Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra: match statistics
The match promises to be very evenly contested. Cheltenham Town has displayed solid form over their last five games with 2 wins and 3 draws (1.8 points per game), demonstrating stabilization after earlier struggles. The hosts have a decent home record of 41% wins, although their average xG (1.2) is slightly lower than their xGA (1.6). Crewe Alexandra occupies a higher position in the table (9th place), but their recent form raises concerns - only 1.2 points per game in their last five fixtures and a two-game losing streak. Away from home, the visitors have stats similar to the hosts' home numbers (an average of 1.28 goals per game vs 1.24), but a better xG metric (1.33 vs 1.2). Considering the matched goal averages, similar shot conversion, and the hosts' current good run against the visitors' weaker form, a draw seems the most probable outcome, although both a Cheltenham or Crewe win are realistic scenarios.
Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cheltenham Town played Crewe Alexandra in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 17 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Cheltenham Town: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Crewe Alexandra: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cheltenham Town scores 1.11 and concedes 1.64 goals per match. Crewe Alexandra scores 1.43 and concedes 1.24. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cheltenham Town 50%, Crewe Alexandra 59%. Over 2.5: Cheltenham Town 44%, Crewe Alexandra 54%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Crewe Alexandra has higher xG: 1.37 vs 1.17. Cheltenham Town: 10.2 shots per match, Crewe Alexandra: 11.9.
Match halves
Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.78. Crewe Alexandra: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Cheltenham Town: 61-75 (13 goals). Crewe Alexandra: 16-30 (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The match promises to be very evenly contested. Cheltenham Town has displayed solid form over their last five games with 2 wins and 3 draws (1.8 points per game), demonstrating stabilization after earlier struggles. The hosts have a decent home record of 41% wins, although their average xG (1.2) is slightly lower than their xGA (1.6). Crewe Alexandra occupies a higher position in the table (9th place), but their recent form raises concerns - only 1.2 points per game in their last five fixtures and a two-game losing streak. Away from home, the visitors have stats similar to the hosts' home numbers (an average of 1.28 goals per game vs 1.24), but a better xG metric (1.33 vs 1.2). Considering the matched goal averages, similar shot conversion, and the hosts' current good run against the visitors' weaker form, a draw seems the most probable outcome, although both a Cheltenham or Crewe win are realistic scenarios.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cheltenham Town | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cheltenham Town is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.2 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Crewe Alexandra is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.11 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.43 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra
Crewe Alexandra is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.64 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.24 goals / match - Crewe Alexandra
Cheltenham Town scores in 72% of matches (26 of 36 matches), while Crewe Alexandra keeps a clean sheet in 16% (6 of 37 matches).
Crewe Alexandra scores in 73% of matches (27 of 37 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 25% (9 of 36 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cheltenham Town
Over / Under - Crewe Alexandra
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Crewe Alexandra is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.86 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.32 pts / match - Crewe Alexandra
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cheltenham Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Crewe Alexandra - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +6 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (13 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cheltenham Town
Crewe Alexandra
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Cheltenham Town | Liga | Crewe Alexandra | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.75 | 2.56 | ▲ 2.68 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 53% | ▲ 59% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 44% | 47% | ▲ 54% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 25% | 27% | ▼ 16% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 56% | 68% | ▲ 73% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 92% | 77% | ▼ 70% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Cheltenham Town 0 - 0 - 1 Crewe Alexandra. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
The EFL League Two match finished Cheltenham Town 1:1 Crewe Alexandra. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
Cheltenham Town score 1.11 goals per game on average and Crewe Alexandra 1.43. The EFL League Two average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Cheltenham Town's matches and 59% of Crewe Alexandra's.
What form are Cheltenham Town and Crewe Alexandra in?
Over the last 5 games Cheltenham Town have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Crewe Alexandra 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra?
The statistical background for Cheltenham Town vs Crewe Alexandra — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.