Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio UbillaData current as of 21 October 2026

Cerro Largo vs Boston River: match statistics

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Cerro Largo vs Boston River: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cerro Largo play Boston River in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 25 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.

Current form

Cerro Largo: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match. Boston River: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cerro Largo scores 0.91 and concedes 1.15 goals per match. Boston River scores 1.00 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.37 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cerro Largo 42%, Boston River 48%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 30%, Boston River 45%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Boston River has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.24. Cerro Largo: 9.6 shots per match, Boston River: 10.1.

Match halves

Cerro Largo: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.58. Boston River: half-time lead 15%, second-half goals 0.67.

Goals by minute

Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (12 goals). Boston River: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.37 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-2. Average goals 2.25, BTTS 25%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.61)
(2.93)
(2.54)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cerro LargoBoston River
0.91Goals scored / match1
Cerro LargoBoston River
1.15Goals conceded / match1.3
Cerro LargoBoston River
50%Average possession51%
Cerro LargoBoston River
3.27Shots on target / match3.94
Cerro LargoBoston River

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.55Shots per match10.09
Cerro LargoBoston River
3.27Shots on target3.94
Cerro LargoBoston River
9.5%Shot conversion9.9%
Cerro LargoBoston River
50%Possession51%
Cerro LargoBoston River
1.24xG for1.3
Cerro LargoBoston River
1.52xG against1.54
Cerro LargoBoston River

Shooting quality

Cerro Largo: BalancedBoston River: Balanced
Cerro LargoBoston River
Accuracy (shots on target)34%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.25

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Boston River is 600% better for: last-5 form.

0.2 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1.4 pts / match - Boston River

Cerro Largo
LLLLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
24% W30% D45% L
Season (W-D-L)
8-10-15
1.03 pts / match · goal difference -8
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-1-4
0.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-6-6
Last 5 at home
0-3-2
DDDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.07Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Boston River
LLDWW
Season result split
30% W21% D48% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-16
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-10
Last 5 away
2-0-3
WLLLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.25Opponent xG: 1.29BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Boston River is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

0.91 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1 goals / match - Boston River

Cerro Largo is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.15 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.3 goals / match - Boston River

Cerro Largo scoring profile: strong

Cerro Largo scores in 61% of matches (20 of 33 matches), while Boston River keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 33 matches).

Boston River scoring profile: strong

Boston River scores in 58% of matches (19 of 33 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 24% (8 of 33 matches).

30Goals scored (season)33
Cerro LargoBoston River
38Goals conceded (season)43
Cerro LargoBoston River
2.06Average goals in match2.3
Cerro LargoBoston River
2Goals scored (last 5)6
Cerro LargoBoston River
8Goals conceded (last 5)5
Cerro LargoBoston River

How often they score at least...

61%1 goal58%
Cerro LargoBoston River
21%2 goals24%
Cerro LargoBoston River
9%3 goals12%
Cerro LargoBoston River
0%4 goals6%
Cerro LargoBoston River

How often they concede at least...

76%1 goal79%
Cerro LargoBoston River
30%2 goals36%
Cerro LargoBoston River
9%3 goals12%
Cerro LargoBoston River
0%4 goals3%
Cerro LargoBoston River

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

9%BTTS at half-time18%
Cerro LargoBoston River
3%BTTS in both halves3%
Cerro LargoBoston River
12%Scored in both halves15%
Cerro LargoBoston River

BTTS and goal count

21%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Cerro LargoBoston River
9%Min. 3 goals without BTTS6%
Cerro LargoBoston River
40%BTTS - last 560%
Cerro LargoBoston River

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

73%Min. 1 goal before half-time58%
Cerro LargoBoston River
12%Min. 2 goals before half-time21%
Cerro LargoBoston River
3%Min. 3 goals before half-time6%
Cerro LargoBoston River

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time70%
Cerro LargoBoston River
27%Min. 2 goals after half-time48%
Cerro LargoBoston River
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time21%
Cerro LargoBoston River

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cerro Largo is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.06 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1 pts / match - Boston River

Cerro Largo - half-time state
24% leading33% draw42% trailing
Boston River - half-time state
15% leading55% draw30% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.06Points per match (1st half)1
Cerro LargoBoston River
0.33Goals scored (1st half)0.33
Cerro LargoBoston River
0.55Goals conceded (1st half)0.52
Cerro LargoBoston River
0.88Average goals (1st half)0.85
Cerro LargoBoston River
52%Clean sheet before half-time52%
Cerro LargoBoston River
67%No goal before half-time73%
Cerro LargoBoston River

After half-time (2nd half)

1.27Points per match (2nd half)1.12
Cerro LargoBoston River
0.58Goals scored (2nd half)0.67
Cerro LargoBoston River
0.61Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
Cerro LargoBoston River
1.18Average goals (2nd half)1.45
Cerro LargoBoston River
55%Clean sheet after half-time42%
Cerro LargoBoston River
61%No goal after half-time55%
Cerro LargoBoston River

Cerro Largo - second-half results

33% W27% D39% L
35
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-7
Goal difference (1st half)
42
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.06
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Boston River - second-half results

21% W48% D30% L
33
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-6
Goal difference (1st half)
37
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 15% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cerro Largo - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.80
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.00.6
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%0%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-2
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Boston River - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.40
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%60%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cerro Largo
ScoredConceded
2
7
0-15
5
6
16-30
4
5
31-45
5
6
46-60
2
4
61-75
12
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.

Boston River
ScoredConceded
4
7
0-15
2
5
16-30
5
5
31-45
7
5
46-60
6
9
61-75
9
12
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.18
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.1
Estimated goal split
home : away
92%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+3%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
35%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cerro Largo

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.28
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.04
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-4.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.33
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.37
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
69%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
108%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.83
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Boston River

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.24
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.30
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.24
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
94%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
99%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.28
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
27% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
27%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

Cerro LargoLigaBoston River
Average goals in match▼ 2.062.37• 2.30
Both teams scored▼ 42%50%▼ 48%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 30%44%• 45%
Clean sheets▼ 24%29%▼ 21%
Goal before half-time▲ 73%67%▼ 58%
Goal after half-time▲ 76%73%▼ 70%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.37
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.31
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+24%
Home attack advantage
+19%
Home defence advantage
+11%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
37%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (4): Cerro Largo 1 - 1 - 2 Boston River. Average goals 2.25, both teams scored in 25% matches.

Cerro Largo
3 : 0
Boston River
Boston River
1 : 0
Cerro Largo
Cerro Largo Fútbol Club
2 : 2
CA Boston River
CA Boston River
1 : 0
Cerro Largo Fútbol Club

FAQ

When do Cerro Largo and Boston River play?

Cerro Largo face Boston River on 25 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Boston River?

In the last 4 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 1, Boston River won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.25 goals, with both teams scoring in 25% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Boston River?

Cerro Largo score 0.91 goals per game on average and Boston River 1.00. The Primera División average is 2.37 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 42% of Cerro Largo's matches and 48% of Boston River's.

What form are Cerro Largo and Boston River in?

Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 0-1-4 record (0.20 points per game) and Boston River 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Boston River?

The statistical background for Cerro Largo vs Boston River — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.