CDS Tampico Madero vs Venados: match statistics

CDS Tampico Madero remain unbeaten at home: they have won 67% of their home matches and drawn the remaining 33%, while conceding just 0.33 goals per game and keeping a clean sheet in 67% of their outings. The hosts average 1.67 goals scored at home, enjoy 57% possession and register 12 shots per match, whereas Venados score just 1 goal per away game. The key factor is the visitors’ defensive weakness: away from home, they concede an average of 3 goals, have failed to keep a single clean sheet and have lost 67% of such matches. Venados do create chances with an average xG of 1.63 compared with the hosts’ 1.22, but they allow opponents an xG of 1.87. Combined with Tampico Madero’s highly solid defence, this significantly strengthens the case for a home win. The teams have each recorded 2 victories in their last five matches, but home advantage and a far better defensive structure favour CDS Tampico Madero.

BTTS - Yes is supported by the full-season data: the hosts have seen this outcome in 67% of their matches, while Venados have recorded it in as many as 100%, conceding an average of 3.0 goals per game. CDS Tampico Madero create a high volume of chances at home, averaging 2.48 xG, 21.67 shots and 10.33 shots on target per match, making a home goal highly likely. Venados have scored an average of 2.0 goals across their last five matches, with 1.88 xG, while the hosts conceded 1.6 goals per game during that period. The main risk to the pick comes from Tampico’s weaker recent finishing, with BTTS landing in only 20% of their last five matches and an average of 1.0 goal scored, although the Venados defence allowed opponents 2.6 goals per game. The attacking strength of both sides, combined with Venados’ lack of a clean sheet this season, marginally supports the scenario in which both teams find the net.

Both teams have surpassed the 1.5-goal threshold in 100% of their matches so far, providing a very strong foundation for Over 1.5 goals. Venados have averaged 2.0 goals scored and 2.6 conceded across their last five matches, with at least three goals scored in 80% of those games. Tampico Madero generate a high 2.48 xG at home and average 21.67 shots, while Venados allow opponents 1.87 xG away from home. The hosts have been less clinical recently, averaging 1.0 goal scored in their last five matches, making the 2.5 line less reliable than Over 1.5 goals. The projected 3.07 goals indicate that Over 1.5 remains the safest option and the one most strongly supported by the data.

CDS Tampico Madero hold a clear seasonal advantage: they have won 100% of their matches, scoring an average of 3.33 goals and conceding 1.33, while Venados have failed to win any match and have allowed opponents to score 3.00 goals on average. The hosts create significantly more chances, as reflected by their xG of 2.48 compared with 1.63 and an average of 10.33 shots on target versus 4.33 for the visitors. Tampico were leading at the break in 33% of their matches and were never trailing, whereas Venados went into half-time behind in 67% of their games, conceding an average of 1.33 goals in the first half. The strongest argument for maintaining the advantage comes from the second half: the hosts score an average of 2.33 goals during this period, while the visitors concede 1.67. Although the teams’ last five matches have been more evenly balanced, the scale of Tampico’s seasonal advantage and Venados’ defensive weaknesses primarily point to an HT/FT scenario of the hosts leading at half-time and securing the win at full-time (1/1).