Spain - Segunda DivisiónEstadio Municipal Alfonso MurubeData current as of 18 September 2026

Ceuta vs Real Valladolid: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ceuta vs Real Valladolid: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ceuta play Real Valladolid in Segunda División (Spain). The match date is 20 September 2026. Venue: Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube.

Current form

Ceuta: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match. Real Valladolid: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ceuta scores 0.40 and concedes 3.00 goals per match. Real Valladolid scores 0.40 and concedes 1.40. League average: 2.33 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ceuta 40%, Real Valladolid 20%. Over 2.5: Ceuta 60%, Real Valladolid 20%. League level: BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 40%.

xG, shots and style

Real Valladolid has higher xG: 1.24 vs 1.22. Ceuta: 11.8 shots per match, Real Valladolid: 11.6.

Match halves

Ceuta: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.20. Real Valladolid: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.00.

Goals by minute

Ceuta: 0-15 (1 goals). Real Valladolid: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Segunda División: 2.33 goals per match, BTTS 38%, Over 2.5 40%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.79)
(3.30)
(2.44)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

0.4Goals scored / match0.4
CeutaReal Valladolid
3Goals conceded / match1.4
CeutaReal Valladolid
47%Average possession51%
CeutaReal Valladolid
2.8Shots on target / match3
CeutaReal Valladolid

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.8Shots per match11.6
CeutaReal Valladolid
2.8Shots on target3
CeutaReal Valladolid
3.4%Shot conversion3.4%
CeutaReal Valladolid
47%Possession51%
CeutaReal Valladolid
1.22xG for1.24
CeutaReal Valladolid
1.53xG against1.23
CeutaReal Valladolid

Shooting quality

Ceuta: BalancedReal Valladolid: Balanced
CeutaReal Valladolid
Accuracy (shots on target)24%26%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.100.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.140.13

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ceuta
LLLLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W0% D100% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match · goal difference -13
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-0-5
0.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
0-0-2
Last 5 at home
0-0-2
LL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 3.0xG: 1.22Opponent xG: 1.53BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 60%
Real Valladolid
LLDWL
Season result split
20% W20% D60% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-2
Last 5 away
0-1-2
LLD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.24Opponent xG: 1.23BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Real Valladolid is 114% better for: goals conceded per match.

3 goals / match - Ceuta · 1.4 goals / match - Real Valladolid

Ceuta scoring profile: mixed

Ceuta scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Real Valladolid keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

Real Valladolid scoring profile: strong

Real Valladolid scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Ceuta keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 5 matches).

2Goals scored (season)2
CeutaReal Valladolid
15Goals conceded (season)7
CeutaReal Valladolid
3.4Average goals in match1.8
CeutaReal Valladolid
2Goals scored (last 5)2
CeutaReal Valladolid
15Goals conceded (last 5)7
CeutaReal Valladolid

How often they score at least...

40%1 goal40%
CeutaReal Valladolid
0%2 goals0%
CeutaReal Valladolid
0%3 goals0%
CeutaReal Valladolid
0%4 goals0%
CeutaReal Valladolid

How often they concede at least...

100%1 goal80%
CeutaReal Valladolid
100%2 goals40%
CeutaReal Valladolid
60%3 goals20%
CeutaReal Valladolid
20%4 goals0%
CeutaReal Valladolid

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

38%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time20%
CeutaReal Valladolid
0%BTTS in both halves0%
CeutaReal Valladolid
0%Scored in both halves0%
CeutaReal Valladolid

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS0%
CeutaReal Valladolid
20%Min. 3 goals without BTTS20%
CeutaReal Valladolid
40%BTTS - last 520%
CeutaReal Valladolid

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
CeutaReal Valladolid
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time20%
CeutaReal Valladolid
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
CeutaReal Valladolid

2nd half

100%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
CeutaReal Valladolid
60%Min. 2 goals after half-time40%
CeutaReal Valladolid
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
CeutaReal Valladolid

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Real Valladolid is 500% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

0.2 pts / match - Ceuta · 1.2 pts / match - Real Valladolid

Ceuta - half-time state
0% leading20% draw80% trailing
Real Valladolid - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

0.2Points per match (1st half)1.2
CeutaReal Valladolid
0.2Goals scored (1st half)0.4
CeutaReal Valladolid
1Goals conceded (1st half)0.4
CeutaReal Valladolid
1.2Average goals (1st half)0.8
CeutaReal Valladolid
0%Clean sheet before half-time60%
CeutaReal Valladolid
80%No goal before half-time60%
CeutaReal Valladolid

After half-time (2nd half)

0Points per match (2nd half)0.4
CeutaReal Valladolid
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)0
CeutaReal Valladolid
2Goals conceded (2nd half)1
CeutaReal Valladolid
2.2Average goals (2nd half)1
CeutaReal Valladolid
0%Clean sheet after half-time40%
CeutaReal Valladolid
80%No goal after half-time100%
CeutaReal Valladolid

Ceuta - second-half results

0% W0% D100% L
1
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
0
Second-half points
-9
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.20
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time+1.0

Concedes 1.0 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Real Valladolid - second-half results

0% W40% D60% L
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
2
Second-half points
-5
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.6

Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Ceuta - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.200.00
Goals scored / match0.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.02.0
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet0%0%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-4-9
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 0% draw - 100% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Real Valladolid - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.40
Goals scored / match0.40.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet60%40%
No goal60%100%
Goal difference0-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 40% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ceuta
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
3
16-30
0
2
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
3
61-75
1
5
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.

Real Valladolid
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
2
16-30
1
0
31-45
0
2
46-60
0
3
61-75
0
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
30%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+15%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
16%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
36%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ceuta

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.31
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-2.29
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.82
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-1.47
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
32%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
280%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

Real Valladolid

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.01
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+2.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.84
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
37%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
112%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
0% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
0%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Segunda División).

Teams vs league

CeutaLigaReal Valladolid
Average goals in match 3.402.33 1.80
Both teams scored 40%38% 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 60%40% 20%
Clean sheets 0%37% 20%
Goal before half-time 100%60% 60%
Goal after half-time 100%69% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.33
Average goals per match
38%
Both teams scored
40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
37%
Clean sheets
1.25
Home goals / match
1.07
Away goals / match
+17%
Home attack advantage
+14%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
35%
2 goals
9%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Ceuta 0 - 0 - 2 Real Valladolid. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Agrupación Deportiva Ceuta FC
0 : 3
Real Valladolid Club de Fútbol
Real Valladolid Club de Fútbol
3 : 0
Agrupación Deportiva Ceuta FC

FAQ

When do Ceuta and Real Valladolid play?

Ceuta face Real Valladolid on 20 September 2026 in Segunda División at Estadio Municipal Alfonso Murube. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Ceuta and Real Valladolid?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ceuta won 0, Real Valladolid won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Ceuta vs Real Valladolid?

Ceuta score 0.40 goals per game on average and Real Valladolid 0.40. The Segunda División average is 2.33 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Ceuta's matches and 20% of Real Valladolid's.

What form are Ceuta and Real Valladolid in?

Over the last 5 games Ceuta have a 0-0-5 record (0.00 points per game) and Real Valladolid 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ceuta vs Real Valladolid?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.