Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste: match statistics
Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Central Norte played Ferro Carril Oeste in Prim B Nacional (Argentina). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Central Norte: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match. Ferro Carril Oeste: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Central Norte scores 0.63 and concedes 0.91 goals per match. Ferro Carril Oeste scores 1.13 and concedes 0.84. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Central Norte 38%, Ferro Carril Oeste 38%. Over 2.5: Central Norte 22%, Ferro Carril Oeste 34%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
xG, shots and style
Ferro Carril Oeste has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.26. Central Norte: 10.4 shots per match, Ferro Carril Oeste: 11.2.
Match halves
Central Norte: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.28. Ferro Carril Oeste: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Central Norte: 0-15 (6 goals). Ferro Carril Oeste: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Prim B Nacional: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 33%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ferro Carril Oeste are the favourites: they have won 18 of 32 matches this season, compared with just 6 wins for Central Norte, and have won 56% of their away fixtures. The visitors are more clinical despite taking fewer shots: away from home, they average 1.19 goals from 9.5 shots, while the hosts average 0.69 goals from 12.06 shots at home. In their last five matches, Ferro have recorded 2 wins, whereas Central Norte have not won once and have scored just 1 goal. The hosts’ defence remains a strength: they concede an average of 0.63 goals at home, while opponents create chances worth just 0.98 xG against them. Since 56% of Central Norte’s home matches have ended in a draw, a share of the points is a realistic possibility, but the visitors’ greater clinical edge points to an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I’m backing BTTS - No, meaning at least one team will fail to score, as Central Norte and Ferro Carril Oeste’s matches ended with both teams scoring in only 38% of cases this season, compared with the league average of 39%. Over their last 5 matches, that rate fell to 20% for the hosts and 0% for the visitors, while the teams averaged just 0.2 and 0.4 goals per game, respectively. Ferro kept a clean sheet in 56% of its matches this season, while Central Norte failed to score in 31%, which particularly weakens the hosts’ chances of finding the net. Although the hosts’ season xG stands at 1.52 and the visitors’ at 1.20, their poor finishing over the last five matches makes it more likely that at least one team will be held scoreless.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this outcome occurred in 87% of Central Norte matches and 81% of Ferro Carril Oeste matches. In their last 5 matches, neither team saw more than 2 goals scored, while Central Norte averaged 0.2 goals and Ferro 0.4. The hosts’ defence has conceded an average of 0.88 goals per match this season, compared with 0.81 for the visitors, further reducing the likelihood of a high-scoring game. Although their attacking xG averages are 1.52 and 1.20, respectively, their finishing and results to date support a more cautious forecast of around 1.90 total goals. The 3.5 line offers a larger margin than 2.5 and is the strongest signal in the available data.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely outcome: 44% of Central Norte’s matches and 56% of Ferro Carril Oeste’s matches were level at the break, rising to 60% across both teams’ last five appearances. There is also little to suggest a high-scoring first half—the hosts average 0.44 goals before the break, compared with 0.31 for the visitors. Recent form supports the draw holding: Central Norte drew four of its last five matches, and neither team scored after half-time in any of those five games. Ferro did win two of its last five, while Central Norte failed to win any, so an away win after a draw at half-time remains a significant alternative. However, with so few goals in recent matches, the signal for a draw at both half-time and full-time is stronger.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Central Norte | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.18 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ferro Carril Oeste is 100% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Central Norte · 1.6 pts / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ferro Carril Oeste is 79% better for: goals scored per match.
0.63 goals / match - Central Norte · 1.13 goals / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
Ferro Carril Oeste is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.91 goals / match - Central Norte · 0.84 goals / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
Central Norte scores in 50% of matches (16 of 32 matches), while Ferro Carril Oeste keeps a clean sheet in 47% (15 of 32 matches).
Ferro Carril Oeste scores in 72% of matches (23 of 32 matches), while Central Norte keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Central Norte
Over / Under - Ferro Carril Oeste
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ferro Carril Oeste is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.16 pts / match - Central Norte · 1.25 pts / match - Ferro Carril Oeste
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Central Norte - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 19%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ferro Carril Oeste - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 100% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Central Norte
Ferro Carril Oeste
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Prim B Nacional).
Teams vs league
| Central Norte | Liga | Ferro Carril Oeste | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.53 | 1.94 | • 1.97 |
| Both teams scored | • 38% | 39% | • 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 33% | • 34% |
| Clean sheets | • 38% | 38% | ▲ 47% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 55% | • 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 70% | ▲ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Central Norte 0 - 0 - 1 Ferro Carril Oeste. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
The Prim B Nacional match finished Central Norte 1:1 Ferro Carril Oeste. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Central Norte score 0.63 goals per game on average and Ferro Carril Oeste 1.13. The Prim B Nacional average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 33% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Central Norte's matches and 38% of Ferro Carril Oeste's.
What form are Central Norte and Ferro Carril Oeste in?
Over the last 5 games Central Norte have a 0-4-1 record (0.80 points per game) and Ferro Carril Oeste 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Central Norte vs Ferro Carril Oeste: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.