Uruguay - Primera DivisiónParque Luis Méndez PianaData current as of 24 July 2026

Central Español vs Cerro Largo: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Central Español vs Cerro Largo: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Central Español play Cerro Largo in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 25 July 2026 at 02:00. Venue: Parque Luis Méndez Piana.

Current form

Central Español: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Cerro Largo: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Central Español scores 1.35 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Cerro Largo scores 1.10 and concedes 1.05. League average: 2.41 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Central Español 55%, Cerro Largo 35%. Over 2.5: Central Español 55%, Cerro Largo 35%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Cerro Largo has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.21. Central Español: 9.4 shots per match, Cerro Largo: 9.8.

Match halves

Central Español: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.85. Cerro Largo: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.

Goals by minute

Central Español: 61-75 (8 goals). Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.41 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.35)
(2.73)
(2.60)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Central EspañolCerro Largo
1.35Goals scored / match1.1
Central EspañolCerro Largo
1.25Goals conceded / match1.05
Central EspañolCerro Largo
38%Average possession50%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
3.8Shots on target / match3.25
Central EspañolCerro Largo

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.45Shots per match9.75
Central EspañolCerro Largo
3.8Shots on target3.25
Central EspañolCerro Largo
14.3%Shot conversion11.3%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
38%Possession50%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
1.21xG for1.24
Central EspañolCerro Largo
1.77xG against1.52
Central EspañolCerro Largo

Shooting quality

Central Español: Counter-attackingCerro Largo: Balanced
Central EspañolCerro Largo
Accuracy (shots on target)40%33%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.360.34

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Central Español
WLWDD
Season result split
45% W25% R30% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-5-6
1.60 pts / match · goal difference +2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-2-2
Last 5 at home
3-2-0
DWWWD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 0.94Opponent xG: 1.97BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Cerro Largo
LWWDD
Season result split
35% W20% R45% P
Season (W-D-L)
7-4-9
1.25 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
3-2-5
Last 5 away
1-2-2
DLWLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 1.15Opponent xG: 1.16BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Central Español is 23% better for: goals scored per match.

1.35 goals / match - Central Español · 1.1 goals / match - Cerro Largo

Cerro Largo is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.25 goals / match - Central Español · 1.05 goals / match - Cerro Largo

Central Español scoring profile: very strong

Central Español scores in 80% of matches (16 of 20 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 30% (6 of 20 matches).

Cerro Largo scoring profile: strong

Cerro Largo scores in 60% of matches (12 of 20 matches), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 35% (7 of 20 matches).

27Goals scored (season)22
Central EspañolCerro Largo
25Goals conceded (season)21
Central EspañolCerro Largo
2.6Average goals in match2.15
Central EspañolCerro Largo
4Goals scored (last 5)6
Central EspañolCerro Largo
3Goals conceded (last 5)2
Central EspañolCerro Largo

How often they score at least...

80%1 goal60%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
40%2 goals35%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
15%3 goals15%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
0%4 goals0%
Central EspañolCerro Largo

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal70%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
30%2 goals25%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
15%3 goals10%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
5%4 goals0%
Central EspañolCerro Largo

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

55%
Central Español - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 20 matches
52%
League average

Goal patterns

25%BTTS at half-time10%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
5%BTTS in both halves5%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
25%Scored in both halves20%
Central EspañolCerro Largo

BTTS and goal count

50%Min. 3 goals and BTTS25%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS10%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
40%BTTS - last 520%
Central EspañolCerro Largo

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time65%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
30%Min. 2 goals before half-time15%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
10%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Central EspañolCerro Largo

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time75%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time35%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Central EspañolCerro Largo

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cerro Largo is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.1 pts / match - Central Español · 1.2 pts / match - Cerro Largo

Central Español - half-time state
15% leading65% draw20% trailing
Cerro Largo - half-time state
25% leading45% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.1Points per match (1st half)1.2
Central EspañolCerro Largo
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.35
Central EspañolCerro Largo
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.45
Central EspañolCerro Largo
1Average goals (1st half)0.8
Central EspañolCerro Largo
55%Clean sheet before half-time60%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
65%No goal before half-time65%
Central EspañolCerro Largo

After half-time (2nd half)

1.8Points per match (2nd half)1.35
Central EspañolCerro Largo
0.85Goals scored (2nd half)0.75
Central EspañolCerro Largo
0.75Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Central EspañolCerro Largo
1.6Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Central EspañolCerro Largo
55%Clean sheet after half-time55%
Central EspañolCerro Largo
30%No goal after half-time55%
Central EspañolCerro Largo

Central Español - second-half results

50% W30% R20% P
22
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.10
PPG before half-time
Lead holding300%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cerro Largo - second-half results

35% W30% R35% P
24
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
27
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding140%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Central Español - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.20.6
Goals conceded / match0.40.2
Average goals in match0.60.8
1 goal40%60%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%80%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Cerro Largo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.21.0
Goals conceded / match0.40.0
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%100%
No goal80%60%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Central Español
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
3
16-30
7
4
31-45
5
5
46-60
8
4
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Cerro Largo
ScoredConceded
1
5
0-15
4
2
16-30
2
2
31-45
4
3
46-60
1
4
61-75
10
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goli). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.38
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+68%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
48%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
8%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 13 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Central Español

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.56
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.66
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.52
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
116%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Cerro Largo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-6.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.14
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
102%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
79%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.35
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
45% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 5% come in the first quarter-hour.
45%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Central EspañolLigaCerro Largo
Average goals in match 2.602.41 2.15
Both teams scored 55%52% 35%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 55%46% 35%
Clean sheets 35%27% 30%
Goal before half-time 55%69% 65%
Goal after half-time 85%73% 75%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.41
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.08
Away goals / match
+23%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+6%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Central Español 0 - 0 - 1 Cerro Largo. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Central Español and Cerro Largo play?

Central Español face Cerro Largo on 25 July 2026 in Primera División at Parque Luis Méndez Piana. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Central Español vs Cerro Largo?

Central Español score 1.35 goals per game on average and Cerro Largo 1.10. The Primera División average is 2.41 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Central Español's matches and 35% of Cerro Largo's.

What form are Central Español and Cerro Largo in?

Over the last 5 games Central Español have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Cerro Largo 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Español vs Cerro Largo?

The statistical background for Central Español vs Cerro Largo — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.