Cerro Largo vs Progreso: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
Cerro Largo vs Progreso: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro Largo play Progreso in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 12 November 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla.
Current form
Cerro Largo: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Progreso: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro Largo scores 0.94 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Progreso scores 0.89 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.38 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro Largo 43%, Progreso 43%. Over 2.5: Cerro Largo 31%, Progreso 40%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Cerro Largo has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.20. Cerro Largo: 9.5 shots per match, Progreso: 8.9.
Match halves
Cerro Largo: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.63. Progreso: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.54.
Goals by minute
Cerro Largo: 76-90+ (13 goals). Progreso: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 3-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro Largo | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Progreso is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Cerro Largo · 1.4 pts / match - Progreso
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cerro Largo is 6% better for: goals scored per match.
0.94 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 0.89 goals / match - Progreso
Cerro Largo is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Cerro Largo · 1.4 goals / match - Progreso
Cerro Largo scores in 63% of matches (22 of 35 matches), while Progreso keeps a clean sheet in 17% (6 of 35 matches).
Progreso scores in 60% of matches (21 of 35 matches), while Cerro Largo keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro Largo
Over / Under - Progreso
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro Largo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Progreso - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -4 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro Largo
Progreso
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro Largo | Liga | Progreso | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.11 | 2.38 | • 2.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▼ 43% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 31% | 44% | ▼ 40% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 71% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▲ 80% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Cerro Largo 3 - 0 - 0 Progreso. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
When do Cerro Largo and Progreso play?
Cerro Largo face Progreso on 12 November 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Municipal Arquitecto Antonio Eleuterio Ubilla. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Largo and Progreso?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Cerro Largo won 3, Progreso won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
Cerro Largo score 0.94 goals per game on average and Progreso 0.89. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Cerro Largo's matches and 43% of Progreso's.
What form are Cerro Largo and Progreso in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro Largo have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Progreso 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Largo vs Progreso?
The statistical background for Cerro Largo vs Progreso — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.