China - China League OneChangchun's People StadiumData current as of 08 September 2026

Changchun Yatai vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Changchun Yatai vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Changchun Yatai play Heilongjiang Lava Spring in China League One (China). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Changchun's People Stadium.

Current form

Changchun Yatai: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Heilongjiang Lava Spring: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Changchun Yatai scores 1.67 and concedes 1.76 goals per match. Heilongjiang Lava Spring scores 1.55 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.73 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Changchun Yatai 71%, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 86%. Over 2.5: Changchun Yatai 86%, Heilongjiang Lava Spring 64%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.

xG, shots and style

Heilongjiang Lava Spring has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.20. Changchun Yatai: 9.3 shots per match, Heilongjiang Lava Spring: 11.2.

Match halves

Changchun Yatai: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.81. Heilongjiang Lava Spring: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.77.

Goals by minute

Changchun Yatai: 31-45+ (9 goals). Heilongjiang Lava Spring: 16-30 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

China League One: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 53%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
1.67Goals scored / match1.55
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
1.76Goals conceded / match2
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
49%Average possession50%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
3.86Shots on target / match4.23
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.33Shots per match11.23
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
3.86Shots on target4.23
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
17.9%Shot conversion13.8%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
49%Possession50%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
1.2xG for1.34
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
1.36xG against1.67
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring

Shooting quality

Changchun Yatai: Efficient finishingHeilongjiang Lava Spring: Efficient finishing
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
Accuracy (shots on target)41%38%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.37

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Changchun Yatai is 50% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Changchun Yatai · 0.8 pts / match - Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Changchun Yatai
LLWLW
Season result split
43% W10% R48% P
Season (W-D-L)
9-2-10
1.38 pts / match · goal difference -2
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-0-3
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
6-1-4
Last 5 at home
3-1-1
LWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 1.13Opponent xG: 1.48BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 80%
Heilongjiang Lava Spring
WDLLL
Season result split
18% W45% R36% P
Season (W-D-L)
4-10-8
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -10
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-6-3
Last 5 away
0-3-2
DDLDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.6Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.48Opponent xG: 1.95BTTS: 100%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Changchun Yatai is 8% better for: goals scored per match.

1.67 goals / match - Changchun Yatai · 1.55 goals / match - Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Changchun Yatai is 14% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.76 goals / match - Changchun Yatai · 2 goals / match - Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Changchun Yatai scoring profile: very strong

Changchun Yatai scores in 86% of matches (18 of 21 matches), while Heilongjiang Lava Spring keeps a clean sheet in 5% (1 of 22 matches).

Heilongjiang Lava Spring scoring profile: very strong

Heilongjiang Lava Spring scores in 91% of matches (20 of 22 matches), while Changchun Yatai keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 21 matches).

35Goals scored (season)34
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
37Goals conceded (season)44
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
3.43Average goals in match3.55
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
10Goals scored (last 5)8
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
7Goals conceded (last 5)10
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring

How often they score at least...

86%1 goal91%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
48%2 goals41%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
19%3 goals18%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
5%4 goals5%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring

How often they concede at least...

86%1 goal95%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
57%2 goals50%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
19%3 goals36%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
10%4 goals14%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

86%
Heilongjiang Lava Spring - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.19 of 22 matches
56%
League average

Goal patterns

38%BTTS at half-time32%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
10%BTTS in both halves18%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
29%Scored in both halves27%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring

BTTS and goal count

71%Min. 3 goals and BTTS59%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
14%Min. 3 goals without BTTS5%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
40%BTTS - last 5100%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring

1st half

76%Min. 1 goal before half-time82%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
62%Min. 2 goals before half-time50%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
24%Min. 3 goals before half-time27%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring

2nd half

86%Min. 1 goal after half-time86%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time32%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Heilongjiang Lava Spring is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.19 pts / match - Changchun Yatai · 1.27 pts / match - Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Changchun Yatai - half-time state
24% leading48% draw29% trailing
Heilongjiang Lava Spring - half-time state
32% leading32% draw36% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.19Points per match (1st half)1.27
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
0.86Goals scored (1st half)0.77
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
0.9Goals conceded (1st half)0.86
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
1.76Average goals (1st half)1.64
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
38%Clean sheet before half-time41%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
48%No goal before half-time45%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring

After half-time (2nd half)

1.33Points per match (2nd half)1
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
0.81Goals scored (2nd half)0.77
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
0.86Goals conceded (2nd half)1.14
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1.91
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
38%Clean sheet after half-time27%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring
38%No goal after half-time36%
Changchun YataiHeilongjiang Lava Spring

Changchun Yatai - second-half results

38% W19% R43% P
25
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
28
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.19
PPG before half-time
Lead holding179%

Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Heilongjiang Lava Spring - second-half results

23% W32% R45% P
28
Half-time points
17
Half-time goals
-2
Goal difference (1st half)
22
Second-half points
-8
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.27
PPG before half-time
Lead holding56%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Changchun Yatai - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.20
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.41.0
Average goals in match1.42.0
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet80%40%
No goal80%20%
Goal difference+30
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 0% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 5
Heilongjiang Lava Spring - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.20
Goals scored / match1.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.61.4
Average goals in match1.81.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal20%60%
Goal difference+3-5
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 20% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Changchun Yatai
ScoredConceded
5
9
0-15
4
5
16-30
9
5
31-45
6
6
46-60
6
6
61-75
5
6
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Heilongjiang Lava Spring
ScoredConceded
3
7
0-15
7
7
16-30
7
5
31-45
5
9
46-60
7
8
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (7 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.49
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
128%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
79%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
78%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Changchun Yatai

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.07
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.8 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.47
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.40
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
114%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
139%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.0
Late goals
14% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
14%

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.33
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.12
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.21
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.33
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
122%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
137%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.20
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 9% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (China League One).

Teams vs league

Changchun YataiLigaHeilongjiang Lava Spring
Average goals in match 3.432.73 3.55
Both teams scored 71%56% 86%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 86%53% 64%
Clean sheets 14%26% 5%
Goal before half-time 76%70% 82%
Goal after half-time 86%73% 86%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.73
Average goals per match
56%
Both teams scored
53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
26%
Clean sheets
1.46
Home goals / match
1.27
Away goals / match
+15%
Home attack advantage
+13%
Home defence advantage
+12%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
3%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
73%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
22%
3 goals
7%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Changchun Yatai 1 - 0 - 0 Heilongjiang Lava Spring. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Changchun Yatai and Heilongjiang Lava Spring play?

Changchun Yatai face Heilongjiang Lava Spring on 12 September 2026 in China League One at Changchun's People Stadium. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Changchun Yatai vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

Changchun Yatai score 1.67 goals per game on average and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1.55. The China League One average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 53% of games. Both teams score in 71% of Changchun Yatai's matches and 86% of Heilongjiang Lava Spring's.

What form are Changchun Yatai and Heilongjiang Lava Spring in?

Over the last 5 games Changchun Yatai have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Heilongjiang Lava Spring 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Changchun Yatai vs Heilongjiang Lava Spring?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.