Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Alta: match statistics
Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Alta: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chattanooga Red Wolves played Alta in USL League One (United States). The match was played on 15 July 2026. Venue: David Stanton Field At CCS. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Chattanooga Red Wolves: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match. Alta: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chattanooga Red Wolves scores 1.83 and concedes 1.25 goals per match. Alta scores 1.44 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chattanooga Red Wolves 58%, Alta 63%. Over 2.5: Chattanooga Red Wolves 67%, Alta 56%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Alta has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.52. Chattanooga Red Wolves: 12.4 shots per match, Alta: 12.3.
Match halves
Chattanooga Red Wolves: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.92. Alta: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.69.
Goals by minute
Chattanooga Red Wolves: 46-60 (6 goals). Alta: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
USL League One: 2.83 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict a home win (1): Chattanooga Red Wolves average 2.33 goals per home match, while Alta averages 1.00 goals on the road. The hosts defend better at their stadium — conceding 0.83 goals at home versus Alta’s 1.33 away, and Chattanooga’s clean sheet rate is 50% compared to Alta’s 33%. Chattanooga averages 13 shots per home match (4.5 on target) with an 18% conversion rate; Alta has 9.17 shots (4 on target) and an 11% conversion, indicating a clear home advantage in attacking efficiency. xG also favors the hosts: Chattanooga’s home xG is 1.62 versus Alta’s 1.22 away; over the last 5 matches both teams scored 6 goals, but the hosts have higher PPG (1.8 vs 1.6). Considering the 18% vs 11% conversion, home goal difference +9 versus Alta’s -2 away, and a lower percentage of matches without scoring (17% vs 33%), I assess probabilities as: home 62%, draw 18%, away 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I prefer 'BTTS - Yes' because seasonal BTTS rates are 60% for Chattanooga and 67% for Alta, both above the league average of 56%. xG and attacking data confirm both sides' scoring potential: projected xG in the matchup is about 1.88 for the home team ((1.71 + 2.05)/2) and 1.32 for the visitors ((1.22 + 1.41)/2), while Chattanooga averages 14.2 shots and 4.8 on target versus Alta's 9.17 and 4.0. Counterpoints are 40% clean sheets for the home side and 33% of Alta matches without scoring, however the home team fails to score in only 10% of games, so the edge favors Goal/Goal. In the last 5 matches Chattanooga has BTTS at 40% (6 scored, 5 conceded), while Alta is at 80% (6 scored, 6 conceded), further supporting both teams to score. Based on this I assess BTTS probability at 65% for 'yes' and 35% for 'no'.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG model projects approximately 3.20 total goals: expected goals for the home team (Chattanooga Red Wolves) are 1.88 (attack xG 1.71 and xG conceded to Alta 2.05 → (1.71+2.05)/2=1.88), and for Alta 1.32 (attack xG 1.22 and xG conceded to Chattanooga 1.41 → (1.22+1.41)/2=1.32). With this 3.20 total, a Poisson distribution yields about an 83% probability of at least 2 goals, which is corroborated by seasonal Over1.5 rates: Chattanooga 80% and Alta 67%. The 2.5 line is moderately in favor of the over (~62%), since seasonal Over2.5 are 50% for the home side and 67% for the away side, and the league averages 2.83 goals per match. The 3.5 line has lower chances (over ~40%), therefore I recommend backing the over on 1.5 as the strongest and most likely signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistical analysis indicates Chattanooga’s attacking superiority: an average of 1.7 goals per game versus Alta’s 1.0, home xG 1.71 vs 1.22 and 14.2 shots (4.8 on target) versus 9.17 (4.0 on target) for the visitors, yielding more clear chances. However, a draw at Half-Time is common — Chattanooga were level at the break in 40% of matches, Alta in 50%, and the home side scored 16 goals by Half-Time compared to Alta’s 5, so the first half may remain balanced. Alta’s defence looks worse in xG conceded (2.05 vs 1.41 versus Chattanooga) and Alta concedes on average 1.33 goals per game, which increases the hosts’ chances of deciding the outcome in the second half. On this basis the strongest Half-Time/Full-Time scenario appears to be a draw at the break and a Chattanooga turnaround to win after 90 minutes (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Alta | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chattanooga Red Wolves is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Chattanooga Red Wolves · 1.6 pts / match - Alta
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chattanooga Red Wolves is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - Chattanooga Red Wolves · 1.44 goals / match - Alta
Alta is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.25 goals / match - Chattanooga Red Wolves · 1.13 goals / match - Alta
Chattanooga Red Wolves scores in 83% of matches (10 of 12 matches), while Alta keeps a clean sheet in 38% (6 of 16 matches).
Alta scores in 81% of matches (13 of 16 matches), while Chattanooga Red Wolves keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chattanooga Red Wolves
Over / Under - Alta
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chattanooga Red Wolves is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Chattanooga Red Wolves · 1.38 pts / match - Alta
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chattanooga Red Wolves - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Alta - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Alta
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (USL League One).
Teams vs league
| Chattanooga Red Wolves | Liga | Alta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.08 | 2.83 | ▼ 2.56 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 58% | 56% | ▲ 63% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 67% | 58% | ▼ 56% |
| Clean sheets | • 25% | 25% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 72% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 81% | ▼ 69% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Chattanooga Red Wolves 0 - 2 - 1 Alta. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Alta?
The USL League One match finished Chattanooga Red Wolves 1:0 Alta. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Chattanooga Red Wolves and Alta?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Chattanooga Red Wolves won 0, Alta won 1 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Alta?
Chattanooga Red Wolves score 1.83 goals per game on average and Alta 1.44. The USL League One average is 2.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 58% of Chattanooga Red Wolves's matches and 63% of Alta's.
What form are Chattanooga Red Wolves and Alta in?
Over the last 5 games Chattanooga Red Wolves have a 3-0-2 record (1.80 points per game) and Alta 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Alta?
The statistical background for Chattanooga Red Wolves vs Alta — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.