Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town: match statistics
Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Cheltenham Town played Grimsby Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 5 September 2026. Venue: The EV Charger Points Stadium. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Cheltenham Town: 2-1-1, 1.75 points/match. Grimsby Town: 1-3-0, 1.50 points/match.
Goal statistics
Cheltenham Town scores 2.00 and concedes 1.75 goals per match. Grimsby Town scores 1.25 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Cheltenham Town 100%, Grimsby Town 50%. Over 2.5: Cheltenham Town 100%, Grimsby Town 50%. League level: BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Grimsby Town has higher xG: 1.74 vs 1.27. Cheltenham Town: 10.3 shots per match, Grimsby Town: 16.3.
Match halves
Cheltenham Town: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 1.50. Grimsby Town: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.25.
Goals by minute
Cheltenham Town: 61-75 (3 goals). Grimsby Town: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 56%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-2. Average goals 5.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Grimsby remain unbeaten after three league matches, although two of them ended in draws. Across their last five fixtures, they have recorded 3 draws, 1 win and 1 defeat. Away from home, the visitors have so far played out a goalless draw, keeping a clean sheet but also failing to score, despite creating chances worth an average of 1.22 xG. Cheltenham won their only home match to date 2:1 and averaged 4 shots on target, but their xG was just 0.92, while they allowed as much as 1.96 xG at their own end. The hosts are also in poorer current form, having conceded 12 goals and collected just 4 points in their last five outings. Cheltenham’s home advantage is offset by Grimsby’s defensive solidity, making a draw the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The BTTS signal is strengthened by current form: Cheltenham recorded goals for both sides in 100% of their last 5 matches, while Grimsby did so in 60%. During this period, the hosts averaged 1.4 goals scored but conceded as many as 2.4, whereas the visitors scored 1.2 goals and allowed opponents 1.4. Grimsby have recently created chances worth an average of 1.59 xG, while Cheltenham’s defence allows opponents 1.61 xG, clearly supporting the case for an away goal. Cheltenham also have strong attacking numbers over a broader sample: 1.81 xG, 17 shots and 4.5 shots on target per match, with Grimsby conceding 1.47 xG. The main risk is Grimsby’s 0% BTTS record so far this season; however, the figures from their last five matches provide stronger support for a BTTS - Yes scenario.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Cheltenham have averaged 1.4 goals scored and as many as 2.4 conceded across their last 5 matches, indicating a very open game profile. All 5 of the hosts’ last matches produced at least 3 goals, while both teams scored in 100% of those fixtures. Over the same period, Grimsby have averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded, with 60% of their matches going over 2.5 goals. The hosts create plenty of chances, averaging 17 shots and recording 1.81 xG, while Grimsby’s recent xG stands at 1.59. The strongest pick is Over 1.5 goals, as the combination of Cheltenham’s recent defensive weakness and both teams’ attacking metrics clearly supports at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by a Grimsby win after 90 minutes, as the visitors were level at the break in 60% of their last five matches, while Cheltenham were trailing at half-time in as many as 80%. During this period, the hosts averaged just 0.2 goals scored before the break and conceded 1.6, whereas Grimsby recorded averages of 0.4 goals scored and 0.4 conceded. After the interval, however, Cheltenham look considerably stronger, averaging 1.2 goals scored, which means that HT/FT variants involving a home win still retain a significant share. Grimsby’s greater consistency is reflected in 60% draws and only 20% defeats across their last five matches, compared with Cheltenham’s 60% defeat rate. An away win remains moderately likely, but Cheltenham’s high home xG of 1.81, compared with 1.22 for the visitors, reduces confidence in a straightforward Grimsby victory.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Cheltenham Town | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 49% | 26% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Cheltenham Town is 17% better for: last-5 form.
1.75 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.5 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cheltenham Town is 60% better for: goals scored per match.
2 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1.25 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.75 goals / match - Cheltenham Town · 1 goals / match - Grimsby Town
Cheltenham Town scores in 100% of matches (4 of 4 matches), while Grimsby Town keeps a clean sheet in 50% (2 of 4 matches).
Grimsby Town scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while Cheltenham Town keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Cheltenham Town
Over / Under - Grimsby Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Grimsby Town is 100% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Cheltenham Town · 2 pts / match - Grimsby Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Cheltenham Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 50%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Grimsby Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.5 | 1.5 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 2.5 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 25% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 50% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 0% |
| No goal | 50% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.75 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Average goals in match | 1.5 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 50% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 25% |
| 3 goals | 25% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 50% | 50% |
| No goal | 25% | 75% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Cheltenham Town
Grimsby Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Cheltenham Town | Liga | Grimsby Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.75 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 100% | 56% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 100% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 0% | 26% | ▲ 50% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | • 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 78% | ▼ 50% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Cheltenham Town 0 - 0 - 2 Grimsby Town. Average goals 5.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Cheltenham Town 2:2 Grimsby Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Cheltenham Town and Grimsby Town?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Cheltenham Town won 0, Grimsby Town won 2 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 5.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town?
Cheltenham Town score 2.00 goals per game on average and Grimsby Town 1.25. The EFL League Two average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 100% of Cheltenham Town's matches and 50% of Grimsby Town's.
What form are Cheltenham Town and Grimsby Town in?
Over the last 5 games Cheltenham Town have a 2-1-1 record (1.75 points per game) and Grimsby Town 1-3-0 (1.50 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Cheltenham Town vs Grimsby Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.