Paraguay - Division ProfesionalEstadio General Pablo RojasData current as of 30 August 2026

Cerro Porteño vs Libertad: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Cerro Porteño vs Libertad: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cerro Porteño play Libertad in Division Profesional (Paraguay). The match date is 30 August 2026. Venue: Estadio General Pablo Rojas.

Current form

Cerro Porteño: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Libertad: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cerro Porteño scores 1.37 and concedes 0.96 goals per match. Libertad scores 1.61 and concedes 1.11. League average: 2.44 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cerro Porteño 41%, Libertad 46%. Over 2.5: Cerro Porteño 41%, Libertad 50%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

Libertad has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.46. Cerro Porteño: 13.6 shots per match, Libertad: 14.6.

Match halves

Cerro Porteño: half-time lead 41%, second-half goals 0.67. Libertad: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.96.

Goals by minute

Cerro Porteño: 76-90+ (9 goals). Libertad: 46-60 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Division Profesional: 2.44 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 6 previous H2H matches were available: 2-3-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 67%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.04)
(3.00)
(3.50)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Cerro PorteñoLibertad
1.37Goals scored / match1.61
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
0.96Goals conceded / match1.11
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
56%Average possession55%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
4.96Shots on target / match5.21
Cerro PorteñoLibertad

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.59Shots per match14.61
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
4.96Shots on target5.21
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
10.1%Shot conversion11%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
56%Possession55%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
1.46xG for1.58
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
1.15xG against1.21
Cerro PorteñoLibertad

Shooting quality

Cerro Porteño: BalancedLibertad: Dominant
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Libertad is 100% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Cerro Porteño · 2.4 pts / match - Libertad

Cerro Porteño
LWLWL
Season result split
48% W19% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-5-9
1.63 pts / match · goal difference +11
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
8-3-3
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
DWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.24BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Libertad
WLWWW
Season result split
50% W14% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
14-4-10
1.64 pts / match · goal difference +14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
4-0-1
2.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-8
Last 5 away
3-0-2
WLWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.94Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Libertad is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

1.37 goals / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.61 goals / match - Libertad

Cerro Porteño is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.96 goals / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.11 goals / match - Libertad

Cerro Porteño scoring profile: strong

Cerro Porteño scores in 74% of matches (20 of 27 matches), while Libertad keeps a clean sheet in 32% (9 of 28 matches).

Libertad scoring profile: strong

Libertad scores in 75% of matches (21 of 28 matches), while Cerro Porteño keeps a clean sheet in 44% (12 of 27 matches).

37Goals scored (season)45
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
26Goals conceded (season)31
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
2.33Average goals in match2.71
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
6Goals scored (last 5)10
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
5Goals conceded (last 5)5
Cerro PorteñoLibertad

How often they score at least...

74%1 goal75%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
41%2 goals39%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
19%3 goals21%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
4%4 goals11%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad

How often they concede at least...

56%1 goal68%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
37%2 goals32%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
4%3 goals11%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
0%4 goals0%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

52%
League average

Goal patterns

11%BTTS at half-time25%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
4%BTTS in both halves7%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
19%Scored in both halves39%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad

BTTS and goal count

33%Min. 3 goals and BTTS39%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
7%Min. 3 goals without BTTS11%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
40%BTTS - last 580%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time61%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
26%Min. 2 goals before half-time39%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
4%Min. 3 goals before half-time14%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad

2nd half

74%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
41%Min. 2 goals after half-time43%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
11%Min. 3 goals after half-time25%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cerro Porteño is 23% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.63 pts / match - Cerro Porteño · 1.32 pts / match - Libertad

Cerro Porteño - half-time state
41% leading41% draw19% trailing
Libertad - half-time state
25% leading57% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.63Points per match (1st half)1.32
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
0.7Goals scored (1st half)0.64
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)0.54
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
1.04Average goals (1st half)1.18
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
70%Clean sheet before half-time64%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
52%No goal before half-time50%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1.64
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.96
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
0.63Goals conceded (2nd half)0.57
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
1.3Average goals (2nd half)1.54
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
56%Clean sheet after half-time61%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad
56%No goal after half-time36%
Cerro PorteñoLibertad

Cerro Porteño - second-half results

33% W33% R33% P
44
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
+10
Goal difference (1st half)
36
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.63
PPG before half-time
Lead holding117%

Leads at half-time in 41% of matches and wins 48%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Libertad - second-half results

46% W25% R29% P
37
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+3
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
+11
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding200%

Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Cerro Porteño - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.001.00
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.20.8
Average goals in match1.01.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Libertad - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.402.40
Goals scored / match0.81.2
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.41.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal20%20%
Goal difference+1+4
Half-time: 20% leading - 80% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 80% won - 0% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cerro Porteño
ScoredConceded
8
2
0-15
4
3
16-30
7
4
31-45
4
6
46-60
5
7
61-75
9
4
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

Libertad
ScoredConceded
3
4
0-15
7
5
16-30
8
6
31-45
11
2
46-60
7
8
61-75
9
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.53
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.2 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
103%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
44%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-1%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
55%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cerro Porteño

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.10
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-10.2 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.19
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
99%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.43
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

Libertad

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.13
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-11.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.03
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.10
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
153%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
80%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 7% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Division Profesional).

Teams vs league

Cerro PorteñoLigaLibertad
Average goals in match 2.332.44 2.71
Both teams scored 41%52% 46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 41%45% 50%
Clean sheets 44%28% 32%
Goal before half-time 67%63% 61%
Goal after half-time 74%80% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.44
Average goals per match
52%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
28%
Clean sheets
1.39
Home goals / match
1.05
Away goals / match
+32%
Home attack advantage
+24%
Home defence advantage
+16%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
63%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
80%
1 goal
43%
2 goals
16%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (6): Cerro Porteño 2 - 3 - 1 Libertad. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 67% matches.

Libertad
2 : 3
Cerro Porteño
Cerro Porteño
1 : 1
Libertad
Club Cerro Porteño
1 : 0
Club Libertad
Club Libertad
1 : 1
Club Cerro Porteño
Club Libertad
1 : 0
Club Cerro Porteño
Club Cerro Porteño
2 : 2
Club Libertad

FAQ

When do Cerro Porteño and Libertad play?

Cerro Porteño face Libertad on 30 August 2026 in Division Profesional at Estadio General Pablo Rojas. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro Porteño and Libertad?

In the last 6 head-to-head matches Cerro Porteño won 2, Libertad won 1 and 3 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cerro Porteño vs Libertad?

Cerro Porteño score 1.37 goals per game on average and Libertad 1.61. The Division Profesional average is 2.44 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Cerro Porteño's matches and 46% of Libertad's.

What form are Cerro Porteño and Libertad in?

Over the last 5 games Cerro Porteño have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Libertad 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro Porteño vs Libertad?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Cerro Porteño vs Libertad: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.