Cerro Largo vs Albion: match statistics
Cerro Largo vs Albion: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro Largo played Albion in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 11 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Cerro Largo: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Albion: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Largo scores 0.94 and concedes 1.16 goals per match. Albion scores 1.32 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Largo 42%, Albion 61%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 32%, Albion 58%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro Largo has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.25. Cerro Largo: 9.8 shots per match, Albion: 9.4.
Match halves
Cerro Largo: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.58. Albion: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (11 goals). Albion: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cerro Largo have a slight home advantage: they average 1.2 goals per match at home, while Albion score 0.93 away from home. The hosts also create slightly better chances, posting an xG of 1.28 compared with the visitors’ 1.15, and concede an average of 1 goal at home, compared with Albion’s 1.07 away. However, the last five matches give neither side an edge in terms of results — both teams recorded one win, one draw and three losses. Albion scored more goals over this period, 6 to 2, but also conceded more, 10 to 6, casting doubt on their ability to capitalise on the hosts’ lower scoring output. I’m backing a narrow Cerro Largo win, although the 40% draw rate in their home matches suggests that the points could still be shared.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
BTTS occurred in 69% of Cerro Largo’s matches and 53% of Albion’s, so full-season data points to a slight edge for both teams to score. Cerro Largo average 1.69 goals scored and 1.63 conceded, while Albion score 0.93 goals and concede an average of 1.07. The case for the home side to score is also supported by Albion conceding an average of 2 goals over their last 5 matches, while Cerro Largo recorded an xG of 1.60. The main concern is the home side’s scoring form: they have scored just 2 goals in their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in only 20% of those games. Even so, Albion recorded BTTS in 80% of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.2 goals scored in those games, giving the “Yes” selection a moderate edge.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Cerro Largo average 1.69 goals in their home matches, while Albion concede 1.07 on the road, giving the hosts a solid basis for finding the net. On the other hand, the hosts concede an average of 1.63 goals, and Albion’s away xG stands at 1.15, so the visitors also have a chance to add a goal. At least two goals were scored in 75% of Cerro Largo’s home matches and 53% of Albion’s away games, making Over 1.5 the safest pick. Higher lines have less support: at least four goals were scored in only 13% of Albion’s away games, while Cerro Largo have scored just 2 goals in their last five matches. The forecast of 2.65 goals takes into account both the hosts’ attacking potential and the current limitations in both teams’ finishing.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest, though not dominant, scenario is Albion leading at the break and winning at full time: Cerro Largo were trailing at half-time in 50% of their matches, while Albion were ahead at that point in 27%. The hosts concede an average of 1.00 goals before the break, compared with just 0.60 for the visitors, pointing to an Albion advantage in the first 45 minutes. If the visitors take the lead, their defensive record after half-time works in their favour, as they concede an average of 0.47 goals in the second half; meanwhile, Cerro Largo have scored just 0.20 goals per game in that period across their last five appearances. This HT/FT pick carries risk because the hosts average 1.69 goals per game over the season compared with Albion's 0.93, so scenarios in which Cerro Largo win or the match is level from start to finish also have a significant probability.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Largo | Albion | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Albion is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.2 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 0.6 pts / match - Albion
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Albion is 40% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.32 goals / match - Albion
Cerro Largo is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.16 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.35 goals / match - Albion
Cerro Largo scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Albion keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
Albion scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro Largo
Over / Under - Albion
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Albion - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 100% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -5 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro Largo
Albion
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Largo | Liga | Albion | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.10 | 2.38 | ▲ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 42% | 51% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 32% | 44% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 74% | 67% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | • 74% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cerro Largo 0 - 1 - 0 Albion. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro Largo vs Albion?
The Primera División match finished Cerro Largo 0:1 Albion. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Albion?
Cerro Largo score 0.94 goals per game on average and Albion 1.32. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Cerro Largo's matches and 61% of Albion's.
What form are Cerro Largo and Albion in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Albion 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Albion?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cerro Largo vs Albion: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.