CD Nacional vs Alverca: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
CD Nacional vs Alverca: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Nacional play Alverca in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Estádio da Madeira.
Current form
CD Nacional: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Alverca: 0-2-3, 0.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Nacional scores 1.20 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Alverca scores 1.00 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Nacional 40%, Alverca 80%. Over 2.5: CD Nacional 40%, Alverca 60%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
CD Nacional has higher xG: 1.09 vs 1.07. CD Nacional: 10.0 shots per match, Alverca: 10.0.
Match halves
CD Nacional: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.60. Alverca: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.80.
Goals by minute
CD Nacional: 31-45+ (2 goals). Alverca: 61-75 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga Portugal: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Nacional | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.43 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CD Nacional is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - CD Nacional · 0.4 pts / match - Alverca
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CD Nacional is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - CD Nacional · 1 goals / match - Alverca
CD Nacional is 25% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - CD Nacional · 2 goals / match - Alverca
CD Nacional scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Alverca keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).
Alverca scores in 80% of matches (4 of 5 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Nacional
Over / Under - Alverca
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Alverca is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.6 pts / match - CD Nacional · 1 pts / match - Alverca
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Nacional - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Alverca - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 0%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.8 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (2 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Nacional
Alverca
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).
Teams vs league
| CD Nacional | Liga | Alverca | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.80 | 2.60 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | • 40% | 40% | ▲ 80% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 50% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 20% | 33% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 71% | ▼ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 60% | 69% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): CD Nacional 1 - 0 - 1 Alverca. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
When do CD Nacional and Alverca play?
CD Nacional face Alverca on 12 September 2026 in Liga NOS at Estádio da Madeira. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between CD Nacional and Alverca?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches CD Nacional won 1, Alverca won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs Alverca?
CD Nacional score 1.20 goals per game on average and Alverca 1.00. The Liga NOS average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 40% of CD Nacional's matches and 80% of Alverca's.
What form are CD Nacional and Alverca in?
Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Alverca 0-2-3 (0.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs Alverca?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Nacional vs Alverca: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.