Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice: match statistics
Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Chełmianka Chełm played Star Starachowice in 3 Liga Group 4 (Poland). The match was played on 10 October 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Chełmianka Chełm: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Star Starachowice: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Chełmianka Chełm scores 1.64 and concedes 0.45 goals per match. Star Starachowice scores 1.18 and concedes 1.55. League average: 2.99 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Chełmianka Chełm 36%, Star Starachowice 45%. Over 2.5: Chełmianka Chełm 36%, Star Starachowice 55%. League level: BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Chełmianka Chełm has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.40. Chełmianka Chełm: 1.9 shots per match, Star Starachowice: 9.6.
Match halves
Chełmianka Chełm: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.45. Star Starachowice: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.73.
Goals by minute
Chełmianka Chełm: 0-15 (8 goals). Star Starachowice: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
3 Liga Group 4: 2.99 goals per match, BTTS 60%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 4.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Chełmianka Chełm remain unbeaten after 11 matches this season, recording 8 wins and 3 draws, while Star Starachowice have won 2 matches and lost 4. At home, the hosts win 80% of their matches and score an average of 1.6 goals, whereas the visitors have yet to win away and average just 0.67 goals. The defensive gap is also clear: Chełmianka concede 0.6 goals per home match, compared with 2 goals conceded by Star per away match. The visitors have failed to score in 67% of their away matches, despite averaging 1.02 xG, further limiting their chances of breaking down the hosts’ solid defence. Chełmianka have picked up 9 points in their last five matches, compared with Star’s 6, making a home win the most likely outcome, although three recent draws for each side suggest that the draw should also be considered.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from Star's attack: away from home, they average 0.67 goals and fail to score in 67% of matches. Chełmianka keep a clean sheet in 40% of their home games, and have conceded an average of just 0.8 goals across their last five matches. A home goal looks more likely, as Chełmianka average 1.8 goals at home, while Star concede 2.0 per away game. This is not an unequivocal pick, however: BTTS - Yes landed in 60% of both teams' last five matches, and Star's away xG is 1.02. Even so, the visitors' away record points towards a scenario in which they fail to score. BTTS - No means at least one team does not score; it does not necessarily mean a 0-0 draw.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Chełmianka average 1.8 goals scored, while Star concede 2.0, giving the hosts a solid foundation to score more than once. Chełmianka’s advantage is also reflected in their average xG: 1.77 compared with the visitors’ 1.02, as well as 7.4 shots on target per game versus 3.4. Over 1.5 goals has landed in 80% of the hosts’ matches and 67% of the visitors’ games, making it a stronger option than Over 2.5 goals, which has landed in 40% and 67% of those matches, respectively. Caution with higher goal lines is warranted by the fact that Star have failed to score in 67% of their matches, so the outcome may depend largely on Chełmianka’s finishing.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
A draw at half-time is the most likely starting point: both teams were level at the break in 60% of their matches to date, and each averaged no more than 0.6 goals in the first half. Chełmianka’s advantage becomes more pronounced after the break: the hosts average 1.2 goals in the second half, while Star concede 1.4. Chełmianka average 2.0 points per match in second halves, compared with Star’s 0.4, pointing to a decision after the break. Across full matches, the hosts average 7.4 shots on target to the visitors’ 3.4 and score 1.8 goals to their 0.67, so the HT/FT scenario of a draw at half-time followed by a Chełmianka win has the strongest statistical backing.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Chełmianka Chełm | Star Starachowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 14% | 50% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.89 | 0.15 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 6.07 | 0.24 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chełmianka Chełm is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Chełmianka Chełm · 1.2 pts / match - Star Starachowice
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chełmianka Chełm is 39% better for: goals scored per match.
1.64 goals / match - Chełmianka Chełm · 1.18 goals / match - Star Starachowice
Chełmianka Chełm is 244% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.45 goals / match - Chełmianka Chełm · 1.55 goals / match - Star Starachowice
Chełmianka Chełm scores in 91% of matches (10 of 11 matches), while Star Starachowice keeps a clean sheet in 36% (4 of 11 matches).
Star Starachowice scores in 55% of matches (6 of 11 matches), while Chełmianka Chełm keeps a clean sheet in 64% (7 of 11 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Chełmianka Chełm
Over / Under - Star Starachowice
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chełmianka Chełm is 31% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.55 pts / match - Chełmianka Chełm · 1.18 pts / match - Star Starachowice
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Chełmianka Chełm - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 73%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Star Starachowice - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 60% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (8 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Chełmianka Chełm
Star Starachowice
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (3 Liga Group 4).
Teams vs league
| Chełmianka Chełm | Liga | Star Starachowice | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.09 | 2.99 | ▼ 2.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 60% | ▼ 45% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 36% | 58% | ▼ 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 64% | 23% | ▲ 36% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 36% | 61% | ▼ 55% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 36% | 68% | ▼ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Chełmianka ChełmGoalPaweł Tomczyk
- Chełmianka ChełmGoalRadosław Wójcicki
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Chełmianka Chełm 1 - 1 - 0 Star Starachowice. Average goals 4.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice?
The 3 Liga Group 4 match finished Chełmianka Chełm 2:1 Star Starachowice. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Chełmianka Chełm and Star Starachowice?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Chełmianka Chełm won 1, Star Starachowice won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 4.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice?
Chełmianka Chełm score 1.64 goals per game on average and Star Starachowice 1.18. The 3 Liga Group 4 average is 2.99 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Chełmianka Chełm's matches and 45% of Star Starachowice's.
What form are Chełmianka Chełm and Star Starachowice in?
Over the last 5 games Chełmianka Chełm have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Star Starachowice 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice?
The statistical background for Chełmianka Chełm vs Star Starachowice — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.