CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09: match statistics
CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CD Trofense played AD Marco 09 in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match was played on 31 October 2026. Venue: Estádio do Clube Desportivo Trofense. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
CD Trofense: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. AD Marco 09: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
CD Trofense scores 0.57 and concedes 1.86 goals per match. AD Marco 09 scores 0.86 and concedes 0.71. League average: 2.63 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CD Trofense 29%, AD Marco 09 29%. Over 2.5: CD Trofense 43%, AD Marco 09 29%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
AD Marco 09 has higher xG: 1.07 vs 0.81. CD Trofense: 5.6 shots per match, AD Marco 09: 8.0.
Match halves
CD Trofense: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.29. AD Marco 09: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71.
Goals by minute
CD Trofense: 76-90+ (2 goals). AD Marco 09: 61-75 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.63 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 1.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AD Marco 09 sit 2nd in the table, while CD Trofense are 10th, a gap reflected in their last five matches: the visitors have earned 7 points, compared with just 2 for the hosts. Trofense lost 3 of those games and conceded as many as 15 goals, while Marco 09 conceded 5. At home, the hosts concede an average of 1.67 goals, while their opponents allow chances worth an average xG of 1.14 on the road, suggesting the visitors have the more solid defence. Marco 09 create chances worth an average xG of 1.11 away from home, compared with Trofense's 0.90 at home, but score just 0.33 goals per match on the road and have yet to win any of their three away games. The visitors therefore have no clear advantage, but Trofense's fragile defence and run of five matches without a win support the '2' pick.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring is AD Marco 09’s attacking output: the visitors average just 0.33 goals away from home and have failed to score in 67% of those matches. CD Trofense keep a clean sheet in 75% of their home games, conceding an average of 0.25 goals, further limiting the visitors’ chances. The hosts are more likely to score, averaging 1.25 goals at home, while Marco concede 1.33 goals away. A counterpoint is Trofense’s recent defensive decline: they conceded an average of 3 goals across five matches. However, Marco scored just 0.4 goals per game over the same period. With season-long BTTS rates of 25% and 33%, respectively, it is more likely that at least one team will fail to score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been breached in CD Trofense’s home matches or AD Marco 09’s away matches. The hosts concede an average of 0.25 goals at home and keep a clean sheet in 75% of matches, while the visitors score just 0.33 goals on average away from home and fail to score in 67% of matches. Although both teams’ xG in these conditions is similar — 1.05 for the hosts versus 1.11 for the visitors — Marco’s poor away finishing limits the forecast to 2.18 total goals. Caution is warranted, as Trofense conceded an average of 3.0 goals across their last five matches, but the visitors’ weak attacking record makes Under 3.5 goals a stronger signal than lower lines.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw appears the most likely outcome: Trofense were level at the break in 3 of their 4 home matches, while Marco 09 failed to score before half-time in all 3 of their away matches. After the break, the advantage shifts towards the hosts, who average 1.0 goal in the second half and have won 3 of their 4 home matches, while the visitors have failed to win any of their 3 away games. However, this is not a strong signal: across their last 5 matches regardless of venue, Trofense have not recorded a win, while Marco 09 have won twice. In addition, the teams' average xG figures are similar—1.05 for the hosts and 1.11 for the visitors—so I rate a half-time draw followed by a Trofense win as the most likely HT/FT outcome, but with moderate confidence.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CD Trofense | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AD Marco 09 is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - CD Trofense · 1.6 pts / match - AD Marco 09
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AD Marco 09 is 51% better for: goals scored per match.
0.57 goals / match - CD Trofense · 0.86 goals / match - AD Marco 09
AD Marco 09 is 162% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.86 goals / match - CD Trofense · 0.71 goals / match - AD Marco 09
CD Trofense scores in 43% of matches (3 of 7 matches), while AD Marco 09 keeps a clean sheet in 57% (4 of 7 matches).
AD Marco 09 scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while CD Trofense keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - CD Trofense
Over / Under - AD Marco 09
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AD Marco 09 is 41% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.71 pts / match - CD Trofense · 1 pts / match - AD Marco 09
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CD Trofense - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
AD Marco 09 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CD Trofense
AD Marco 09
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| CD Trofense | Liga | AD Marco 09 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.63 | ▼ 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 29% | 52% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 52% | ▼ 29% |
| Clean sheets | • 29% | 30% | ▲ 57% |
| Goal before half-time | • 71% | 70% | ▼ 43% |
| Goal after half-time | • 71% | 70% | • 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Away team
Other recorded players
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): CD Trofense 0 - 1 - 1 AD Marco 09. Average goals 1.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09?
The Liga 3 match finished CD Trofense 0:2 AD Marco 09. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between CD Trofense and AD Marco 09?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches CD Trofense won 0, AD Marco 09 won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09?
CD Trofense score 0.57 goals per game on average and AD Marco 09 0.86. The Liga 3 average is 2.63 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 29% of CD Trofense's matches and 29% of AD Marco 09's.
What form are CD Trofense and AD Marco 09 in?
Over the last 5 games CD Trofense have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and AD Marco 09 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CD Trofense vs AD Marco 09?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.