Chattanooga FC vs Carolina Core: match statistics
Chattanooga FC vs Carolina Core: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chattanooga FC played Carolina Core in MLS Next Pro (United States). The match was played on 29 August 2026. Final score: 5:2.
Current form
Chattanooga FC: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Carolina Core: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chattanooga FC scores 1.83 and concedes 1.46 goals per match. Carolina Core scores 1.38 and concedes 1.79. League average: 3.29 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chattanooga FC 63%, Carolina Core 67%. Over 2.5: Chattanooga FC 58%, Carolina Core 63%. League level: BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
xG, shots and style
Chattanooga FC has higher xG: 1.68 vs 1.51. Chattanooga FC: 13.9 shots per match, Carolina Core: 12.8.
Match halves
Chattanooga FC: half-time lead 46%, second-half goals 0.88. Carolina Core: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.79.
Goals by minute
Chattanooga FC: 31-45+ (11 goals). Carolina Core: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
MLS Next Pro: 3.29 goals per match, BTTS 62%, Over 2.5 66%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 3-2-0. Average goals 1.80, BTTS 40%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chattanooga FC have a clearly superior season record: they have won 11 of 24 matches and sit 8th, while Carolina Core have just 5 victories and are 24th in the table. The hosts win 67% of their home matches, score an average of 2.00 goals and lose in only 17% of cases, whereas the visitors have not recorded a single away win. Chattanooga’s advantage is also evident in the quality of chances created: their average home xG stands at 1.71 compared with Carolina Core’s 1.32 away from home, while the hosts boast a significantly stronger defense, conceding 1.00 goal per match compared with 2.18 for the visitors. Carolina Core fail to score in 36% of away matches and have kept a clean sheet in only 18% of their away fixtures, which should favor an effective performance from Chattanooga. Recent form also supports the hosts, who have won 3 of their last 5 matches and conceded just 5 goals in that run.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The seasonal BTTS rate stands at 69% for Chattanooga and 64% for Carolina Core, which is at least in line with the league average of 62%. The hosts have not recorded a single match without scoring, while Carolina Core have kept a clean sheet in only 18% of their games, conceding an average of 2.18 goals per match. Carolina Core have recently been scoring 2.2 goals per game and creating chances worth 1.81 xG, while Chattanooga allow opponents 1.50 xG. The hosts also have a solid basis for scoring, averaging 1.8 goals and 1.72 xG across their last five matches, while their opponents conceded 2.2 goals per game during this period. Chattanooga’s lower 40% BTTS rate in their last five appearances and defensive improvement to 1.0 goals conceded reduce confidence, but the weight of the data still points towards BTTS - Yes. In other words, both teams are expected to score, rather than BTTS - No, which only requires at least one team to fail to score and does not automatically mean a 0:0 draw or that neither side will score.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Chattanooga score an average of 1.62 goals at home, while Carolina Core concede as many as 2.18 goals away from home, clearly favoring at least two goals in the match. Their attacking potential is supported by average xG figures of 1.66 for the hosts and 1.32 for the visitors, with opponents recording 1.64 and 1.74 xG respectively. In their last five matches, the teams averaged 1.8 and 2.2 goals scored, while Carolina Core conceded 2.2 goals per game during this period. The 1.5 line was covered in 92% of Chattanooga’s matches and 73% of Carolina’s, making Over 1.5 the strongest pick.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Chattanooga FC have a clear season-long advantage: they score 1.62 goals per match and concede 1.46, while Carolina Core concede as many as 2.18 goals and have not won a single game. The hosts were leading at the break in 38% of matches, compared with just 9% for the visitors, while Carolina Core were trailing at half-time in 55% of their appearances. Chattanooga’s superiority is also evident in the quality of chances created: their average xG stands at 1.66 versus the opponents’ 1.32, and the home side records 4.92 shots on target per match compared with 4.00 for the visitors. After the break, Chattanooga average 0.92 goals scored and concede just 0.69, which supports them in maintaining an early lead against Carolina, who have lost 64% of their matches this season.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chattanooga FC | Carolina Core | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chattanooga FC is 43% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.4 pts / match - Carolina Core
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chattanooga FC is 33% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.38 goals / match - Carolina Core
Chattanooga FC is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.46 goals / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.79 goals / match - Carolina Core
Chattanooga FC scores in 92% of matches (22 of 24 matches), while Carolina Core keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Carolina Core scores in 83% of matches (20 of 24 matches), while Chattanooga FC keeps a clean sheet in 29% (7 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chattanooga FC
Over / Under - Carolina Core
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chattanooga FC is 61% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.67 pts / match - Chattanooga FC · 1.04 pts / match - Carolina Core
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chattanooga FC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 46% of matches and wins 46%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Carolina Core - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 21%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chattanooga FC
Carolina Core
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (MLS Next Pro).
Teams vs league
| Chattanooga FC | Liga | Carolina Core | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.29 | 3.29 | ▼ 3.17 |
| Both teams scored | • 63% | 62% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 58% | 66% | ▼ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 29% | 21% | ▲ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 79% | 76% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 84% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Chattanooga FC 3 - 2 - 0 Carolina Core. Average goals 1.80, both teams scored in 40% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chattanooga FC vs Carolina Core?
The MLS Next Pro match finished Chattanooga FC 5:2 Carolina Core. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Chattanooga FC and Carolina Core?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Chattanooga FC won 3, Carolina Core won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 1.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 40% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Chattanooga FC vs Carolina Core?
Chattanooga FC score 1.83 goals per game on average and Carolina Core 1.38. The MLS Next Pro average is 3.29 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 66% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Chattanooga FC's matches and 67% of Carolina Core's.
What form are Chattanooga FC and Carolina Core in?
Over the last 5 games Chattanooga FC have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Carolina Core 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chattanooga FC vs Carolina Core?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.