Celtic vs Rangers: match statistics
Celtic vs Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Celtic played Rangers in Premiership (Scotland). The match was played on 10 May 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Celtic: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. Rangers: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Celtic scores 1.83 and concedes 1.06 goals per match. Rangers scores 1.97 and concedes 1.03. League average: 2.74 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Celtic 54%, Rangers 63%. Over 2.5: Celtic 66%, Rangers 57%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Celtic has higher xG: 1.95 vs 1.89. Celtic: 16.9 shots per match, Rangers: 16.7.
Match halves
Celtic: half-time lead 49%, second-half goals 0.97. Rangers: half-time lead 51%, second-half goals 1.17.
Goals by minute
Celtic: 76-90+ (16 goals). Rangers: 76-90+ (19 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Premiership: 2.74 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 2.67, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win. Celtic have a clear home advantage: they win 76% of home matches, score on average 2.18 goals and concede only 0.76 per game, whereas Rangers win 47% of away fixtures and average 1.82 goals scored with 1.00 conceded. Celtic create higher quality chances (avg xG 2.26 vs 1.78 for Rangers), register more shots on target (7.24 vs 6.12) and hold a large possession edge (67% vs 56%). Form also favors the hosts: Celtic have won 5 of their last 5 matches, averaging 3.0 points per game, while Rangers’ last five show 3 wins and 2 losses, at 1.8 points per game; in those five matches Rangers conceded 11 goals and Celtic 5. A higher clean sheet rate for the hosts (53% vs 35%) and a lower goals-against average make a Celtic victory more likely than a draw or an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high seasonal BTTS rates: Celtic 61% and Rangers 65%, and in the last 5 matches 80% and 100% respectively, strongly indicating BTTS - Yes. Offensively Celtic average 2.11 goals per season (14 goals in last 5, avg 2.8), and Rangers 1.82 per season (17 goals in last 5, avg 3.4), so both sides regularly create scoring opportunities. Defensively Rangers concede 1.0 goals on average this season, but 2.2 in the last 5 matches, while Celtic concede 1.06 this season and 1.0 in the last 5, suggesting Rangers are more vulnerable to conceding. xG confirms the attacking strength: season xG-for 1.99 for Celtic vs 1.78 for Rangers and xG-against 1.05 vs 1.40, along with similar shots on target averages 6.28 vs 6.12 and low clean sheet percentages 33% and 35% — therefore I assess BTTS (Goal/Goal) as significantly more likely (~86% vs 14%).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.70 xG for Celtic (attacking xG 1.99 vs xG conceded to Rangers 1.40) and 1.41 xG for Rangers (attacking xG 1.78 vs xG conceded to Celtic 1.05), totaling 3.11 expected goals. Both teams regularly produce matches with at least 2 goals: season Over 1.5 is 78% for Celtic and 82% for Rangers, and in the last 5 matches Celtic scored 14 goals (avg. 2.8) while Rangers scored 17 goals (avg. 3.4), which strengthens the Over signal. BTTS rate is 61% (Celtic) and 65% (Rangers), and average shots on target 6.28 vs 6.12 with a 12% conversion suggest both sides will create scoring chances. Season Over 2.5 are 61% and 53% (Celtic/Rangers) and in the last 5 matches 80% and 100%, therefore I assess Over 2.5 at around 72%, whereas Over 3.5 is less certain (season 44% vs 24% and the projected total 3.11 gives ~34%). From these data the strongest and most reliable signal is Over 1.5, hence the recommendation to play the 'over' at the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back 1/1 (Celtic leading at half-time and winning) because recent form and statistics indicate a home advantage. Celtic led at the break in 4 of their last 5 matches (80%) and in those games averaged 1.4 first-half goals scored and 0.2 conceded, whereas Rangers led at the break in 3 of 5 (60%) with averages of 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded. Seasonally, Celtic score 2.11 goals at home with an xG of 1.99 versus 1.82 goals and xG 1.78 for Rangers, and the hosts register 17.94 shots per game compared to 15.35 for the visitors, indicating superior chance creation. Celtic have won all of their last 5 matches (100%) versus a 60% win rate for Rangers over five, and the low frequency of both teams scoring before the break (22% and 12%) suggests one side more often holds a lead at the break and that lead has a high probability of holding until full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Celtic | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Celtic is 33% better for: last-5 form.
2.4 pts / match - Celtic · 1.8 pts / match - Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Rangers is 8% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Celtic · 1.97 goals / match - Rangers
Celtic scores in 86% of matches (30 of 35 matches), while Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 34% (12 of 35 matches).
Rangers scores in 89% of matches (31 of 35 matches), while Celtic keeps a clean sheet in 37% (13 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Celtic
Over / Under - Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Celtic - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 49% of matches and wins 66%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 51% of matches and wins 54%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 3.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 80% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 0% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +13 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (19 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +12 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Celtic
Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Celtic | Liga | Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.89 | 2.74 | ▲ 3.00 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 54% | 51% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 66% | 52% | ▲ 57% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 37% | 28% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 80% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 80% | 80% | • 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Celtic 0 - 2 - 1 Rangers. Average goals 2.67, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Celtic vs Rangers?
The Premiership match finished Celtic 3:1 Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Celtic and Rangers?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Celtic won 0, Rangers won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 2.67 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Celtic vs Rangers?
Celtic score 1.83 goals per game on average and Rangers 1.97. The Premiership average is 2.74 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 52% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Celtic's matches and 63% of Rangers's.
What form are Celtic and Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Celtic have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and Rangers 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Celtic vs Rangers?
The statistical background for Celtic vs Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.