United States - USL League OneData current as of 22 September 2026

Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Charlotte Independence play Fort Wayne in USL League One (United States). The match date is 26 September 2026.

Current form

Charlotte Independence: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Fort Wayne: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Charlotte Independence scores 2.33 and concedes 1.44 goals per match. Fort Wayne scores 1.58 and concedes 1.35. League average: 2.98 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Charlotte Independence 74%, Fort Wayne 54%. Over 2.5: Charlotte Independence 70%, Fort Wayne 58%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

xG, shots and style

Charlotte Independence has higher xG: 1.82 vs 1.63. Charlotte Independence: 15.8 shots per match, Fort Wayne: 13.9.

Match halves

Charlotte Independence: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.74. Fort Wayne: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.73.

Goals by minute

Charlotte Independence: 0-15 (20 goals). Fort Wayne: 0-15 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

USL League One: 2.98 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 60%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(-)
(-)
(-)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
2.33Goals scored / match1.58
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
1.44Goals conceded / match1.35
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
50%Average possession53%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
5.74Shots on target / match5.04
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

15.85Shots per match13.88
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
5.74Shots on target5.04
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
14.7%Shot conversion11.4%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
50%Possession53%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
1.82xG for1.63
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
1.61xG against1.4
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne

Shooting quality

Charlotte Independence: AttackingFort Wayne: Balanced
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
Accuracy (shots on target)36%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.410.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Charlotte Independence is 43% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Charlotte Independence · 1.4 pts / match - Fort Wayne

Charlotte Independence
WLWDW
Season result split
63% W19% D19% L
Season (W-D-L)
17-5-5
2.07 pts / match · goal difference +24
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
13-0-1
Last 5 at home
5-0-0
WWWWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.78Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 60%
Fort Wayne
WLWLD
Season result split
38% W27% D35% L
Season (W-D-L)
10-7-9
1.42 pts / match · goal difference +6
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-3-5
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LLLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.2Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 2.05Opponent xG: 1.34BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Charlotte Independence is 47% better for: goals scored per match.

2.33 goals / match - Charlotte Independence · 1.58 goals / match - Fort Wayne

Fort Wayne is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.44 goals / match - Charlotte Independence · 1.35 goals / match - Fort Wayne

Charlotte Independence scoring profile: very strong

Charlotte Independence scores in 93% of matches (25 of 27 matches), while Fort Wayne keeps a clean sheet in 31% (8 of 26 matches).

Fort Wayne scoring profile: very strong

Fort Wayne scores in 81% of matches (21 of 26 matches), while Charlotte Independence keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 27 matches).

63Goals scored (season)41
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
39Goals conceded (season)35
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
3.78Average goals in match2.92
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
11Goals scored (last 5)11
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
10Goals conceded (last 5)10
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne

How often they score at least...

93%1 goal81%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
67%2 goals50%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
44%3 goals23%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
19%4 goals4%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne

How often they concede at least...

81%1 goal69%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
37%2 goals46%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
19%3 goals15%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
7%4 goals4%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

74%
Charlotte Independence - BTTSBTTS - percentage of matches where both teams scored.20 of 27 matches
60%
League average

Goal patterns

37%BTTS at half-time12%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
7%BTTS in both halves0%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
44%Scored in both halves23%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne

BTTS and goal count

59%Min. 3 goals and BTTS42%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
11%Min. 3 goals without BTTS15%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
80%BTTS - last 580%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

Full match - team comparison (Over)

1st half

81%Min. 1 goal before half-time81%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
56%Min. 2 goals before half-time38%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
44%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne

2nd half

85%Min. 1 goal after half-time77%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
30%Min. 2 goals after half-time42%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
22%Min. 3 goals after half-time27%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Charlotte Independence is 18% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2.04 pts / match - Charlotte Independence · 1.73 pts / match - Fort Wayne

Charlotte Independence - half-time state
56% leading37% draw7% trailing
Fort Wayne - half-time state
50% leading23% draw27% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2.04Points per match (1st half)1.73
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
1.48Goals scored (1st half)0.85
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
0.59Goals conceded (1st half)0.5
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
2.07Average goals (1st half)1.35
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
56%Clean sheet before half-time62%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
26%No goal before half-time46%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne

After half-time (2nd half)

1.48Points per match (2nd half)1.46
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
0.74Goals scored (2nd half)0.73
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
0.81Goals conceded (2nd half)0.77
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
1.56Average goals (2nd half)1.5
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
48%Clean sheet after half-time54%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne
41%No goal after half-time50%
Charlotte IndependenceFort Wayne

Charlotte Independence - second-half results

41% W26% D33% L
55
Half-time points
40
Half-time goals
+24
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.04
PPG before half-time
Lead holding113%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Fort Wayne - second-half results

38% W31% D31% L
45
Half-time points
22
Half-time goals
+9
Goal difference (1st half)
38
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.73
PPG before half-time
Lead holding76%

Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 38%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.3

Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Charlotte Independence - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.60
Goals scored / match1.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match2.22.0
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%60%
3 goals40%40%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal40%40%
Goal difference+3-2
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 0% won - 60% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 40% - Half-time goals total: 7
Fort Wayne - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.802.00
Goals scored / match1.01.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match2.02.2
1 goal100%100%
2 goals80%60%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference0+1
Half-time: 60% leading - 0% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Charlotte Independence
ScoredConceded
20
9
0-15
5
5
16-30
18
3
31-45
5
5
46-60
5
6
61-75
10
11
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (20 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.

Fort Wayne
ScoredConceded
9
5
0-15
4
4
16-30
9
6
31-45
7
5
46-60
7
7
61-75
5
8
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

3.35
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.8 : 1.5
Estimated goal split
home : away
112%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
64%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+19%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
75%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
1%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 100 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Charlotte Independence

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.68
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.6 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.51
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
131%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
120%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.7
Late goals
16% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 32% come in the first quarter-hour.
16%

Fort Wayne

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.23
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
0.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.05
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.05
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
132%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
76%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.02
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
12% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 22% come in the first quarter-hour.
12%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).

Teams vs league

Charlotte IndependenceLigaFort Wayne
Average goals in match 3.782.98 2.92
Both teams scored 74%60% 54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 70%60% 58%
Clean sheets 19%22% 31%
Goal before half-time 81%74% 81%
Goal after half-time 85%81% 77%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.98
Average goals per match
60%
Both teams scored
60%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
22%
Clean sheets
1.78
Home goals / match
1.20
Away goals / match
+48%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
81%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
19%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Charlotte Independence 0 - 1 - 0 Fort Wayne. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

FAQ

When do Charlotte Independence and Fort Wayne play?

Charlotte Independence face Fort Wayne on 26 September 2026 in USL League One. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?

Charlotte Independence score 2.33 goals per game on average and Fort Wayne 1.58. The USL League One average is 2.98 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 60% of games. Both teams score in 74% of Charlotte Independence's matches and 54% of Fort Wayne's.

What form are Charlotte Independence and Fort Wayne in?

Over the last 5 games Charlotte Independence have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Fort Wayne 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Charlotte Independence vs Fort Wayne: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.