Cerro vs Wanderers: match statistics
Cerro vs Wanderers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cerro played Wanderers in Primera División (Uruguay). The match was played on 4 October 2026. Venue: Estadio Monumental Luis Tróccoli. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Cerro: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Wanderers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cerro scores 0.77 and concedes 1.43 goals per match. Wanderers scores 1.26 and concedes 1.32. League average: 2.39 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cerro 43%, Wanderers 55%. Over 2.5: Cerro 40%, Wanderers 48%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Wanderers has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.20. Cerro: 9.9 shots per match, Wanderers: 10.1.
Match halves
Cerro: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.27. Wanderers: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Cerro: 76-90+ (7 goals). Wanderers: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Primera División: 2.39 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 4 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-2. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Cerro have a slight home advantage: they have won 43% of their home matches, while Wanderers have lost 50% of their away games. The hosts’ defence could prove decisive, conceding an average of 0.71 goals per game at home compared with 1.81 goals conceded by the visitors away. Wanderers create slightly better scoring chances, with an away xG of 1.41 against Cerro’s 1.22 at home, and score an average of 1.25 goals compared with the hosts’ 0.79. However, both teams have won just one of their last five matches, and Wanderers conceded 10 goals during that period, compared with Cerro’s 7. The hosts’ lower scoring output makes this pick less certain, but their stronger defence and the visitors’ away struggles point towards a Cerro win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
In their last five matches, both teams scored in 60% of Cerro's games and 100% of Wanderers' games, supporting a BTTS - Yes pick. Wanderers conceded an average of 2.0 goals per game during this period, while Cerro conceded 1.4, giving both sides a chance to exploit their opponents' weaknesses. Across the full season, the teams averaged 1.27 and 1.25 goals scored per game, respectively, with xG of 1.31 for Cerro and 1.41 for Wanderers. However, caution is warranted: Cerro kept a clean sheet in 47% of its matches, and its season-long BTTS rate is 47%, compared with 63% for Wanderers. The stronger signals from the last five matches and the goals conceded give a slight edge to the scenario in which both teams score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest signal points to Under 3.5 goals: this line has not been exceeded in 93% of Cerro's matches and 75% of Wanderers' matches. Cerro concede an average of 0.8 goals per match, limiting the visitors' scoring potential despite their average xG of 1.41. On the other hand, Wanderers concede an average of 1.81 goals, giving the hosts a chance to score, although their own average is 1.27 goals. In each team's last five matches, Over 2.5 goals landed 60% of the time, making this line a less clear signal. The forecast of 2.50 total goals suggests that a match with two or three goals is more likely than one with at least four.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Cerro leading at the break and holding on to their advantage until full time: the hosts were ahead at half-time in 47% of their matches, while Wanderers were trailing at that point in 44%. Cerro average 0.80 goals scored before the break, while Wanderers concede 0.81; the visitors score just 0.38 goals in this period, compared with 0.33 conceded by the hosts. Across full matches, Cerro won 47% and conceded an average of 0.80 goals, whereas Wanderers lost 50% and conceded 1.81 goals. A draw at half-time remains a notable alternative, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 3 of their last 5 matches. However, Cerro’s season-long edge in first halves makes 1/1 the more compelling HT/FT pick. Confidence is tempered by the hosts’ recent form—they have won just once in their previous 5 matches—so I assign this outcome a 29% probability rather than making it a clear majority scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cerro | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Wanderers is 64% better for: goals scored per match.
0.77 goals / match - Cerro · 1.26 goals / match - Wanderers
Wanderers is 8% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.43 goals / match - Cerro · 1.32 goals / match - Wanderers
Cerro scores in 63% of matches (19 of 30 matches), while Wanderers keeps a clean sheet in 35% (11 of 31 matches).
Wanderers scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Cerro keeps a clean sheet in 23% (7 of 30 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cerro
Over / Under - Wanderers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Wanderers is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.1 pts / match - Cerro · 1.39 pts / match - Wanderers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cerro - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Wanderers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -10 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cerro
Wanderers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Primera División).
Teams vs league
| Cerro | Liga | Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.20 | 2.39 | ▲ 2.58 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 43% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 40% | 45% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 23% | 29% | ▲ 35% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 67% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 77% | 73% | ▲ 81% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (4): Cerro 2 - 0 - 2 Wanderers. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cerro vs Wanderers?
The Primera División match finished Cerro 0:2 Wanderers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cerro and Wanderers?
In the last 4 head-to-head matches Cerro won 2, Wanderers won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cerro vs Wanderers?
Cerro score 0.77 goals per game on average and Wanderers 1.26. The Primera División average is 2.39 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Cerro's matches and 55% of Wanderers's.
What form are Cerro and Wanderers in?
Over the last 5 games Cerro have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Wanderers 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cerro vs Wanderers?
The statistical background for Cerro vs Wanderers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.