra · 1.31 pts / match - CD Trofense
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Mafra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
CD Trofense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Mafra
CD Trofense
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| CD Mafra | Liga | CD Trofense | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.23 | ▼ 1.91 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 47% | 40% | ▼ 31% |
| Clean sheets | • 31% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 66% | • 66% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 74% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CD Mafra 0 - 1 - 0 CD Trofense. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Mafra vs CD Trofense?
The Liga 3 match finished CD Mafra 1:0 CD Trofense. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Mafra vs CD Trofense?
CD Mafra score 1.41 goals per game on average and CD Trofense 0.94. The Liga 3 average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 63% of CD Mafra's matches and 47% of CD Trofense's.
What form are CD Mafra and CD Trofense in?
Over the last 5 games CD Mafra have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and CD Trofense 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Mafra vs CD Trofense?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Mafra vs CD Trofense: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.