Celje vs Nafta: match statistics
Celje vs Nafta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Celje played Nafta in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). The match was played on 1 November 2026. Venue: Stadion Z'dežele. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Celje: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Nafta: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Celje scores 1.17 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Nafta scores 1.38 and concedes 1.23. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Celje 50%, Nafta 46%. Over 2.5: Celje 33%, Nafta 46%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Celje has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.40. Celje: 12.4 shots per match, Nafta: 11.1.
Match halves
Celje: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.58. Nafta: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.92.
Goals by minute
Celje: 16-30 (4 goals). Nafta: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
PrvaLiga: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Celje have a slight home advantage: they have won 40% of their home matches, while Nafta have won 33% of their away games. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, compared with 2 for the visitors, although Nafta have been impressive in front of goal during this run, scoring 13 goals to Celje’s 6. Celje’s chance creation at home is in their favour: their average xG stands at 1.63, compared with Nafta’s 1.31 away from home, while the visitors allow opponents chances worth an average of 1.93 xG. Both teams concede fewer than a goal per game at these venues—0.80 and 0.83 respectively—so the match could be decided by a narrow margin. The risk of a draw remains significant, as Celje have drawn 40% of their home matches and Nafta 33% of their away games.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In the last 5 matches involving these teams, both sides scored in only 20% of games, which is a strong signal against BTTS. Nafta failed to score in 50% of their away matches, although Celje concede an average of 1.83 goals at home, so a Nafta goal cannot be ruled out. Celje score an average of 2.0 goals at home and register 6.33 shots on target per match, while Nafta keep a clean sheet in 33% of their away matches. Although Nafta have averaged 2.6 goals in their last 5 matches, the frequency of games in which at least one side fails to score supports the BTTS - No pick.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
At least two goals were scored in 83% of Celje’s matches and 67% of Nafta’s, making Over 1.5 the clearest signal. Celje average 2.0 goals scored at home and 6.33 shots on target per match, supporting the expectation that they will contribute to the scoreline. Nafta average 1.0 goal away from home, but have scored an average of 2.6 goals over their last five matches, so they could also get on the scoresheet. The higher line is less convincing: Over 2.5 landed in 67% of Celje’s matches, but only 33% of Nafta’s. The 2.58-goal forecast therefore points to Over 1.5, without equally strong backing for Over 2.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A half-time draw is the most likely starting point: Nafta were level at the break in 50% of their away matches, scoring an average of just 0.17 goals in the first half while also conceding little—0.33. The hosts could gain the upper hand after the break: at home, they score an average of 2.0 goals per match, compared with Nafta’s 1.0 away, and register 6.33 shots on target versus the visitors’ 3.5. Celje score an average of 1.17 goals in second halves at home, supporting a scenario in which the match is decided after the break. However, this is not a strong pick: Nafta concede only 0.5 goals in second halves away from home, and have averaged 2.6 goals across their last five matches overall, so a draw or an away win remain significant alternatives.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Celje | Nafta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nafta is 18% better for: goals scored per match.
1.17 goals / match - Celje · 1.38 goals / match - Nafta
Celje is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Celje · 1.23 goals / match - Nafta
Celje scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Nafta keeps a clean sheet in 31% (4 of 13 matches).
Nafta scores in 62% of matches (8 of 13 matches), while Celje keeps a clean sheet in 42% (5 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celje
Over / Under - Nafta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Celje is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.42 pts / match - Celje · 1.08 pts / match - Nafta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celje - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nafta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Celje
Nafta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (PrvaLiga).
Teams vs league
| Celje | Liga | Nafta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.17 | 2.57 | • 2.62 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 50% | 48% | ▼ 46% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 46% | • 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 32% | • 31% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 58% | 75% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Celje 1 - 0 - 0 Nafta. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Celje vs Nafta?
The PrvaLiga match finished Celje 4:0 Nafta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Celje vs Nafta?
Celje score 1.17 goals per game on average and Nafta 1.38. The PrvaLiga average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Celje's matches and 46% of Nafta's.
What form are Celje and Nafta in?
Over the last 5 games Celje have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Nafta 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celje vs Nafta?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Celje vs Nafta: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.