Uruguay - Primera DivisiónEstadio Monumental Luis TróccoliData current as of 30 October 2026

Cerro vs Central Español: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Cerro vs Central Español: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Cerro play Central Español in Primera División (Uruguay). The match date is 31 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli.

Current form

Cerro: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Central Español: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.

Goal statistics

Cerro scores 0.82 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Central Español scores 0.97 and concedes 1.38. League average: 2.38 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Cerro 47%, Central Español 47%. Over 2.5: Cerro 41%, Central Español 50%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Central Español has higher xG: 1.25 vs 1.22. Cerro: 9.8 shots per match, Central Español: 9.3.

Match halves

Cerro: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.32. Central Español: half-time lead 9%, second-half goals 0.65.

Goals by minute

Cerro: 76-90+ (10 goals). Central Español: 31-45+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Primera División: 2.38 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.40)
(2.92)
(2.89)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

CerroCentral Español
0.82Goals scored / match0.97
CerroCentral Español
1.5Goals conceded / match1.38
CerroCentral Español
42%Average possession43%
CerroCentral Español
3.47Shots on target / match3.65
CerroCentral Español

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.76Shots per match9.35
CerroCentral Español
3.47Shots on target3.65
CerroCentral Español
8.4%Shot conversion10.4%
CerroCentral Español
42%Possession43%
CerroCentral Español
1.22xG for1.25
CerroCentral Español
1.53xG against1.66
CerroCentral Español

Shooting quality

Cerro: BalancedCentral Español: Balanced
CerroCentral Español
Accuracy (shots on target)36%39%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.13
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.240.27

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Cerro
DLWDL
Season result split
29% W21% D50% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-17
1.09 pts / match · goal difference -23
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-4-6
Last 5 at home
2-1-2
WWLLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.6xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.18BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Central Español
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
29% W24% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-8-16
1.12 pts / match · goal difference -14
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
4-4-8
Last 5 away
0-1-4
LLDLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.30Opponent xG: 1.12BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Central Español is 18% better for: goals scored per match.

0.82 goals / match - Cerro · 0.97 goals / match - Central Español

Central Español is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.5 goals / match - Cerro · 1.38 goals / match - Central Español

Cerro scoring profile: strong

Cerro scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Central Español keeps a clean sheet in 29% (10 of 34 matches).

Central Español scoring profile: strong

Central Español scores in 65% of matches (22 of 34 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

28Goals scored (season)33
CerroCentral Español
51Goals conceded (season)47
CerroCentral Español
2.32Average goals in match2.35
CerroCentral Español
5Goals scored (last 5)2
CerroCentral Español
8Goals conceded (last 5)10
CerroCentral Español

How often they score at least...

65%1 goal65%
CerroCentral Español
12%2 goals24%
CerroCentral Español
6%3 goals9%
CerroCentral Español
0%4 goals0%
CerroCentral Español

How often they concede at least...

79%1 goal71%
CerroCentral Español
38%2 goals35%
CerroCentral Español
24%3 goals21%
CerroCentral Español
9%4 goals6%
CerroCentral Español

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
Central Español - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.16 of 34 matches
50%
League average

Goal patterns

29%BTTS at half-time18%
CerroCentral Español
0%BTTS in both halves3%
CerroCentral Español
9%Scored in both halves15%
CerroCentral Español

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS41%
CerroCentral Español
12%Min. 3 goals without BTTS9%
CerroCentral Español
60%BTTS - last 540%
CerroCentral Español

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

65%Min. 1 goal before half-time56%
CerroCentral Español
38%Min. 2 goals before half-time24%
CerroCentral Español
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time9%
CerroCentral Español

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
CerroCentral Español
32%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
CerroCentral Español
6%Min. 3 goals after half-time18%
CerroCentral Español

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Cerro is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.09 pts / match - Cerro · 0.82 pts / match - Central Español

Cerro - half-time state
18% leading56% draw26% trailing
Central Español - half-time state
9% leading56% draw35% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.09Points per match (1st half)0.82
CerroCentral Español
0.5Goals scored (1st half)0.32
CerroCentral Español
0.62Goals conceded (1st half)0.59
CerroCentral Español
1.12Average goals (1st half)0.91
CerroCentral Español
53%Clean sheet before half-time50%
CerroCentral Español
53%No goal before half-time76%
CerroCentral Español

After half-time (2nd half)

0.85Points per match (2nd half)1.35
CerroCentral Español
0.32Goals scored (2nd half)0.65
CerroCentral Español
0.88Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
CerroCentral Español
1.21Average goals (2nd half)1.44
CerroCentral Español
38%Clean sheet after half-time50%
CerroCentral Español
74%No goal after half-time44%
CerroCentral Español

Cerro - second-half results

18% W32% D50% L
37
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
29
Second-half points
-19
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.09
PPG before half-time
Lead holding161%

Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Central Español - second-half results

32% W38% D29% L
28
Half-time points
11
Half-time goals
-9
Goal difference (1st half)
46
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.82
PPG before half-time
Lead holding322%

Leads at half-time in 9% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Cerro - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.001.00
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.8
Average goals in match1.21.4
1 goal80%60%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-1
Half-time: 20% leading - 40% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Central Español - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.000.60
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal100%60%
2 goals0%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet0%40%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-5-3
Half-time: 0% leading - 0% draw - 100% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Cerro
ScoredConceded
7
4
0-15
6
6
16-30
4
11
31-45
0
5
46-60
1
7
61-75
10
18
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -8 - late phases are a weakness.

Central Español
ScoredConceded
2
6
0-15
1
6
16-30
8
8
31-45
6
7
46-60
8
7
61-75
8
13
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.33
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.1 : 1.2
Estimated goal split
home : away
98%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
47%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+7%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
42%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
12%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 8 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Cerro

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.37
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+13.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.40
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
62%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
142%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.09
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
36% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 25% come in the first quarter-hour.
36%

Central Español

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.41
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+4.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.28
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
92%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
105%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-1.12
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.3
Late goals
24% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 6% come in the first quarter-hour.
24%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).

Teams vs league

CerroLigaCentral Español
Average goals in match• 2.322.38• 2.35
Both teams scored▼ 47%50%▼ 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▼ 41%44%▲ 50%
Clean sheets▼ 21%29%• 29%
Goal before half-time▼ 65%67%▼ 56%
Goal after half-time▲ 76%73%▲ 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.38
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.32
Home goals / match
1.06
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+10%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
67%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Cerro 1 - 0 - 1 Central Español. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

FAQ

When do Cerro and Central Español play?

Cerro face Central Español on 31 October 2026 in Primera División at Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Cerro and Central Español?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cerro won 1, Central Español won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Cerro vs Central Español?

Cerro score 0.82 goals per game on average and Central Español 0.97. The Primera División average is 2.38 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 47% of Cerro's matches and 47% of Central Español's.

What form are Cerro and Central Español in?

Over the last 5 games Cerro have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Central Español 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro vs Central Español?

The statistical background for Cerro vs Central Español — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.