CF Os Belenenses vs Varzim: match statistics
CF Os Belenenses displays solid home form with a 58% Win% and an impressive +5 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals per home game with only 25% of matches failing to produce a goal, indicating an effective offense. Varzim performs significantly worse on the road – just a 27% Win%, a 45% loss rate, and a negative -3 goal difference, failing to score in as many as 45% of their games. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.46 vs 1.05), while their advantage in possession (52% vs 46%) and higher shots on target (4.08 vs 2.55) further strengthen the case for a Belenenses win. The last five matches for both teams reveal more stable form for the hosts (1.6 PPG) compared to the visitors (1.2 PPG), making a home victory the most probable scenario.
CF Os Belenenses vs Varzim: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
CF Os Belenenses play Varzim in Liga 3 (Portugal). The match date is 14 March 2026 at 21:00. Final score: 3:2.
Current form
CF Os Belenenses: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Varzim: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
CF Os Belenenses scores 1.63 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Varzim scores 1.22 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.23 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: CF Os Belenenses 56%, Varzim 47%. Over 2.5: CF Os Belenenses 53%, Varzim 44%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
xG, shots and style
CF Os Belenenses has higher xG: 1.49 vs 1.28. CF Os Belenenses: 12.1 shots per match, Varzim: 9.8.
Match halves
CF Os Belenenses: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.75. Varzim: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.63.
Goals by minute
CF Os Belenenses: 31-45+ (13 goals). Varzim: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 3: 2.23 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 40%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
CF Os Belenenses displays solid home form with a 58% Win% and an impressive +5 goal difference at their stadium. The hosts score an average of 1.33 goals per home game with only 25% of matches failing to produce a goal, indicating an effective offense. Varzim performs significantly worse on the road – just a 27% Win%, a 45% loss rate, and a negative -3 goal difference, failing to score in as many as 45% of their games. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.46 vs 1.05), while their advantage in possession (52% vs 46%) and higher shots on target (4.08 vs 2.55) further strengthen the case for a Belenenses win. The last five matches for both teams reveal more stable form for the hosts (1.6 PPG) compared to the visitors (1.2 PPG), making a home victory the most probable scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| CF Os Belenenses | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
CF Os Belenenses is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - CF Os Belenenses · 1 pts / match - Varzim
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
CF Os Belenenses is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - CF Os Belenenses · 1.22 goals / match - Varzim
CF Os Belenenses is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - CF Os Belenenses · 1.13 goals / match - Varzim
CF Os Belenenses scores in 88% of matches (28 of 32 matches), while Varzim keeps a clean sheet in 25% (8 of 32 matches).
Varzim scores in 66% of matches (21 of 32 matches), while CF Os Belenenses keeps a clean sheet in 38% (12 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — CF Os Belenenses
Over / Under — Varzim
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
CF Os Belenenses is 42% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - CF Os Belenenses · 1.25 pts / match - Varzim
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
CF Os Belenenses - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Varzim - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (13 goli). Concedes most in 61-75 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
CF Os Belenenses
Varzim
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 3).
Teams vs league
| CF Os Belenenses | Liga | Varzim | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.63 | 2.23 | ▲ 2.34 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 56% | 49% | ▼ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 40% | ▲ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 31% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 78% | 66% | ▲ 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: CF Os Belenenses 1 - 0 - 0 Varzim. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of CF Os Belenenses vs Varzim?
The Liga 3 match finished CF Os Belenenses 3:2 Varzim. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before CF Os Belenenses vs Varzim?
CF Os Belenenses score 1.63 goals per game on average and Varzim 1.22. The Liga 3 average is 2.23 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 40% of games. Both teams score in 56% of CF Os Belenenses's matches and 47% of Varzim's.
What form are CF Os Belenenses and Varzim in?
Over the last 5 games CF Os Belenenses have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Varzim 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for CF Os Belenenses vs Varzim?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.