Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly contested. Cheltenham Town has displayed solid form over their last five games with 2 wins and 3 draws (1.8 points per game), demonstrating stabilization after earlier struggles. The hosts have a decent home record of 41% wins, although their average xG (1.2) is slightly lower than their xGA (1.6). Crewe Alexandra occupies a higher position in the table (9th place), but their recent form raises concerns - only 1.2 points per game in their last five fixtures and a two-game losing streak. Away from home, the visitors have stats similar to the hosts' home numbers (an average of 1.28 goals per game vs 1.24), but a better xG metric (1.33 vs 1.2). Considering the matched goal averages, similar shot conversion, and the hosts' current good run against the visitors' weaker form, a draw seems the most probable outcome, although both a Cheltenham or Crewe win are realistic scenarios.
Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cheltenham Town play Crewe Alexandra in EFL League Two (England). The match date is 17 March 2026 at 20:45. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cheltenham Town: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match. Crewe Alexandra: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cheltenham Town scores 1.15 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Crewe Alexandra scores 1.39 and concedes 1.26. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cheltenham Town 52%, Crewe Alexandra 57%. Over 2.5: Cheltenham Town 48%, Crewe Alexandra 52%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Crewe Alexandra has higher xG: 1.36 vs 1.16. Cheltenham Town: 10.3 shots per match, Crewe Alexandra: 11.9.
Match halves
Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.83. Crewe Alexandra: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.70.
Goals by minute
Cheltenham Town: 61-75 (16 goals). Crewe Alexandra: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
The match promises to be very evenly contested. Cheltenham Town has displayed solid form over their last five games with 2 wins and 3 draws (1.8 points per game), demonstrating stabilization after earlier struggles. The hosts have a decent home record of 41% wins, although their average xG (1.2) is slightly lower than their xGA (1.6). Crewe Alexandra occupies a higher position in the table (9th place), but their recent form raises concerns - only 1.2 points per game in their last five fixtures and a two-game losing streak. Away from home, the visitors have stats similar to the hosts' home numbers (an average of 1.28 goals per game vs 1.24), but a better xG metric (1.33 vs 1.2). Considering the matched goal averages, similar shot conversion, and the hosts' current good run against the visitors' weaker form, a draw seems the most probable outcome, although both a Cheltenham or Crewe win are realistic scenarios.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cheltenham Town | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 29% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cheltenham Town is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 0.8 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crewe Alexandra is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.39 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra is 37% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.26 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra
Cheltenham Town scores in 74% of matches (34 of 46 matches), while Crewe Alexandra keeps a clean sheet in 20% (9 of 46 matches).
Crewe Alexandra scores in 72% of matches (33 of 46 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 24% (11 of 46 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Cheltenham Town
Over / Under — Crewe Alexandra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crewe Alexandra is 54% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.83 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.28 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cheltenham Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Crewe Alexandra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (16 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cheltenham Town
Crewe Alexandra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Cheltenham Town | Liga | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.87 | 2.57 | • 2.65 |
| Both teams scored | • 52% | 52% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 48% | 48% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▼ 20% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 59% | 67% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 91% | 78% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cheltenham Town 0 - 0 - 1 Crewe Alexandra. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
The EFL League Two match finished Cheltenham Town 1:1 Crewe Alexandra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
Cheltenham Town score 1.15 goals per game on average and Crewe Alexandra 1.39. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 52% of Cheltenham Town's matches and 57% of Crewe Alexandra's.
What form are Cheltenham Town and Crewe Alexandra in?
Over the last 5 games Cheltenham Town have a 2-0-3 record (1.20 points per game) and Crewe Alexandra 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
The statistical background for Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.