Uruguay - Primera DivisiónParque Luis Méndez PianaData current as of 06 August 2026

Central Español vs Progreso: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Central Español vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Central Español play Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 8 August 2026. Venue: Parque Luis Méndez Piana.

Current form

Central Español: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Progreso: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Central Español scores 1.23 and concedes 1.18 goals per match. Progreso scores 0.82 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.39 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Central Español 50%, Progreso 45%. Over 2.5: Central Español 50%, Progreso 45%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Central Español has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.15. Central Español: 9.3 shots per match, Progreso: 8.4.

Match halves

Central Español: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.77. Progreso: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.45.

Goals by minute

Central Español: 61-75 (8 goals). Progreso: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.37)
(3.00)
(3.00)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Central EspañolProgreso
1.23Goals scored / match0.82
Central EspañolProgreso
1.18Goals conceded / match1.55
Central EspañolProgreso
40%Average possession48%
Central EspañolProgreso
3.68Shots on target / match3.18
Central EspañolProgreso

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.32Shots per match8.41
Central EspañolProgreso
3.68Shots on target3.18
Central EspañolProgreso
13.2%Shot conversion9.7%
Central EspañolProgreso
40%Possession48%
Central EspañolProgreso
1.2xG for1.15
Central EspañolProgreso
1.73xG against1.47
Central EspañolProgreso

Shooting quality

Central Español: Counter-attackingProgreso: Balanced
Central EspañolProgreso
Accuracy (shots on target)39%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.14
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.330.26

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Central Español
WDDLD
Season result split
41% W27% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-6-7
1.50 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
5-3-3
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WWDLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 0.4xG: 0.93Opponent xG: 1.81BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 0%
Progreso
WLLWL
Season result split
18% W18% R64% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-4-14
0.73 pts / match · goal difference -16
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-2-7
Last 5 away
1-0-4
LLWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.28Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Central Español is 50% better for: goals scored per match.

1.23 goals / match - Central Español · 0.82 goals / match - Progreso

Central Español is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.18 goals / match - Central Español · 1.55 goals / match - Progreso

Central Español scoring profile: very strong

Central Español scores in 73% of matches (16 of 22 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 9% (2 of 22 matches).

Progreso scoring profile: mixed

Progreso scores in 55% of matches (12 of 22 matches), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 36% (8 of 22 matches).

27Goals scored (season)18
Central EspañolProgreso
26Goals conceded (season)34
Central EspañolProgreso
2.41Average goals in match2.36
Central EspañolProgreso
2Goals scored (last 5)5
Central EspañolProgreso
2Goals conceded (last 5)7
Central EspañolProgreso

How often they score at least...

73%1 goal55%
Central EspañolProgreso
36%2 goals23%
Central EspañolProgreso
14%3 goals5%
Central EspañolProgreso
0%4 goals0%
Central EspañolProgreso

How often they concede at least...

64%1 goal91%
Central EspañolProgreso
27%2 goals55%
Central EspañolProgreso
14%3 goals9%
Central EspañolProgreso
5%4 goals0%
Central EspañolProgreso

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
Central Español - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.11 of 22 matches
51%
League average

Goal patterns

23%BTTS at half-time18%
Central EspañolProgreso
5%BTTS in both halves9%
Central EspañolProgreso
23%Scored in both halves18%
Central EspañolProgreso

BTTS and goal count

45%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
Central EspañolProgreso
5%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Central EspañolProgreso
20%BTTS - last 560%
Central EspañolProgreso

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

55%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Central EspañolProgreso
27%Min. 2 goals before half-time36%
Central EspañolProgreso
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
Central EspañolProgreso

2nd half

77%Min. 1 goal after half-time73%
Central EspañolProgreso
36%Min. 2 goals after half-time27%
Central EspañolProgreso
18%Min. 3 goals after half-time5%
Central EspañolProgreso

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Central Español is 44% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.05 pts / match - Central Español · 0.73 pts / match - Progreso

Central Español - half-time state
14% leading64% draw23% trailing
Progreso - half-time state
14% leading32% draw55% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.05Points per match (1st half)0.73
Central EspañolProgreso
0.45Goals scored (1st half)0.36
Central EspañolProgreso
0.5Goals conceded (1st half)0.95
Central EspañolProgreso
0.95Average goals (1st half)1.32
Central EspañolProgreso
55%Clean sheet before half-time32%
Central EspañolProgreso
68%No goal before half-time68%
Central EspañolProgreso

After half-time (2nd half)

1.73Points per match (2nd half)1
Central EspañolProgreso
0.77Goals scored (2nd half)0.45
Central EspañolProgreso
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.59
Central EspañolProgreso
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.05
Central EspañolProgreso
59%Clean sheet after half-time45%
Central EspañolProgreso
36%No goal after half-time59%
Central EspañolProgreso

Central Español - second-half results

45% W36% R18% P
23
Half-time points
10
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.05
PPG before half-time
Lead holding293%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Progreso - second-half results

18% W45% R36% P
16
Half-time points
8
Half-time goals
-13
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-3
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding129%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.4

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Central Español - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.40
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.2
Average goals in match0.20.6
1 goal20%40%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Progreso - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.601.60
Goals scored / match0.20.8
Goals conceded / match1.00.4
Average goals in match1.21.2
1 goal100%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet20%60%
No goal80%40%
Goal difference-4+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 0% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Central Español
ScoredConceded
2
3
0-15
1
4
16-30
7
4
31-45
5
5
46-60
8
4
61-75
4
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.

Progreso
ScoredConceded
4
6
0-15
1
8
16-30
3
7
31-45
2
4
46-60
1
5
61-75
7
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.39
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
100%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
48%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+26%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
40%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Central Español

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.53
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.58
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.30
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

Progreso

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.32
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.41
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.08
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
77%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
117%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.47
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.1
Late goals
39% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
39%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Central EspañolLigaProgreso
Average goals in match 2.412.39 2.36
Both teams scored 50%51% 45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%46% 45%
Clean sheets 36%28% 9%
Goal before half-time 55%69% 82%
Goal after half-time 77%72% 73%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.39
Average goals per match
51%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.33
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+8%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
32%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
72%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Central Español 1 - 0 - 0 Progreso. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

FAQ

When do Central Español and Progreso play?

Central Español face Progreso on 8 August 2026 in Primera División at Parque Luis Méndez Piana. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Central Español vs Progreso?

Central Español score 1.23 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.82. The Primera División average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Central Español's matches and 45% of Progreso's.

What form are Central Español and Progreso in?

Over the last 5 games Central Español have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Progreso 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Español vs Progreso?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.