Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Central Coast Mariners are in excellent form in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw), securing 2.6 PPG, but their home record is significantly weaker – only a 30% win rate and as many as 40% draws at their own stadium. Adelaide United, despite a better league position and a higher average of goals scored (1.44 vs 1.2 away), have problematic away form with a 44% loss rate and only 33% wins. A key factor is that Adelaide have never finished an away match without scoring (FTS% 0%), while the hosts have a tendency to draw at home. Considering the current form of the hosts, the poor away disposition of the visitors, and the even goal difference of both teams, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Central Coast Mariners played Adelaide United in A-League (Australia). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Central Coast Mariners: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Adelaide United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Central Coast Mariners scores 1.42 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Adelaide United scores 1.70 and concedes 1.45. League average: 2.82 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Central Coast Mariners 63%, Adelaide United 75%. Over 2.5: Central Coast Mariners 63%, Adelaide United 70%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Adelaide United has higher xG: 1.47 vs 1.05. Central Coast Mariners: 9.6 shots per match, Adelaide United: 13.0.
Match halves
Central Coast Mariners: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.63. Adelaide United: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Central Coast Mariners: 31-45+ (7 goals). Adelaide United: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A-League: 2.82 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams. Central Coast Mariners are in excellent form in their last five matches (4 wins, 1 draw), securing 2.6 PPG, but their home record is significantly weaker – only a 30% win rate and as many as 40% draws at their own stadium. Adelaide United, despite a better league position and a higher average of goals scored (1.44 vs 1.2 away), have problematic away form with a 44% loss rate and only 33% wins. A key factor is that Adelaide have never finished an away match without scoring (FTS% 0%), while the hosts have a tendency to draw at home. Considering the current form of the hosts, the poor away disposition of the visitors, and the even goal difference of both teams, the most likely scenario seems to be a draw or a narrow victory for either side.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Central Coast Mariners | Adelaide United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.47 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Central Coast Mariners is 63% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1.6 pts / match - Adelaide United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Adelaide United is 20% better for: goals scored per match.
1.42 goals / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1.7 goals / match - Adelaide United
Central Coast Mariners scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Adelaide United keeps a clean sheet in 15% (3 of 20 matches).
Adelaide United scores in 90% of matches (18 of 20 matches), while Central Coast Mariners keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Central Coast Mariners
Over / Under - Adelaide United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Adelaide United is 16% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Central Coast Mariners · 1.4 pts / match - Adelaide United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Coast Mariners - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Adelaide United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Central Coast Mariners
Adelaide United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A-League).
Teams vs league
| Central Coast Mariners | Liga | Adelaide United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.84 | 2.82 | ▲ 3.15 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▲ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 55% | ▲ 70% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 24% | ▼ 15% |
| Goal before half-time | • 74% | 74% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 78% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Central Coast Mariners 1 - 0 - 0 Adelaide United. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
The A-League match finished Central Coast Mariners 1:1 Adelaide United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
Central Coast Mariners score 1.42 goals per game on average and Adelaide United 1.70. The A-League average is 2.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Central Coast Mariners's matches and 75% of Adelaide United's.
What form are Central Coast Mariners and Adelaide United in?
Over the last 5 games Central Coast Mariners have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Adelaide United 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Central Coast Mariners vs Adelaide United: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.