Cerro Largo vs Nacional: match statistics
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Cerro Largo vs Nacional: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro Largo play Nacional in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 26 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Current form
Cerro Largo: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Nacional: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Largo scores 0.97 and concedes 1.10 goals per match. Nacional scores 1.48 and concedes 1.31. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Largo 41%, Nacional 59%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 31%, Nacional 62%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Nacional has higher xG: 1.46 vs 1.28. Cerro Largo: 9.9 shots per match, Nacional: 11.2.
Match halves
Cerro Largo: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.62. Nacional: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.90.
Goals by minute
Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (11 goals). Nacional: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 33%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Largo | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Nacional is 267% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 2.2 pts / match - Nacional
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Nacional is 53% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.48 goals / match - Nacional
Cerro Largo is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.1 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.31 goals / match - Nacional
Cerro Largo scores in 62% of matches (18 of 29 matches), while Nacional keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
Nacional scores in 83% of matches (24 of 29 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro Largo
Over / Under - Nacional
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Nacional is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.17 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1.28 pts / match - Nacional
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 28%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Nacional - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro Largo
Nacional
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Largo | Liga | Nacional | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.07 | 2.38 | ▲ 2.79 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 44% | ▲ 62% |
| Clean sheets | • 28% | 29% | • 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 66% | ▼ 62% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 76% | 73% | ▲ 86% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Cerro Largo 0 - 0 - 3 Nacional. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 33% matches.
FAQ
When do Cerro Largo and Nacional play?
Cerro Largo face Nacional on 26 September 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Nacional?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 0, Nacional won 3 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 33% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Nacional?
Cerro Largo score 0.97 goals per game on average and Nacional 1.48. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Cerro Largo's matches and 59% of Nacional's.
What form are Cerro Largo and Nacional in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Nacional 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Nacional?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cerro Largo vs Nacional: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.