Portugal - Liga NOSEstádio da MadeiraData current as of 21 October 2026

CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga: match statistics

Reasoning:

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CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

CD Nacional play Sporting Braga in Liga NOS (Portugal). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Estádio da Madeira.

Current form

CD Nacional: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Sporting Braga: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

CD Nacional scores 1.13 and concedes 2.25 goals per match. Sporting Braga scores 1.13 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.75 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: CD Nacional 50%, Sporting Braga 63%. Over 2.5: CD Nacional 63%, Sporting Braga 63%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 56%.

xG, shots and style

Sporting Braga has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.18. CD Nacional: 11.0 shots per match, Sporting Braga: 13.5.

Match halves

CD Nacional: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.63. Sporting Braga: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.63.

Goals by minute

CD Nacional: 31-45+ (3 goals). Sporting Braga: 0-15 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Liga Portugal: 2.75 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 56%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(6.67)
(4.38)
(1.53)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CD NacionalSporting Braga
1.13Goals scored / match1.13
CD NacionalSporting Braga
2.25Goals conceded / match1.25
CD NacionalSporting Braga
50%Average possession59%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
3.13Shots on target / match4.5
CD NacionalSporting Braga

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11Shots per match13.5
CD NacionalSporting Braga
3.13Shots on target4.5
CD NacionalSporting Braga
10.2%Shot conversion8.3%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
50%Possession59%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
1.18xG for1.58
CD NacionalSporting Braga
1.65xG against0.94
CD NacionalSporting Braga

Shooting quality

CD Nacional: BalancedSporting Braga: Balanced
CD NacionalSporting Braga
Accuracy (shots on target)28%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

CD Nacional
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
13% W13% D75% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-6
0.50 pts / match · goal difference -9
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-0-3
Last 5 at home
1-0-3
WLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.61BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Sporting Braga
LWDLL
Season result split
38% W25% D38% L
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-3
1.38 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-2-1
Last 5 away
1-2-1
DWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.63Opponent xG: 1.04BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Sporting Braga is 80% better for: goals conceded per match.

2.25 goals / match - CD Nacional · 1.25 goals / match - Sporting Braga

CD Nacional scoring profile: strong

CD Nacional scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Sporting Braga keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).

Sporting Braga scoring profile: very strong

Sporting Braga scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while CD Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 13% (1 of 8 matches).

9Goals scored (season)9
CD NacionalSporting Braga
18Goals conceded (season)10
CD NacionalSporting Braga
3.38Average goals in match2.38
CD NacionalSporting Braga
5Goals scored (last 5)4
CD NacionalSporting Braga
15Goals conceded (last 5)7
CD NacionalSporting Braga

How often they score at least...

63%1 goal88%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
50%2 goals25%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
0%3 goals0%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
0%4 goals0%
CD NacionalSporting Braga

How often they concede at least...

88%1 goal63%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
75%2 goals50%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
50%3 goals13%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
13%4 goals0%
CD NacionalSporting Braga

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

51%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time25%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
25%BTTS in both halves13%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
25%Scored in both halves13%
CD NacionalSporting Braga

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS63%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
60%BTTS - last 560%
CD NacionalSporting Braga

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

88%Min. 1 goal before half-time63%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
63%Min. 2 goals before half-time25%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
38%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CD NacionalSporting Braga

2nd half

75%Min. 1 goal after half-time88%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
38%Min. 2 goals after half-time50%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
25%Min. 3 goals after half-time13%
CD NacionalSporting Braga

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Sporting Braga is 176% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.5 pts / match - CD Nacional · 1.38 pts / match - Sporting Braga

CD Nacional - half-time state
0% leading50% draw50% trailing
Sporting Braga - half-time state
25% leading63% draw13% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.5Points per match (1st half)1.38
CD NacionalSporting Braga
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.5
CD NacionalSporting Braga
1.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.38
CD NacionalSporting Braga
2Average goals (1st half)0.88
CD NacionalSporting Braga
13%Clean sheet before half-time63%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
63%No goal before half-time50%
CD NacionalSporting Braga

After half-time (2nd half)

1Points per match (2nd half)1.38
CD NacionalSporting Braga
0.63Goals scored (2nd half)0.63
CD NacionalSporting Braga
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.88
CD NacionalSporting Braga
1.38Average goals (2nd half)1.5
CD NacionalSporting Braga
50%Clean sheet after half-time50%
CD NacionalSporting Braga
50%No goal after half-time50%
CD NacionalSporting Braga

CD Nacional - second-half results

25% W25% D50% L
4
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
-8
Goal difference (1st half)
8
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.50
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.8

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Sporting Braga - second-half results

38% W25% D38% L
11
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.38
PPG before half-time
Lead holding152%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

CD Nacional - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.400.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match1.81.2
Average goals in match2.21.8
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet0%20%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-7-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 2
Sporting Braga - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.800.80
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.21.2
Average goals in match0.81.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference+2-5
Half-time: 40% leading - 60% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

CD Nacional
ScoredConceded
1
3
0-15
0
2
16-30
3
7
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
3
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Sporting Braga
ScoredConceded
2
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
2
1
31-45
2
2
46-60
1
3
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.88
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
105%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
57%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-31%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

CD Nacional

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.47
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.65
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.60
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
156%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.50
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

Sporting Braga

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.64
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.76
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.45
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.31
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
78%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
22% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
22%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga Portugal).

Teams vs league

CD NacionalLigaSporting Braga
Average goals in match▲ 3.382.75▼ 2.38
Both teams scored• 50%51%▲ 63%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 63%56%▲ 63%
Clean sheets▼ 13%27%▲ 38%
Goal before half-time▲ 88%72%▼ 63%
Goal after half-time• 75%76%▲ 88%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.75
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
56%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.44
Away goals / match
+-9%
Home attack advantage
+-10%
Home defence advantage
+3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
46%
2 goals
24%
3 goals
6%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): CD Nacional 1 - 0 - 1 Sporting Braga. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.

CD Nacional Funchal
1 : 2
Sporting Braga
Sporting Braga
0 : 1
CD Nacional Funchal

FAQ

When do CD Nacional and Sporting Braga play?

CD Nacional face Sporting Braga on 25 October 2026 in Liga NOS at Estádio da Madeira. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between CD Nacional and Sporting Braga?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches CD Nacional won 1, Sporting Braga won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga?

CD Nacional score 1.13 goals per game on average and Sporting Braga 1.13. The Liga NOS average is 2.75 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 56% of games. Both teams score in 50% of CD Nacional's matches and 63% of Sporting Braga's.

What form are CD Nacional and Sporting Braga in?

Over the last 5 games CD Nacional have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Sporting Braga 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for CD Nacional vs Sporting Braga: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.